My Rita Forecast

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beam182
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My Rita Forecast

#1 Postby beam182 » Sun Sep 18, 2005 5:39 pm

WARNING: The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

ANOTHER WARNING: This is my first try at forecasting any kind of tropical weather system. I'm not an atmospheric scientist, or even an amateur meteorologist. This map is more or less to showcase my opinion on the storm's future, and is vulnerable to great errors in track, and especially intensity. Coastal residents and tourists should not let this influence any kind of decision regarding the storm. You've been warned.

http://img320.imageshack.us/my.php?image=rita9go.gif

Like I said, this is my first shot. Constructive criticism/advice is more than welcome.
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wxmann_91
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#2 Postby wxmann_91 » Sun Sep 18, 2005 5:44 pm

nice graphic there, but I think you are a little too fast on Rita.
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#3 Postby hicksta » Sun Sep 18, 2005 5:45 pm

wxmann_91 wrote:nice graphic there, but I think you are a little too fast on Rita.
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#4 Postby beam182 » Sun Sep 18, 2005 5:46 pm

Fast how, intensification or motion? Thanks for the input btw.
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#5 Postby hicksta » Sun Sep 18, 2005 5:47 pm

Motion
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#6 Postby f5 » Sun Sep 18, 2005 5:47 pm

It could do a Katrina by droping 30 mb in between NHC advisories
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#7 Postby beam182 » Sun Sep 18, 2005 5:48 pm

f5 wrote:It could do a Katrina by droping 30 mb in between NHC advisories


Yeah, but that would suck.
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#8 Postby gatorcane » Sun Sep 18, 2005 5:48 pm

It could do a Katrina by droping 30 mb in between NHC advisories


how about what is going on now. Take a look :eek:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html
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#9 Postby WindRunner » Sun Sep 18, 2005 6:40 pm

Yeah, that 100hr position seems more like a 120hr position. But I see that intensity perfectly.
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