My take on rita..
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Just toss some more confusion into the model mix - anyone peek at the 12Z FSUmm5? It initializes the storm too far south like the rest of the globals, but what is real interesting is that after about 4 days, it gets picked up by a trough diving down through the center of the US and turns the storm northward in the south-central GOM - I don't think the northern Gulf Coast is out of the woods on this one yet?
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/mm5fsutc ... =Animation
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/mm5fsutc ... =Animation
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