What will be Rita's lowest pressure?

truballer#1 · #1 Postby **truballer#1** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 6:39 pm

what u think?

#2 Postby **JtSmarts** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 6:39 pm

930-950

fasterdisaster · #3 Postby **fasterdisaster** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 6:41 pm

925 millibars

Scorpion · #4 Postby **Scorpion** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 6:44 pm

900 mb.

milankovitch · #5 Postby **milankovitch** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 6:45 pm

940mb

wxmann_91 · #6 Postby **wxmann_91** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 6:57 pm

Somewhere in the low 930's.

truballer#1 · #7 Postby **truballer#1** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 6:58 pm

I say 920mb

gilbert88 · #8 Postby **gilbert88** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 8:31 pm

910-920 mb.

jimbo · #9 Postby **jimbo** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 8:37 pm

908 200 miles off the SE Texas/LA coast

SamSagnella · #10 Postby **SamSagnella** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 8:48 pm

I hate to say this, but what is stopping this from dropping to Katrina-like intensity? is it the >30C water? or maybe the diminishing <5kts of shear?

I'm sorry, but I have to think this will go sub-910mb maybe sub-900...

#11 Postby **Windy** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 9:00 pm

Yarr, there already be a poll on this from back when it was still TD 18.

Though I guess a re-sampling never killed anyone.

/BTW, today is "International Talk Like A Pirate Day". No, really.

#12 Postby **Lowpressure** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 9:03 pm

err, 928 matey.

canegrl04 · #13 Postby **canegrl04** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 9:04 pm

930-910

NastyCat4 · #14 Postby **NastyCat4** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 10:31 pm

890--this storm is going to be very dangerous. They're underestimating it.

jkt21787 · #15 Postby **jkt21787** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 10:33 pm

NastyCat4 wrote:890--this storm is going to be very dangerous. They're underestimating it.

Are you serious?

You are normally very conservative, so I'm very surprised by that.

jkt21787 · #16 Postby **jkt21787** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 10:36 pm

BTW, I'm going for 940. NHC discussion makes me believe this system will have some problems in the Gulf, but still should easily attain major status.

Website · #17 Postby **Brent** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 10:37 pm

935-940 mb... I don't see perfect conditions in the GOM, but sufficient for a solid Cat 4.

NastyCat4 · #18 Postby **NastyCat4** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 10:43 pm

You are normally very conservative, so I'm very surprised by that.

I have a bad feeling about this one--she's not even begun to peak, and is very large already. It has a long trip across the Gulf, and will have no impediments to being a monster. We saw what happened to Katrina, and this one may act accordingly. I think this season is winding down, but has one more beast left--and this is She.

Terrell · #19 Postby **Terrell** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 10:44 pm

I think it won't get as low as Katrina, but then again, when Katrina first appeared (before her South Florida landfall) models had her going on shore, going across the peninsula and then going north to the Florida Panhandle as a Category 1 hurricane. We all know that's not what ultimately happened with her. I don't trust Rita not to try and be like Trina.

jkt21787 · #20 Postby **jkt21787** » Mon Sep 19, 2005 10:50 pm

NastyCat4 wrote:
You are normally very conservative, so I'm very surprised by that.

I have a bad feeling about this one--she's not even begun to peak, and is very large already. It has a long trip across the Gulf, and will have no impediments to being a monster. We saw what happened to Katrina, and this one may act accordingly. I think this season is winding down, but has one more beast left--and this is She.

Appreciate the explanation, all I can say is I hope not!

What will be Rita's lowest pressure?

how low can she go?

What will be Rita's lowest pressure?

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