KHOU.Com - Galveston Mayor announcement

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
Doc Seminole

#41 Postby Doc Seminole » Tue Sep 20, 2005 12:18 am

God bless all you all in Texas..... you have been so helpful to so many.

Take care and just use common sense.

Doc Seminole 8-)
0 likes   

User avatar
Lindaloo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 22658
Joined: Sat Mar 29, 2003 10:06 am
Location: Pascagoula, MS

#42 Postby Lindaloo » Tue Sep 20, 2005 6:08 am

carve wrote:Holly!! If you would have seen the total destruction i seen in Long Beach Mississippi,you would never say the word premature.


Thank you.
0 likes   

User avatar
gulfcoastdave
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 100
Joined: Mon Jun 13, 2005 1:33 pm
Location: Milton,Fl
Contact:

#43 Postby gulfcoastdave » Tue Sep 20, 2005 6:59 am

It always sad to see people here become an ass when someone they think is too early. If you do not live on a barrier island then you have no idea how long it may take to get people out. Anyhow people did not read the first post right saying it was voluntary. It takes times to get people out. If you do not live in the area and do not understand the issues that affect the region , please be quiet.Good luck Texas
0 likes   

User avatar
HollynLA
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 836
Joined: Sat Aug 28, 2004 10:36 pm
Location: South Louisiana

#44 Postby HollynLA » Tue Sep 20, 2005 7:17 am

I wasn't going to say anything more on the subject but my words have been so twisted that I guess I need to explain my thoughts again.

Some of you are acting like I said they should NOT evacuate Galveston island. I NEVER said that so calm down. If this storm keeps it's projected path, then yes, of course they should evacuate, no question about it. I know that Katrina has made everyone a little jumpy with the destruction it caused, but we also need to realize that Katrina was no ordinary situation. I think evacuations are very important but should we start evacuating 5 days out? Probably not. 3 days is sufficient time to evacuate an island of 57K. How many storms hold their projected path from 5 days out till landfall. Very few. That doesn't mean that Rita is going to change course but it just might and then the people who did evacuate will be less likely to next time since they had to stay gone for several days and missed alot of work and paid $$ for hotels and food while gone. That's my point in all of this, so stop acting as if I said they should all stay in Galveston through the storm.

I think there will be many who don't evacuate yet anyway as they want to make sure the path holds before they make the final decision to leave. There is still ample time. I would say by Thursday or Friday morning.
0 likes   

dwg71
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2349
Joined: Wed Jun 08, 2005 4:34 pm

#45 Postby dwg71 » Tue Sep 20, 2005 7:20 am

a Cat 2/3 in matagorda bay is not a reason to evacuate galveston imo.
0 likes   

User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9492
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

#46 Postby ROCK » Tue Sep 20, 2005 7:35 am

dwg71 wrote:a Cat 2/3 in matagorda bay is not a reason to evacuate galveston imo.



only you would say something like this. DO YOU live on Galveston? DID you know Galveston extends way beyond the sea wall west ?? Probably not since you live in Pasadena.

So before you open your trap why dont you think about what your going to say first or better yet why dont you say nothing at all. thank you.
0 likes   

inotherwords
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 773
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 9:04 pm
Location: Nokomis, FL

#47 Postby inotherwords » Tue Sep 20, 2005 7:52 am

HollynLA wrote:I wasn't going to say anything more on the subject but my words have been so twisted that I guess I need to explain my thoughts again.

Some of you are acting like I said they should NOT evacuate Galveston island. I NEVER said that so calm down. If this storm keeps it's projected path, then yes, of course they should evacuate, no question about it. I know that Katrina has made everyone a little jumpy with the destruction it caused, but we also need to realize that Katrina was no ordinary situation. I think evacuations are very important but should we start evacuating 5 days out? Probably not. 3 days is sufficient time to evacuate an island of 57K. How many storms hold their projected path from 5 days out till landfall. Very few. That doesn't mean that Rita is going to change course but it just might and then the people who did evacuate will be less likely to next time since they had to stay gone for several days and missed alot of work and paid $$ for hotels and food while gone. That's my point in all of this, so stop acting as if I said they should all stay in Galveston through the storm.

I think there will be many who don't evacuate yet anyway as they want to make sure the path holds before they make the final decision to leave. There is still ample time. I would say by Thursday or Friday morning.


Holly, I understand what you're saying and I agree with you 100%. We don't deserve to be jumped all over for sharing this opinion. NHC has the 5 day track shifting south to a central TX hit at 2 a.m. Saturday, so who knows where this is going to come in? By Thursday we should have a better idea.

Hope you Galvestonians and Houstonians are spared this one. We share your concern even though you don't think we do.
Last edited by inotherwords on Tue Sep 20, 2005 7:59 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

User avatar
Yankeegirl
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3417
Age: 49
Joined: Sun May 23, 2004 11:59 pm
Location: Cy-Fair, Northwest Houston
Contact:

#48 Postby Yankeegirl » Tue Sep 20, 2005 7:58 am

I am ready for this one.. I am going to Walmart today to get some supplies just in case.... The timing is terrible though, I have sent out invitions for my daughters 2nd birthday party this Saturday.... We "were" going to have a BBQ... I guess I am going to have to cancel it.... Go figure.... Oh well.. there is always next weekend!
0 likes   

User avatar
therock1811
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5163
Age: 40
Joined: Thu May 15, 2003 2:15 pm
Location: Kentucky
Contact:

#49 Postby therock1811 » Tue Sep 20, 2005 9:35 am

GalvestonDuck wrote:
:wall:

Look at a map, gang.

http://maps.yahoo.com/maps.py?&addr=&csz=Galveston,TX

Island...one route (the causeway) off the island....leads to I-45 that heads northwest towards Houston. Then all those people near the bay (League City, Texas City, Kemah, Webster) have to leave also and they'll be joining us on the busy interstate.

And look at an evacuation map.
http://www.cityofgalveston.org/_private ... p_6_05.pdf
Once we do get off the island or away from the bay, we still can only go northwest on I-45 until we're north of Houston.

The earlier, the better.

Furthermore, just because landfall is forecast for early Saturday morning doesn't mean we won't start feeling effects before then. Rainbands can make some streets impassable.


I don't live there, but looking at a slide show available from the city's website sure puts it into perspective.

Here's the problem with waiting until 2-3 days before. If you wait until then, the people who will want to leave would still be stuck when the mandatory evac comes (which as I understand it, would be at 26-33 hours before the winds impact Galveston Island). Then you still have major problems, because you've effectively clogged/blocked I-45, as most who left before the mandatory evac. will have chosen that route. Although that will clear a few of the other routes, you still have a lot of people in those regions who must use the other routes. That's gridlock, and that's a nightmare just waiting to happen.
0 likes   

User avatar
jasons2k
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 8250
Age: 52
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:32 pm
Location: The Woodlands, TX

#50 Postby jasons2k » Tue Sep 20, 2005 10:45 am

dwg71 wrote:a Cat 2/3 in matagorda bay is not a reason to evacuate galveston imo.


If you saw what Carla did to Galveston you might change your opinion.
0 likes   

dwg71
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2349
Joined: Wed Jun 08, 2005 4:34 pm

#51 Postby dwg71 » Tue Sep 20, 2005 10:59 am

jschlitz wrote:
dwg71 wrote:a Cat 2/3 in matagorda bay is not a reason to evacuate galveston imo.


If you saw what Carla did to Galveston you might change your opinion.


Carla was a CAT 5.
0 likes   

GalvestonDuck
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 15941
Age: 57
Joined: Fri Oct 11, 2002 8:11 am
Location: Galveston, oh Galveston (And yeah, it's a barrier island. Wanna make something of it?)

#52 Postby GalvestonDuck » Tue Sep 20, 2005 11:00 am

dwg71 wrote:
jschlitz wrote:
dwg71 wrote:a Cat 2/3 in matagorda bay is not a reason to evacuate galveston imo.


If you saw what Carla did to Galveston you might change your opinion.


Carla was a CAT 5.


And Rita is still days away.

Did they think Katrina would be a Cat 5 on Sunday before landfall?
0 likes   

User avatar
jasons2k
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 8250
Age: 52
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:32 pm
Location: The Woodlands, TX

#53 Postby jasons2k » Tue Sep 20, 2005 11:18 am

Carla did not make landfall as a Cat 5
0 likes   

User avatar
patsmsg
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 282
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 4:35 pm
Location: MS Gulf Coast

#54 Postby patsmsg » Tue Sep 20, 2005 11:25 am

HollynLA wrote:evacuating tomorrow?? You're kidding! This storm is still 5+ days out and the path usually does change numerous times between now and 24 hours out. I really think this is premature.


Gee...It makes perfect sence to me that Holly would have a better feel for this than the Galveston County Office of Emergency Management . If I lived in Galveston, I'm sure I'd stay put on HER advice. :roll:
0 likes   

Mac

#55 Postby Mac » Tue Sep 20, 2005 11:33 am

I'm not saying emergency management officials were either right or wrong in this instance, but I think it is important to point out the importance of making wise decisions regarding evacuations. I'm sure emergency management officials all along the Gulf Coast are a bit trigger-happy right now due to the poor execution of emergency plans and the lives lost because of it in New Orleans. So naturally they will err on the side of caution and do what they feel is necessary to get people out of harm's way. They will save lives that way this go 'round, but what about next time?

There are costs that go along with such evacuations--loss of productivity, economic hits, inconvenience, looting, etc. If emergency management officials order evacuations that ultimately turned out to be unnecessary, the public may be less inclined to comply with future evacuation orders. That's the rub. Today's act of caution may cost lives down the road.

It's unfortunate, but that's the reality of these evacuation orders.
0 likes   

inotherwords
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 773
Joined: Mon Aug 30, 2004 9:04 pm
Location: Nokomis, FL

#56 Postby inotherwords » Tue Sep 20, 2005 11:42 am

patsmsg wrote:
HollynLA wrote:evacuating tomorrow?? You're kidding! This storm is still 5+ days out and the path usually does change numerous times between now and 24 hours out. I really think this is premature.


Gee...It makes perfect sence to me that Holly would have a better feel for this than the Galveston County Office of Emergency Management . If I lived in Galveston, I'm sure I'd stay put on HER advice. :roll:


Did you fail reading comprehension? Show me where her post told anyone to stay put.

Mac, I agree completely with your post. I've seen this happen in Florida over the years. If people overreact, then they're less likely to react the next time because "nothing happened" before. If 80 percent of New Orleans can evacuate 2 days before Katrina, I'm sure Galveston Island can manage to do the same. And yes, I used to live near there and I know the area traffic, the bridge situation, etc.
Last edited by inotherwords on Tue Sep 20, 2005 11:46 am, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

User avatar
HollynLA
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 836
Joined: Sat Aug 28, 2004 10:36 pm
Location: South Louisiana

#57 Postby HollynLA » Tue Sep 20, 2005 11:43 am

HollynLA wrote:
evacuating tomorrow?? You're kidding! This storm is still 5+ days out and the path usually does change numerous times between now and 24 hours out. I really think this is premature.


Gee...It makes perfect sence to me that Holly would have a better feel for this than the Galveston County Office of Emergency Management . If I lived in Galveston, I'm sure I'd stay put on HER advice.


Why are you twisting what I said? I've explained my reasons many times but you are choosing to ignore it.
0 likes   

User avatar
bvigal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2276
Joined: Sun Jul 24, 2005 8:49 am
Location: British Virgin Islands
Contact:

#58 Postby bvigal » Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:46 pm

HollynLA wrote: ...I think there will be many who don't evacuate yet anyway as they want to make sure the path holds before they make the final decision to leave. There is still ample time. I would say by Thursday or Friday morning.


I thought I would revive this thread, as hindsight is 20/20, no? And there's always the chance someone will learn from this situation something which could help them in a similar situation in the future.

Seeing as how people this morning were saying it's ALREADY too late now to begin evacuating, and judging from the live pictures of the gridlock on the roads, it looks like Wednesday WAS the "golden day". Maybe those emergency managers DO know a thing or two more than people outside of the area. :wink:
0 likes   

User avatar
bvigal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2276
Joined: Sun Jul 24, 2005 8:49 am
Location: British Virgin Islands
Contact:

#59 Postby bvigal » Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:48 pm

HollynLA wrote: ...I think there will be many who don't evacuate yet anyway as they want to make sure the path holds before they make the final decision to leave. There is still ample time. I would say by Thursday or Friday morning.


I thought I would revive this thread, as hindsight is 20/20, no? And there's always the chance someone will learn from this situation something which could help them in a similar situation in the future.

Seeing as how people this morning were saying it's ALREADY too late now to begin evacuating, and judging from the live pictures of the gridlock on the roads, it looks like Wednesday WAS the "golden day". Maybe those emergency managers DO know a thing or two more than people outside of the area. :wink:
0 likes   

User avatar
HollynLA
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 836
Joined: Sat Aug 28, 2004 10:36 pm
Location: South Louisiana

#60 Postby HollynLA » Thu Sep 22, 2005 1:22 pm

I thought I would revive this thread, as hindsight is 20/20, no? And there's always the chance someone will learn from this situation something which could help them in a similar situation in the future.

Seeing as how people this morning were saying it's ALREADY too late now to begin evacuating, and judging from the live pictures of the gridlock on the roads, it looks like Wednesday WAS the "golden day". Maybe those emergency managers DO know a thing or two more than people outside of the area.




It was MONDAY that I said it was too early. Today is Thursday and still 48 hours from landfall. Landfall that look to probably take place somewhere between Galveston and Lafayette, LA. I NEVER said they should not evacuate. That is all I'm going to say on the subject. Good luck
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: MadaTheConquistador, ncforecaster89, Teban54 and 46 guests