Has Rita slowed? Significance?

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HouTXmetro
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Has Rita slowed? Significance?

#1 Postby HouTXmetro » Tue Sep 20, 2005 2:09 pm

Any seasoned board members would like to chime in?
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Re: Has Rita slowed? Significance?

#2 Postby dwg71 » Tue Sep 20, 2005 2:10 pm

HouTXmetro wrote:Any seasoned board members would like to chime in?


I really dont think we can say until recon gets out there and gets new center. 12:30PM CST center was at 23.77N and 81.52W.
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Re: Has Rita slowed? Significance?

#3 Postby HouTXmetro » Tue Sep 20, 2005 2:11 pm

dwg71 wrote:
HouTXmetro wrote:Any seasoned board members would like to chime in?


I really dont think we can say until recon gets out there and gets new center. 12:30PM CST center was at 23.77N and 81.52W.


If indeed it has, are you still leaning towards and landfall well south of Houston?
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#4 Postby deltadog03 » Tue Sep 20, 2005 2:18 pm

it has slowed....on radar i have measured about 16.4nm in almost 2 hours...
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#5 Postby jax » Tue Sep 20, 2005 2:20 pm

deltadog03 wrote:it has slowed....on radar i have measured about 16.4nm in almost 2 hours...


if that is true... and plays out.... it inches NO back into the picture...
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#6 Postby mahmoo » Tue Sep 20, 2005 2:22 pm

Why jax?
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#7 Postby HouTXmetro » Tue Sep 20, 2005 2:22 pm

jax wrote:
deltadog03 wrote:it has slowed....on radar i have measured about 16.4nm in almost 2 hours...


if that is true... and plays out.... it inches NO back into the picture...


Wow, thats only 8 MPH. Did the models account for this slow down?
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#8 Postby Coredesat » Tue Sep 20, 2005 2:24 pm

They don't seem to. The 00z models should be quite interesting.
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#9 Postby loon » Tue Sep 20, 2005 2:25 pm

Stick with the NHC as far as speed, radar at distance is not a good tool for checking speed. just my thought.
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#10 Postby LaBreeze » Tue Sep 20, 2005 2:25 pm

What could be causing her to slow this early, if indeed she is slowing? Comments.
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#11 Postby HouTXmetro » Tue Sep 20, 2005 2:28 pm

loon wrote:Stick with the NHC as far as speed, radar at distance is not a good tool for checking speed. just my thought.


What about satellite? Looks like she slowed on satellite also.
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#12 Postby deltadog03 » Tue Sep 20, 2005 2:34 pm

she has slowed...radar is plenty good on tracking speed...as well as sat....will be interesting to see the vortex fix...not to mention if this speed continues to slow or stay the same here...00z mod will be interesting
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#13 Postby mascpa » Tue Sep 20, 2005 2:36 pm

Sometimes a slow down in forward spped indicates a possible change in direction, Possibly beginning a northern turn earlier than expected???
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#14 Postby loon » Tue Sep 20, 2005 2:37 pm

You stick with your thoughts, I'll stick with mine. I say radar is not good as you have no way for a real center fix. Sat is just as bad with no eye to focus on. I will wait for Vortex fix and then let them decide for me. I have no doubt it could have slowed, however she is changing overall shape and to say for sure an exact amount she slowed, I think is a hard call. But, have your crow or look like an internet board hero for 10 minutes, either way is fine with me

=]
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#15 Postby HouTXmetro » Tue Sep 20, 2005 2:40 pm

loon wrote:You stick with your thoughts, I'll stick with mine. I say radar is not good as you have no way for a real center fix. Sat is just as bad with no eye to focus on. I will wait for Vortex fix and then let them decide for me. I have no doubt it could have slowed, however she is changing overall shape and to say for sure an exact amount she slowed, I think is a hard call. But, have your crow or look like an internet board hero for 10 minutes, either way is fine with me

=]


LOL, I think I'll be a 10 minute internet heroe. I get your point though.
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#16 Postby BamaMan » Tue Sep 20, 2005 2:40 pm

loon wrote:You stick with your thoughts, I'll stick with mine. I say radar is not good as you have no way for a real center fix. Sat is just as bad with no eye to focus on. I will wait for Vortex fix and then let them decide for me. I have no doubt it could have slowed, however she is changing overall shape and to say for sure an exact amount she slowed, I think is a hard call. But, have your crow or look like an internet board hero for 10 minutes, either way is fine with me

=]


Whoa !! :eek:
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#17 Postby PTrackerLA » Tue Sep 20, 2005 2:42 pm

A slow down could cause the trough/weakness in the high pressure to affect Rita more and cause her to make landfall further up the coast. Basically if she continues to slow that's not good for Louisiana I reckon.
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#18 Postby LaBreeze » Tue Sep 20, 2005 2:45 pm

Could it be just a wobble or that she is repositioning herself?
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jax

#19 Postby jax » Tue Sep 20, 2005 2:47 pm

loon wrote:You stick with your thoughts, I'll stick with mine. I say radar is not good as you have no way for a real center fix. Sat is just as bad with no eye to focus on. I will wait for Vortex fix and then let them decide for me. I have no doubt it could have slowed, however she is changing overall shape and to say for sure an exact amount she slowed, I think is a hard call. But, have your crow or look like an internet board hero for 10 minutes, either way is fine with me

=]


dude, man... chill... please.
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#20 Postby loon » Tue Sep 20, 2005 2:50 pm

lol, I'm not mad...heh. I was making my point.
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