Severe storms could strike KY this wkend

therock1811 · #1 Postby **therock1811** » Fri May 16, 2003 3:49 pm

Severe wx is possible in Kentucky this weekend from a weather system currently in the Southern plains. Check regularly for updates, as this situation sets up for the weekend!

weatherlover427 · #2 Postby **weatherlover427** » Fri May 16, 2003 4:27 pm

Sure will! I'll be watching this situation for sure! :o

therock1811 · #3 Postby **therock1811** » Fri May 16, 2003 5:36 pm

Right now, the NWS only has 40% POP's for the wkend, but I say more like 60%. Not too optimistic am I? Well, I like rain sometimes, but I haven't seen enough sun lately.

therock1811 · #4 Postby **therock1811** » Sat May 17, 2003 9:33 am

Now those POP's are more like 70-90%! Arrrghhhh!
:mad:

I don't like rain on Saturday!

therock1811 · #5 Postby **therock1811** » Sat May 17, 2003 10:06 am

BTW... there is no mention of severe... we'll need to wait and see.

therock1811 · #6 Postby **therock1811** » Sat May 17, 2003 3:27 pm

I stand corrected, we have a Tornado watch in effect south of me... this is the text of that watch from SPC:

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 406
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
230 PM EDT SAT MAY 17 2003

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

CENTRAL AND EASTERN KENTUCKY

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 230 PM UNTIL
800 PM EDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 55 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND 80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST
OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF LEXINGTON KENTUCKY TO 45
MILES SOUTHWEST OF LONDON KENTUCKY.

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 403...WW 404...WW 405...

DISCUSSION...NRN END OF TN/AL/MS SQUALL LINE APPEARS TO HAVE BECOME
SOMEWHAT OF AN INDEPENDENT ENTITY...PER LONG-TERM COMPOSITE RADAR
IMAGERY AND SURFACE PRESSURE CHANGE FIELDS. GIVEN MODERATE TO
STRONG VEERING BOTH IN THE NEAR-SURFACE LAYER AND THROUGH MID
LEVELS...POTENTIAL WILL BE PRESENT FOR EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS WITH
BOWING SEGMENTS/ ISOLATED TORNADOES.

weatherlover427 · #7 Postby **weatherlover427** » Sat May 17, 2003 3:40 pm

I see ... stay safe WxBud! :o

therock1811 · #8 Postby **therock1811** » Sat May 17, 2003 3:43 pm

Yeah... I will. The WW is only south of me, but I'll be on the watchout nonetheless.

ColdFront77 · #9 Postby **ColdFront77** » Sat May 17, 2003 3:45 pm

Jeremy, you are only 30 miles north of the northern edge of this Tornado Watch. I would consider that "in and close to the watch area." -- wouldn't you?

therock1811 · #10 Postby **therock1811** » Sat May 17, 2003 3:51 pm

This is true... altho the NWS says nothing about severe wx in their forecast for Florence. Like I said, I'll be watching nonetheless.

therock1811 · #11 Postby **therock1811** » Sat May 17, 2003 5:35 pm

Tornado watch 406 has been cancelled as of 540pm. However, a Severe t-storm watch is in effect for SE KY until 10pm. Here are the details:

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 410
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
540 PM EDT SAT MAY 17 2003

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHEAST KENTUCKY
FAR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
EASTERN TENNESSEE
FAR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA

EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 540 PM UNTIL
1000 PM EDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND 70 STATUTE MILES
EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF BRISTOL
TENNESSEE TO 55 MILES SOUTH OF KNOXVILLE TENNESSEE.

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REPLACES
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 404...TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 406. WATCH NUMBER
404 406 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 540 PM EDT. CONTINUE...WW
405...WW 407...WW 408...WW 409...

DISCUSSION...LINE OF STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES EWD INTO
ERN TN AND SERN KY ATTM. AIR MASS AHEAD OF THIS LINE IS MODERATELY
UNSTABLE AS SURFACE TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED INTO THE LOWER 70S AND
DEW POINTS REMAIN AOA 60F. THOUGH SHEAR WILL SUPPORT A FEW ROTATING
UPDRAFTS...LINEAR NATURE OF THE ACTIVITY SHOULD MAINTAIN PRIMARY
THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED LARGE HAIL.
This is the watch as written by SPC. The watch is 170 miles south so it will not affect me.

therock1811 · #12 Postby **therock1811** » Sat May 17, 2003 5:37 pm

Rainband · #13 Postby **Rainband** » Sat May 17, 2003 5:37 pm

Stay safe Jeremy :wink:

therock1811 · #14 Postby **therock1811** » Sat May 17, 2003 5:41 pm

Looks like the worst is south of me... but I will not rule out thunderstorms with some severe weather here in the north. Looking really closely at the image... there appears to be a cluster of heavy rain WSW of Louisville, Kentucky. No word which direction it was moving at the time this image was taken, but will check shortly.

therock1811 · #15 Postby **therock1811** » Sat May 17, 2003 5:45 pm

Okay... looks like this is all pivoting, if you will, toward the north. So some of that heavy activity south of here is going to move in here in the next couple hours.

Rainband · #16 Postby **Rainband** » Sat May 17, 2003 6:18 pm

Keep us posted!!!! & stay safe ..Jeremy!!! :wink:

therock1811 · #17 Postby **therock1811** » Sat May 17, 2003 10:29 pm

Nothing happened here. I'm looking fwd to the end of the rainy wx. I do not like this at all.

Severe storms could strike KY this wkend

Severe storms could strike KY this wkend

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