Rita,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

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djtil
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#221 Postby djtil » Tue Sep 20, 2005 9:32 pm

last couple hours shows her really getting squashed.....conditions arent completely perfectly ideal yet.
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hicksta
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#222 Postby hicksta » Tue Sep 20, 2005 9:34 pm

Shes at 965mb...
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#223 Postby soonertwister » Tue Sep 20, 2005 9:36 pm

hicksta wrote:Shes at 965mb...


But it's a squashed 965 mb. You know, no pain, no gain?

:)
Last edited by soonertwister on Tue Sep 20, 2005 9:36 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Derek Ortt

#224 Postby Derek Ortt » Tue Sep 20, 2005 9:36 pm

seems like every storm is struggling according to some posters here. The same ones that said Katrina would not even kill 100
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#225 Postby hicksta » Tue Sep 20, 2005 9:39 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:seems like every storm is struggling according to some posters here. The same ones that said Katrina would not even kill 100


Lol yea, this storm is going to suprise alot of people. Just hope it stays near matagorda no futher North.
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#226 Postby soonertwister » Tue Sep 20, 2005 9:39 pm

Yeah, Derek, the way people with 48 posts are trying to tell us there's a minor chance that Houston/Galveston might be seriously impacted, and besides, Rita won't be more than a category 2 at landfall anyway.

As though they could put a number on her and put her in the used statuary section of the salvage yard.

I don't understand it, but maybe some people do.
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#227 Postby skysummit » Tue Sep 20, 2005 11:07 pm

Is the high beginning to move north? Look at the northern permiter in north Texas moving closer and closer to Oklahoma.

http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/loops/w ... us&type=wv
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#228 Postby HouTXmetro » Tue Sep 20, 2005 11:13 pm

According to MSNBC, Rita is at 110 mph and moving at 12 mph. I'm getting more concerned for a direct hit on Galveston or Freeport.
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[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]

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#229 Postby ROCK » Tue Sep 20, 2005 11:21 pm

HouTXmetro wrote:According to MSNBC, Rita is at 110 mph and moving at 12 mph. I'm getting more concerned for a direct hit on Galveston or Freeport.


Hey HouTex, I not to far from you. Pearland near beltway. Are you sitting it out?? Im not really sure.....
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#230 Postby HouTXmetro » Tue Sep 20, 2005 11:26 pm

ROCK wrote:
HouTXmetro wrote:According to MSNBC, Rita is at 110 mph and moving at 12 mph. I'm getting more concerned for a direct hit on Galveston or Freeport.


Hey HouTex, I not to far from you. Pearland near beltway. Are you sitting it out?? Im not really sure.....


I don't know. If the Storm comes Right Through Freeport or Galveston Bay as a cat 5 I will reluctantly go. I have three Big dogs and I don't want to leave them here to fend for themselves. :cry:
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[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]

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#231 Postby InimanaChoogamaga » Tue Sep 20, 2005 11:27 pm

What is the history with major hurricanes approaching the Galveston area? Is there a weakening possibility like we saw with Ivan? Obviously we know the hurricane in 1900 didn't weaken.
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#232 Postby jwayne » Tue Sep 20, 2005 11:29 pm

InimanaChoogamaga wrote:What is the history with major hurricanes approaching the Galveston area? Is there a weakening possibility like we saw with Ivan? Obviously we know the hurricane in 1900 didn't weaken.


1. carla weakened a little before landfall
2. alicia was strengthening up until landfall
3. claudette, down the coast a little, was reallllly strengthening up until landfall.

that's all i got.
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InimanaChoogamaga

#233 Postby InimanaChoogamaga » Tue Sep 20, 2005 11:30 pm

jwayne wrote:
InimanaChoogamaga wrote:What is the history with major hurricanes approaching the Galveston area? Is there a weakening possibility like we saw with Ivan? Obviously we know the hurricane in 1900 didn't weaken.


1. carla weakened a little before landfall
2. alicia was strengthening up until landfall
3. claudette, down the coast a little, was reallllly strengthening up until landfall.

that's all i got.


impressive speed with that response. thanks :)
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oneness
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#234 Postby oneness » Tue Sep 20, 2005 11:33 pm

Image
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#235 Postby soonertwister » Tue Sep 20, 2005 11:33 pm

InimanaChoogamaga wrote:What is the history with major hurricanes approaching the Galveston area? Is there a weakening possibility like we saw with Ivan? Obviously we know the hurricane in 1900 didn't weaken.


We actually don't know all that much about that 1900 hurricane, but it wasn't close to category five. Top storm surge was maybe as much as 15-18 feet. They were a fairly populated barrier island with no major protection from surge, and when the sea came in, bodies floated out.

I absolutely 100% guarantee you that if a category 4 storm runs over Galveston or makes landfall within 50 miles to the west, most of Galveston will be awash in water. Waves will crash into buildings.
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oneness
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#236 Postby oneness » Tue Sep 20, 2005 11:37 pm

So where is this "cooler SST" in the western gulf?
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#237 Postby soonertwister » Tue Sep 20, 2005 11:39 pm

just ask what's his name. He's the expert on those large pools of unusually cold water in the western Gulf.

What an asswipe.
Last edited by soonertwister on Tue Sep 20, 2005 11:39 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#238 Postby canegrl04 » Tue Sep 20, 2005 11:39 pm

Jeez Lou-eez look at the SSTs in front of Rita's path :eek:
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#239 Postby skysummit » Tue Sep 20, 2005 11:41 pm

There's no telling what she will look like when the eclipse is over! She's damn near perfect on radar.
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#240 Postby mtm4319 » Tue Sep 20, 2005 11:41 pm

Some people might be confusing SST with maximum heat content. The SSTs will be no inhibitor to strengthening, but the area closest to the Texas coast have lower heat content values (I'm not sure exactly what this means, though).
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