Good News on NHC track

[logybogy]

The Texas Coastline where it looks to be hitting is very sparsely populated...

It's not like where Brett hit in Kennedy County with only 414 people but it's a hell of a lot better than a metro area with 3 million+.

Matagorda County only has 38,000 people.

Calhoun County only has 20,000 people.

Arkansas County only has 23,000 people.

[hicksta]

Thought it was at matagorda... Im thinking itl be around Brazis County by Fri

[Jevo]

The Texas Coastline where it looks to be hitting is very sparsely populated...

It's not like where Brett hit in Kennedy County with only 414 people but it's a hell of a lot better than a metro area with 3 million+.

Matagorda County only has 38,000 people.

Calhoun County only has 20,000 people.

Arkansas County only has 23,000 people.

oh great... way to tick off the people I disagree with!!!! lol

[HouTXmetro]

So the 11pm update is ready?

[Starburst]

That is Aransas County not Arkansas and there are still alot of people that will have displaced lives due to this storm. I understand that it might be a better landfall area due to population but it is not better for those of us who live here.

[logybogy]

yes, here it is.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/ ... 55W_sm.gif

[InimanaChoogamaga]

those r dumb points you made logybogy. you are ignorantly following the black line.

[logybogy]

It looks to be somewhere near the Matagorda/Brazoria County line? Any Texas geography experts would be helpful.

Brazoria has 263,000 people but most of the population seems to be away from the coast and in the northwest near Harris County.

[Jevo]

those r dumb points you made logybogy. you are ignorantly following the black line.

seee what i mean

[wxman57]

If you assume that the hurricane is a thin black line, then yes, it is hitting in a lesser-populated area. However, there are over 4 million people in Houston about 30-50 miles to the right of that line, and hurricane-force winds will extend that far east of the center. A tiny northward jog in the track puts the center right over Houston.

[Starburst]

I would say right in between Matagorda and Jackson county is what it looks like to me.

[Air Force Met]

It looks to be somewhere near the Matagorda/Brazoria County line? Any Texas geography experts would be helpful.

Brazoria has 263,000 people but most of the population seems to be away from the coast and in the northwest near Harris County.

You need to consult those experts before you make "good news" posts. This track brings a big surge up into Galveston and Brazoria county. It puts a big portion of the Brazoria County population in the right eyewall (like me).

So...how is this good news?

[logybogy]

That Black line was only 15 nautical miles wrong 72 hours out in Katrina.

And no, it's not dumb to inform people that if the NHC track holds, Rita will affect a very small population area.

It's called INFORMATION and it's dumb to ignore it.

[jasons2k]

It looks to be somewhere near the Matagorda/Brazoria County line? Any Texas geography experts would be helpful.

Brazoria has 263,000 people but most of the population seems to be away from the coast and in the northwest near Harris County.

That's about where. Brazoria County has almost 100,000 in the Brazosport Area (Freeport, Surfside, Lake Jackson, Clute, etc.) and Dow Chemical among other things.

[Brent]

If you assume that the hurricane is a thin black line, then yes, it is hitting in a lesser-populated area. However, there are over 4 million people in Houston about 30-50 miles to the right of that line, and hurricane-force winds will extend that far east of the center. A tiny northward jog in the track puts the center right over Houston.

Ivan, Dennis, Katrina all made slight right turns at landfall...

How wonderful.

[mvtrucking]

yes, here it is.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/ ... 55W_sm.gif

Heck, if that track ends up being close. Saturday night Shreveport and beyond could get drenched being on the east side. (Not sure if 100 miles to the east would get much?)

[Air Force Met]

That Black line was only 15 nautical miles wrong 72 hours out in Katrina.

And no, it's not dumb to inform people that if the NHC track holds, Rita will affect a very small population area.

It's called INFORMATION and it's dumb to ignore it.

No it will not affect a small population area. The right eyewall goes over heavily populated Brazoria county and brings a big surge into Galveston Bay.

[HouTXmetro]

That track is puts it right on the Border of Matagorda/Brazoria County. If that verifies that puts Houston dead into the Right front quadrant. We will get very Nasty Weather.

[Brent]

That Black line was only 15 nautical miles wrong 72 hours out in Katrina.

And no, it's not dumb to inform people that if the NHC track holds, Rita will affect a very small population area.

It's called INFORMATION and it's dumb to ignore it.

You really need to look at a map...

[rockyman]

VERY insensitive and ignorant post...

Insensitive--naming specific counties that will be devastated and saying "good news"

Ignorant-- saying that passage of the NE Quadrant of a Cat 4 hurricane over or just to the west of Houston is "good news" just shows how little you know...