Good News on NHC track

[jasons2k]

AND it looks like it's been shifted slightly to the right, NOT good news for Houston.

[Rainband]

The Texas Coastline where it looks to be hitting is very sparsely populated...

It's not like where Brett hit in Kennedy County with only 414 people but it's a hell of a lot better than a metro area with 3 million+.

Matagorda County only has 38,000 people.

Calhoun County only has 20,000 people.

Arkansas County only has 23,000 people.

oh great... way to tick off the people I disagree with!!!! lol

With all due respect anyone -removed- this storm is an IDIOT and deserves it. I can't believe after Katrina...some people are still trying to pull this storm their way. Plain and utter stupidity.

[Indystorm]

I have friends who will be evacuating from the Freeport...Lake Jackson area. I have seen some studies indicating that a hit in that area would be a worst case scenario for Houston as it would put the metro in the dangerous northeast quadrant with surge up the bay. Given the geographical size of this storm and forecast intensity with all that warm Gulf water ahead of it I am really concerned.

[Stratosphere747]

That Black line was only 15 nautical miles wrong 72 hours out in Katrina.

And no, it's not dumb to inform people that if the NHC track holds, Rita will affect a very small population area.

It's called INFORMATION and it's dumb to ignore it.

Hard to believe how little people really know...

[wlfpack81]

That Black line was only 15 nautical miles wrong 72 hours out in Katrina.

And no, it's not dumb to inform people that if the NHC track holds, Rita will affect a very small population area.

It's called INFORMATION and it's dumb to ignore it.

WOW. Can't believe I'm reading this. As others have been saying a hit like that still puts surge into Gal and not to mention Hou/Gal will be in that right quad 50-60mi or so from the eye. They'll get hurricane force winds and add in the tornado threat then there'll be a lot of power outages possible in the Hou/Gal metro area.

Remember the black line is only the center, storm effects extended out way farther than that (TS winds forecast to extend 150nm out at that time).

[HouTXmetro]

I have friends who will be evacuating from the Freeport...Lake Jackson area. I have seen some studies indicating that a hit in that area would be a worst case scenario for Houston as it would put the metro in the dangerous northeast quadrant with surge up the bay. Given the geographical size of this storm and forecast intensity with all that warm Gulf water ahead of it I am really concerned.

Exactly, the Models inched closer to Galveston. This is becoming a worse case scenario for All of Houston.

[jwayne]

people that post stuff like this, quite frankly, should be shut down. This guy might actually influence somebody on galveston island that it's ok to stay if matagorda is where the eye crosses the coast. The price of ignorance can be someone's life.

[cycloneye]

This new track in fact is bad news for Houston/Galveston big population area as track as shifted a tad right.

[Brent]

The track is a little farther east... earlier the line was right through the Bay, now it's east.

[LAwxrgal]

I don't like the way this looks.

[SamSagnella]

Hurricane force SUSTAINED winds will affect roughly a ~200 mile long stretch of the coastline. Sure the centerpoint of the storm may come ashore in that area (it also may come ashore in Louisiana but that's for another thread...) but the EYEWALL (most dangerous portion of the storm) will pass right over portions of Houston if this path holds true. Not to mention the surge...if this comes ashore anywhere within 100 miles to the west of Galveston, it'll push several feet of additional water into parts of the city. Good news with a landfalling major hurricane just southwest of Galveston Bay? You're hilarious, logybogy, you should become a comedian!

[ETXHAMXYL]

My grandfather lives in Angleton which is the seat of Brazoria County. Freeport and Lake Jackson have masive chemical plants and there are more people working in those plants that do not live in that county. So when you say there are not that many people in the county you are only looking at residences only.
I remember when a storm back in 80 or so I think it was named David hit there. My father was a ham radio operator who lived at my grandparents house for a week when he worked at Dow Chem. at Lake Jackson. He worked that storm and he told me that they had about 2 ft of rainfall from the storm and it flooded the plants down there. I believe Angelton is about 16 miles off of the Coast. My dad also worked at Matagorta BAy for awhile and all that area down there my seem not populated but you have to again look at the factories and chemical plants. We are not just talking refineries but the pipelines, Electrical plants, and chemical plants that the refin. use to make more than just gasoline.
So just about anywhere on the Texas Coast is not good. Also not to speak of the Tornados which are hard to see coming since they are spun from the opposite directions of tornados which come in from a front or dryline. They can hit you from the East and not the SW which is where most people look when you think tornado in texas. In fact people up my way torwards Dallas will have to be on guard for tornados this weekend if Rita hits from Matgorta Bay and northward.
As much as we up here in ETX need the RAIN, I don't want it to harm or hurt anyone or anything, but it doesn't look like Rita is going to be a pretty little thing, but some BIG BOSSY BROAD with ATTITUDE coming at us here in TEXAS.
WE need to start Praying and Preparing NOW.
Forget cell phones find a HAM RADIO OPERATOR.

[bayoubebe]

The Texas Coastline where it looks to be hitting is very sparsely populated...

It's not like where Brett hit in Kennedy County with only 414 people but it's a hell of a lot better than a metro area with 3 million+.

Matagorda County only has 38,000 people.

Calhoun County only has 20,000 people.

Arkansas County only has 23,000 people.

oh great... way to tick off the people I disagree with!!!! lol

With all due respect anyone -removed- this storm is an IDIOT and deserves it. I can't believe after Katrina...some people are still trying to pull this storm their way. Plain and utter stupidity.

Yea, well, I used to think, hmm this may be exciting, blah , blah, but I still always evacuated. And after Katrina came our way, I don't wish for excitement with a hurricane anymore.

I don't wish what N.O. is going thru on ANYONE. Believe me, you DON'T want to have this happening to you. I hope people WILL evacuate who NEED to. Look at the poor folks in N.O. who didn't evacuate.

[Ixolib]

Regardless of whether its 413 people, 38,000 people, or 3 million people, it really doesn't matter WHERE she makes landfall if you happen to be among those who are impacted.... Don't understand why a larger population vs. a smaller population makes any difference at all... People will still be affected.