High -Res GOM Water Temp Map

[f5]

does anyone know where i can find a high-res map of Rita's jet fuel?

[WindRunner]

http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/avhrr/sst.html
Click on the GOM.

[jkt21787]

Heat Content...
http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/dataphod1/work/HHP/NEW/2005262go.jpg

Do notice its rather low the closer you approach TX.

[SouthernWx]

The GOM sst chart I utilize....

http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/PSB/EPS/SST/d ... fmex.c.gif

PW

[jkt21787]

The GOM sst chart I utilize....

http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/PSB/EPS/SST/d ... fmex.c.gif

PW

Thats the one I like. Notice, while the warmest values are in Rita's path and they are well sustainable for a strong storm, those numbers are NOWHERE near what they were in Katrina's path.

[Mac]

The GOM sst chart I utilize....

http://www.osdpd.noaa.gov/PSB/EPS/SST/d ... fmex.c.gif

PW

Thats the one I like. Notice, while the warmest values are in Rita's path and they are well sustainable for a strong storm, those numbers are NOWHERE near what they were in Katrina's path.

30 to 31 C is plenty warm enough to sustain a sub-900 storm, given all other synoptic factors likewise being favorable. Unfortunately, about the only thing she won't have going for her is a little dry air. But if she gets as big as it looks like she might, I'm not so sure a little dry air is going to put that big of a dent in her quarter panel.

[wxmann_91]

http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/avhrr/gm/averages/05sep/

BTW, compare the water temps from today to the water temps a day before Katrina formed.

No comparison.

And you might want to read this:

With all other factors being equal, being "off" by a mere 0.5°C (1°F) can be the difference between a storm that rapidly intensifies to one that falls apart!

(from http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/H7.html)

[f5]

it was great she weakened just a tad even though katrina hit those 90+ drgree water temperature but it looks as if she came in as a CAT 5 based on Mississippi towns wiped off the map

[FunkMasterB]

but it looks as if she came in as a CAT 5 based on Mississippi towns wiped off the map

Storm surge looked like a Cat 5, but wind damage looked more like strong Cat 3 (lots of trees still standing).

[mtm4319]

http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/avhrr/gm/averages/05sep/

BTW, compare the water temps from today to the water temps a day before Katrina formed.

No comparison.

The problem is that once temperatures reach a certain point, category 5 storms can theoretically sustain themselves quite easily. The temperatures this summer are past that point. Here, the entire potential path could support a category 5 under optimal conditions.

[oneness]

The temperatures this summer are past that point. Here, the entire potential path could support a category 5 under optimal conditions.

Now that says it all.

[soonertwister]

C'mon please!

Temps might have been a degree or two warmer for Katrina at most. Warm water depths weren't as deep, and upwelling was more significant for Katrina than is likely for Rita, because Katrina was moving slower.

And even venerable Max Mayfield has said that above a certain point, intensity due to surface temps is very much overestimated.

Talk about sheer, troughs, acts of God. The temperature every single place in the Gulf is EASILY enough to support a category 5 hurricane.

If you feel fine at 98.6, do you feel deathly ill at 100.0?

I don't think so. This whole subject is off topic as far as I am concerned. I certainly won't bother to comment further.

[oneness]

[deltadog03]

anyone notice what galveston bay or and the water right near there??? scary