rita moves north of projected track
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PTrackerLA
- Category 5
- Posts: 5280
- Age: 41
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 8:40 pm
- Location: Lafayette, LA
The latest frame looks like even more of WNW jog. With all the models in Texas I still don't feel safe here in Louisiana. It's like the local mets around here are kind of holding their breaths as well after we saw what happened with Katrina's path. Still, I'm very concerned for the Houston/Galveston area, this could be another huge disaster for our country.
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chrisnnavarre
- Category 1
- Posts: 309
- Joined: Fri Oct 03, 2003 5:52 pm
- Contact:
vbhoutex wrote:Moving North? She is still on an essentially WEST track. She is not even moving near WNW at this time..1n and 1.4w in the last 12 hours hardly constitutes anything akin to a North movement. Maybe North of the forecast points, but still on a Westerly track.
Yep, I agree... never thought I'd see it in September but this storm is TEXAS bound. God bless her.....Texas that is.
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FunkMasterB
- Tropical Depression
- Posts: 96
- Joined: Tue Sep 20, 2005 2:24 am
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Charles-KD5ZSM
- Tropical Depression
- Posts: 62
- Joined: Fri Aug 26, 2005 5:09 pm
- Location: Ocean Springs, MS
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FunkMasterB
- Tropical Depression
- Posts: 96
- Joined: Tue Sep 20, 2005 2:24 am
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southerngreen
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 141
- Joined: Mon Jul 04, 2005 2:11 am
- Location: Thonotosassa, FL & Old Fort, TN
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southerngreen
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 141
- Joined: Mon Jul 04, 2005 2:11 am
- Location: Thonotosassa, FL & Old Fort, TN
Cat 3, 4 later today winds to near 115mph
the 2AM update:
AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 84.0 WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES...130
KM... WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DRY TORTUGAS...ABOUT 145 MILES... 235 KM...
WEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA AND ABOUT 130 MILES... 210 KM...NORTHWEST
OF HAVANA CUBA.
RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WHICH WILL
TAKE THE CENTER OF RITA INTO THE OPEN SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
DATA FROM THE KEY WEST NOAA DOPPLER RADAR INDICATE MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE NOW INCREASED TO NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RITA IS NOW A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND RITA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A CATEGORY FOUR
HURRICANE SOMETIME LATER TODAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM. THE AUTOMATED STATION AT THE DRY TORTUGAS
REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65 MPH AND A GUST TO 87 MPH BEFORE
CONTACT WITH THE STATION WAS LOST.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG
WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE STILL POSSIBLE IN THE
FLORIDA KEYS IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. COASTAL STORM SURGE
FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
FLORIDA COAST. STORM SURGE VALUES WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TODAY IN
ALL AREAS.
RITA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2
TO 4 INCHES OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER WESTERN CUBA
AND 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER THE NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA...WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA.
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE
FLORIDA KEYS TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY.
REPEATING THE 2 AM EDT POSITION...24.2 N... 84.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 960 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM EDT.
FORECASTER BEVEN
AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 84.0 WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES...130
KM... WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DRY TORTUGAS...ABOUT 145 MILES... 235 KM...
WEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA AND ABOUT 130 MILES... 210 KM...NORTHWEST
OF HAVANA CUBA.
RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WHICH WILL
TAKE THE CENTER OF RITA INTO THE OPEN SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
DATA FROM THE KEY WEST NOAA DOPPLER RADAR INDICATE MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE NOW INCREASED TO NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RITA IS NOW A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND RITA IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A CATEGORY FOUR
HURRICANE SOMETIME LATER TODAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM. THE AUTOMATED STATION AT THE DRY TORTUGAS
REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65 MPH AND A GUST TO 87 MPH BEFORE
CONTACT WITH THE STATION WAS LOST.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG
WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE STILL POSSIBLE IN THE
FLORIDA KEYS IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. COASTAL STORM SURGE
FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
FLORIDA COAST. STORM SURGE VALUES WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TODAY IN
ALL AREAS.
RITA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2
TO 4 INCHES OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA
PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER WESTERN CUBA
AND 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER THE NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA...WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA.
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE
FLORIDA KEYS TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY.
REPEATING THE 2 AM EDT POSITION...24.2 N... 84.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 960 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM EDT.
FORECASTER BEVEN
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southerngreen
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 141
- Joined: Mon Jul 04, 2005 2:11 am
- Location: Thonotosassa, FL & Old Fort, TN
well, good nite - it's been nice talking with you. i stayed home sick today & HAVE to work tomorrow. if anything major happens (like she does a 180 and starts badk to florida) somebody please send up a flare???
thanks.
hope to "see" ALL of you back here safe & sound when this one docks in texas! happy trails.
in the latest frame she looks like she has a split personality like a weird wicked woody woodpecker looking up at NOLA, and with a big purple pompadour hair do looking back down at cuba.
maybe i have been up just a tad too long. until tomorrow.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/GMEX/WV/20.jpg
thanks.
hope to "see" ALL of you back here safe & sound when this one docks in texas! happy trails.
in the latest frame she looks like she has a split personality like a weird wicked woody woodpecker looking up at NOLA, and with a big purple pompadour hair do looking back down at cuba.
maybe i have been up just a tad too long. until tomorrow.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/GMEX/WV/20.jpg
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