Rita Recon Reports

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fasterdisaster
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#801 Postby fasterdisaster » Tue Sep 20, 2005 11:43 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:I would not be suprized to wake up tomarrow morning to a cat4. Kind of like I woke up to katrina as a 5.


Yeah seriously, it continues to organize on the latest images, and should be major by 2 AM update, maybe 5 AM.
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#802 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Sep 20, 2005 11:51 pm

I agree...
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#803 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Sep 20, 2005 11:55 pm

I will say that the recon should find us 120 mph winds....With 958 milibar pressure. The eye on radar is perfect. I would say stronger if it was not for data earlier.
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#804 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Tue Sep 20, 2005 11:57 pm

I say cat 3 at 11am at the latest even though I think it will be a cat 3 at 2am with a pressure of 960 maybe a little lower and I think it will be a cat 4 no later then 11pm tonight!
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#805 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed Sep 21, 2005 12:04 am

The plane should be taken off at any time.
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#806 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 12:15 am

Matt do you know if its one of the Air Force flights or one of the NOAA flights?
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#807 Postby Brent » Wed Sep 21, 2005 12:19 am

Where's da plane???

I was hoping for something before 2am, but I guess not. *sigh*
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#808 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 12:23 am

we haven't gotting anything from recon yet so they must not be in the air yet! they should be off soon though
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#809 Postby soonertwister » Wed Sep 21, 2005 1:00 am

CNN says Rita is already category 3, although I haven't seen anything official about that.
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#810 Postby soonertwister » Wed Sep 21, 2005 1:01 am

Yeah, Rita is the fifth major of the year, as if that was a huge surprise.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MI ... 0551.shtml
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#811 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 1:02 am

read the 2am they upgrade it in there! near the end of the last recon mission they were finding speeds to indicate the current 110mph so now I am sure theres fast enough winds to support atleast 115! I think it could even be higher then that but with no recon they just increased it to 115!
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#812 Postby mtm4319 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 1:07 am

soonertwister wrote:CNN says Rita is already category 3, although I haven't seen anything official about that.


I just turned it there and their banner at the bottom says

"CATEGORY 4" RITA

Quite misleading. :x
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#813 Postby Hurrilurker » Wed Sep 21, 2005 2:23 am

When is the next vortex expected?
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#814 Postby JamesFromMaine2 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 2:30 am

theres been nothing from recon! :( I have no clue whats going on!
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#815 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed Sep 21, 2005 3:05 am

Where is the recon?
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#816 Postby dwg71 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 3:08 am

There at the bar in Cozumel

Somebody must have said do you want to go to Rita, and they heard do you want to go for 'ritas. :lol:
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#817 Postby HurricaneBill » Wed Sep 21, 2005 3:34 am

dwg71 wrote:There at the bar in Cozumel

Somebody must have said do you want to go to Rita, and they heard do you want to go for 'ritas. :lol:


No, that's not true. They went to the bar and went to Rita. Just not the hurricane Rita.

::knudge knudge wink wink::
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#818 Postby AZS » Wed Sep 21, 2005 3:37 am

5 AM NHC:

120 mph
956 mb
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#819 Postby mtm4319 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 3:46 am

Hurricane Rita Discussion Number 15

Statement as of 5:00 am EDT on September 21, 2005


the reconnaissance mission scheduled for this morning was scrubbed
due to electronics problems on multiple aircraft. However...before
the eye went out of range of the velocity data from the Key West
WSR-88D...winds of 100-115 kt were seen at between 9000-13000 ft.
Additionally...satellite intensity estimates are 115 kt from all
agencies. Based on this and extrapolation of trends from the last
aircraft mission...the initial intensity is increased to 105
kt...and this may be conservative give the satellite appearance.
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#820 Postby Windy » Wed Sep 21, 2005 4:34 am

Quick, someone fire up the Accuweather Hurricane Penetration Plane!

What? Oh.
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