Rita Recon Reports

#821 Postby **loon** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 5:07 am

Windy wrote:Quick, someone fire up the Accuweather Hurricane Penetration Plane!

What? Oh.

HAHAHAH, whew..I'm tearing up...thats comedy, and so freaking true....

quote of the year if you ask me!

JamesFromMaine2 · #822 Postby **JamesFromMaine2** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 5:27 am

977
NOUS42 KNHC 201530
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
1130 AM EDT TUE 20 SEP 2005
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 21/1100Z TO 22/1100Z SEP 2005
TCPOD NUMBER.....05-115

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. HURRICANE RITA
FLIGHT ONE FLIGHT TWO
A. 21/1615Z A. 21/1800,22/0000Z
B. AFXXX 1418A RITA B. AFXXX 1518A RITA
C. 21/1400Z C. 21/1430Z
D. BUOY DROP MISSION D. 24.6N 87.0W
E. 21/1600Z TO 21/2130Z E. 21/1700Z TO 22/0030Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

FLIGHT THREE FLIGHT FOUR

A. 22/0000Z A. 22/0600,1200Z
B. NOAA9 1618A RITA B. AFXXX 1718A RITA
C. 21/1800Z C. 22/0215Z
D. NA D. 24.7N 89.3W

E. NA E. 22/0500Z TO 22/1230Z
F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

FLIGHT FIVE
A. 22/1200Z
B. NOAA9 1818A RITA
C. 22/0600Z
D. NA
E. NA
F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: BEGIN 3-HRLY FIXES
AT 22/1500Z. CONTINUE G-IV MISSIONS EVERY 12 HOURS.

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.......NEGATIVE.
JWP

AZS · #823 Postby **AZS** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 6:38 am

8AM NHC :

135 mph
948 mb

:eek:

#824 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 7:42 am

Let's see if they change to late morning the plan of the day which calls for a mission early this afternoon.Now recon is needed as the system is intensifying fast to see how is the pressure and the winds at the quadrants.

#825 Postby **cjrciadt** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 7:58 am

9AM 9/20 70mph 992mb
8AM 9/21 135mph 948mb
Holy......... She is ahead of the Labor Day cane and Andrew in rapid instensification pace!!!!!!!!!! :eek:

Will they use the unmanned aersonde today????????

redfish62 · #826 Postby **redfish62** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 8:12 am

I've got a fever and more recon is the only cure ....

jkt21787 · #827 Postby **jkt21787** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 8:31 am

So why is recon not going in until tomorrow? (according to Derek)

Website · #828 Postby **Brent** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 8:32 am

jkt21787 wrote:So why is recon not going in until tomorrow? (according to Derek)

I have no clue(there were electrical problems last night that delayed the scheduled flight at 1am)... although a NOAA plane is going out shortly. I'm hoping they'll get a pressure reading at least.

#829 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 8:46 am

I can't believe a second that no recon will not be into Rita until tommorow being what is going on with the system as now more than ever the people want the data to see how strong is she.The plan is for a mission at 18:00z but what happened with that one?

#830 Postby **cjrciadt** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 8:48 am

cycloneye wrote:I can't believe a second that no recon will not be into Rita until tommorow being what is going on with the system as now more than ever the people want the data to see how strong is she.The plan is for a mission at 18:00z but what happened with that one?

When I see you surprised, I know we are in deep trouble. The Drovak numbers now say 7.2 or 914mb, everyone in the media will be shocked when we get new data, but Thurs tha's insane. :wall:

Jono · #831 Postby **Jono** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 8:49 am

No way.. we need recon! :cry:

Lori · #832 Postby **Lori** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 8:53 am

914Mb

What kind of wind speed does that correlate to?

Website · #833 Postby **Brent** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 8:55 am

Lori wrote:914Mb

What kind of wind speed does that correlate to?

Cat 5. 160-165 mph.

Derecho · #834 Postby **Derecho** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 8:59 am

cjrciadt wrote:The Drovak numbers now say 7.2 or 914mb, everyone in the media will be shocked when we get new data, but Thurs tha's insane.

That's the AODT; the human-based Dvorak numbers have conistently been 1 whole number lower, and NHC has been using those numbers.

#835 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 9:00 am

A NOAA PLANE WILL CHECK THE INTENSITY LATER THIS MORNING.

The above from the 8 AM Advisorie:

I guess that is a noaa3 mission

FLIGHT ONE
A. 20/1700Z
B. NOAA3 1118A RITA
C. 20/1500Z
D. SFMR MISSION
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

So here is hope to see a vortex reading later this morning.

oneness · #836 Postby **oneness** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 9:01 am

It only went down to 914 for a brief few mins, then it settled on:

CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
7.0 / 920.1mb/140.0kt

holding steady ... so far

#837 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 9:10 am

354
URNT40 KWBC 211400
NOAA3 WX18A RITA
140000 2750 08232 13 +0278 101009 +285 +228 151012 999 999

#838 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 9:23 am

URNT40 KWBC 211410
NOAA3 WX18A RITA
140030 2751 08231 47 +0940 081013 +278 +230 074017 999 999
140100 2752 08230 379 -0031 081018 +264 +227 085019 999 999
140130 2753 08229 816 +0006 091020 +253 +224 095022 042 001
140200 2753 08228 1302 +0034 102025 +245 +221 110028 045 000
140230 2753 08226 1930 +0066 118030 +247 +205 120031 999 999
140300 2752 08225 2302 +0106 113030 +242 +194 111031 024 000
140330 2750 08226 2951 +0121 115032 +227 +185 115032 051 003
140400 2749 08227 3548 +0170 118031 +213 +174 117032 059 000
140430 2747 08227 4071 +0205 117031 +199 +177 118032 018 000
140500 2746 08228 4534 +0227 114030 +194 +165 116030 016 001
140530 2744 08229 5127 +0253 117029 +187 +137 117029 056 002
140600 2743 08230 5647 +0272 116029 +179 +126 116030 088 003
140630 2741 08231 6102 +0285 117031 +170 +126 118031 999 999
140700 2739 08231 6657 +0311 122032 +157 +118 123033 148 000
140730 2738 08232 7156 +0342 124032 +149 +107 123032 999 999
140800 2736 08233 7645 +0361 123032 +141 +090 123032 999 999
140830 2735 08234 8051 +0393 123032 +135 +078 124033 100 000
140900 2733 08235 8530 +0426 123033 +127 +068 123033 116 003
140930 2731 08236 9088 +0458 123033 +114 +055 123033 084 001
141000 2730 08237 9595 +0469 124032 +101 +055 124032 999 999

#839 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 9:32 am

URNT40 KWBC 211420
NOAA3 WX18A RITA
141030 2729 08238 10014 +0496 126032 +093 +049 124033 076 001
141100 2728 08241 10557 +0528 127031 +082 +043 126032 096 004
141130 2727 08243 11042 +0567 125031 +072 +030 123031 035 001
141200 2727 08245 11447 +0596 120032 +065 +023 120034 017 001
141230 2726 08247 11914 +0629 120034 +057 +014 121034 018 002
141300 2725 08249 12258 +0644 119033 +048 +008 119033 017 002
141330 2725 08252 12673 +0663 126032 +041 +001 130034 018 002
141400 2724 08254 13208 +0694 129032 +031 +007 130033 021 002
141430 2723 08256 13627 +0718 127031 +022 +006 126032 020 002
141500 2722 08258 13937 +0737 121031 +017 +003 122031 011 002
141530 2721 08300 14218 +0749 117029 +013 +000 117030 015 002
141600 2719 08301 14411 +0760 118029 +015 -001 119030 019 002
141630 2717 08302 14622 +0771 117031 +012 -005 117031 018 003
141700 2716 08303 14830 +0782 116031 +007 -009 118031 016 004
141730 2714 08304 14917 +0784 117030 +003 -010 116031 020 003
141800 2712 08305 14721 +0772 116031 +003 -005 115031 020 003
141830 2710 08306 14603 +0764 115032 +006 -001 115032 023 003
141900 2708 08307 14585 +0767 113032 +009 +000 113032 025 002
141930 2706 08308 14595 +0766 113031 +009 +000 112032 024 003
142000 2704 08309 14591 +0759 115032 +008 +000 115032 025 003

They are just SW of Tampa so still far from Rita.

#840 Postby **Pebbles** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 9:34 am

Can you remind me what set of numbers we are looking at for the wind again. On the wrong puter where i noted this info.

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