Rita Recon Reports

[skysummit]

Katrina topped out at 175mph winds. I'm afraid to say Rita may outdo her

Wouldn't that be amazing. I never thought I'd see a 175mph storm in my life, and now Rita could possibly top her.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Remember what Emilly did to Dennis record two weeks later. This year likes doing that.

[Brent]

That recon flight is headed for my area...

*prepares to go outside*

[ColdWaterConch]

Gotta love Google Earth....

Looks like they are about 35 nm Ese of the 11 am center

[JamesFromMaine2]

393
SXXX50 KNHC 211538
AF300 1418A RITA HDOB 03 KNHC
1527 3337N 08519W 03292 5144 042 010 074 131 010 03193 0000000000
1527. 3336N 08521W 03363 5122 045 009 072 149 010 03286 0000000000
1528 3334N 08524W 03745 5048 068 012 054 255 013 03743 0000000000
1528. 3333N 08526W 04094 5069 068 012 032 289 012 04078 0000000000
1529 3332N 08528W 04385 5155 059 016 014 327 018 04312 0000000000
1529. 3331N 08530W 04541 5117 062 019 000 333 019 04507 0000000000
1530 3330N 08532W 04716 5065 052 017 011 353 018 04734 0000000000
1530. 3329N 08534W 04878 5039 031 016 015 371 017 04922 0000000000
1531 3328N 08536W 05028 0030 024 016 025 367 016 05143 0000000000
1531. 3327N 08537W 05144 0081 012 018 031 357 018 05309 0000000000
1532 3326N 08539W 05253 0060 007 018 039 367 018 05398 0000000000
1532. 3325N 08541W 05367 0042 007 018 047 379 018 05494 0000000000
1533 3324N 08543W 05404 0041 006 018 051 379 018 05529 0000000000
1533. 3322N 08544W 05413 0031 001 019 053 381 019 05530 0000000000
1534 3320N 08545W 05424 0033 360 019 055 383 019 05542 0000000000
1534. 3317N 08545W 05418 0045 358 020 055 385 020 05548 0000000000
1535 3315N 08546W 05412 0033 359 018 053 389 019 05530 0000000000
1535. 3313N 08547W 05424 0079 359 019 055 395 019 05588 0000000000
1536 3310N 08548W 05415 0124 358 019 053 401 019 05624 0000000000
1536. 3308N 08549W 05420 0118 359 019 055 407 019 05623 0000000000

[cycloneye]

URNT40 KWBC 211530
NOAA3 WX18A RITA
152030 2413 08545 10037 -1592 356010 +218 +079 347014 999 999
152100 2412 08543 10028 -1607 281004 +218 +070 237005 999 999
152130 2411 08543 10030 -1578 265010 +214 +070 279014 999 999
152200 2410 08544 10023 -1555 287015 +207 +071 290016 026 002
152230 2410 08547 10033 -1546 295012 +211 +066 304014 025 003
152330 2410 08551 10038 -1515 332025 +209 +068 329027 023 002
152400 2410 08553 10045 -1498 346031 +200 +087 349041 042 003
152430 2410 08555 10047 -1430 349061 +179 +100 349070 067 006
152500 2410 08557 10063 -1325 349089 +156 +150 351099 105 014
152530 2410 08559 10062 -1175 353110 +144 +144 352116 111 030
152600 2410 08601 10070 -0999 354119 +134 +134 354121 104 037
152630 2410 08603 10045 -0837 358117 +130 +130 359121 099 026
152700 2410 08605 10048 -0707 358105 +129 +129 358108 093 014
152730 2410 08607 10012 -0599 358104 +134 +132 359106 088 009
152800 2410 08609 10054 -0498 358095 +129 +123 358096 084 005
152830 2410 08611 10024 -0413 359090 +126 +110 000093 080 009
152900 2410 08613 10028 -0355 358088 +123 +120 358090 077 014
152930 2410 08616 10047 -0309 357087 +120 +120 356088 073 007
153000 2410 08618 10035 -0256 357083 +120 +117 356084 069 004

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

I think recon will find pressures near 930 millibars...With 150 mph winds...That is my guest.

[Brent]

1536. 3308N 08549W 05420 0118 359 019 055 407 019 05623 0000000000

That's about 30 miles NW of here...

[djtil]

I think recon will find pressures near 930 millibars...With 150 mph winds...That is my guest.

not to turn this into a poll...but i like guesses so here goes:

945mb, 125kt peak flight level

[cycloneye]

URNT40 KWBC 211540
NOAA3 WX18A RITA
153030 2410 08620 10035 -0210 358077 +119 +113 357079 067 003
153100 2410 08622 10029 -0171 359075 +116 +113 358077 065 003
153130 2410 08624 10029 -0141 000070 +115 +105 359072 062 004
153200 2410 08626 10029 -0115 000067 +116 +110 359069 058 007
153230 2410 08629 10036 -0087 000066 +113 +113 000067 056 011
153300 2410 08631 10027 -0065 358064 +116 +114 359066 056 009
153330 2410 08633 10026 -0044 359067 +119 +108 359067 055 006
153400 2410 08635 10027 -0024 359068 +128 +099 000070 051 005
153430 2409 08638 10021 -0006 002067 +129 +097 004068 049 007
153500 2408 08639 10034 +0013 004068 +122 +091 005069 999 999
153530 2405 08640 10042 +0026 001068 +117 +097 001070 999 999
153600 2403 08639 10036 +0024 357068 +115 +098 355069 999 999
153630 2401 08638 10026 +0009 351071 +117 +094 352072 049 005
153700 2359 08636 10028 -0007 348070 +120 +087 349071 050 004
153730 2358 08634 10028 -0022 348070 +112 +100 348071 050 004
153800 2356 08632 10035 -0032 344065 +110 +103 347069 053 005
153830 2354 08630 10035 -0039 336062 +110 +102 336063 054 005
153900 2352 08628 10030 -0048 334063 +112 +100 335063 052 006
153930 2351 08626 10033 -0052 331064 +115 +098 330064 055 005
154000 2349 08624 10031 -0058 326062 +114 +100 328063 054 004

[JamesFromMaine2]

725
SXXX50 KNHC 211548
AF300 1418A RITA HDOB 04 KNHC
1537 3306N 08550W 05418 0126 359 018 055 413 018 05630 0000000000
1537. 3303N 08551W 05420 0141 358 018 051 417 018 05647 0000000000
1538 3301N 08552W 05417 0163 358 018 051 421 018 05666 0000000000
1538. 3259N 08553W 05419 0159 358 019 051 425 020 05663 0000000000
1539 3256N 08554W 05417 0173 356 020 051 429 020 05676 0000000000
1539. 3254N 08554W 05419 0150 356 021 051 431 021 05655 0000000000
1540 3252N 08555W 05414 0165 357 020 051 433 020 05665 0000000000
1540. 3249N 08556W 05421 0187 356 021 051 435 021 05694 0000000000
1541 3247N 08557W 05416 0178 357 021 051 435 021 05680 0000000000
1541. 3245N 08558W 05416 0179 358 020 051 437 020 05681 0000000000
1542 3242N 08559W 05418 0181 359 019 051 439 020 05685 0000000000
1542. 3240N 08600W 05420 0200 360 020 051 439 020 05706 0000000000
1543 3238N 08601W 05415 0185 360 020 051 439 020 05685 0000000000
1543. 3235N 08602W 05418 0223 360 019 051 439 019 05727 0000000000
1544 3233N 08602W 05418 0250 360 020 051 441 020 05753 0000000000
1544. 3230N 08603W 05418 0255 360 020 051 437 020 05759 0000000000
1545 3228N 08604W 05418 0272 359 020 051 423 020 05776 0000000000
1545. 3226N 08605W 05418 0286 359 020 051 413 020 05789 0000000000
1546 3224N 08606W 05417 0277 360 019 051 407 019 05781 0000000000
1546. 3221N 08607W 05418 0262 001 019 051 405 019 05767 0000000000

[SouthernWx]

I saw 136 kts in the east eyewall......and SMFR 123 kts at the surface, but bear in mind, this hurricane is moving west.....so the strongest wind speeds will be found in the north eyewall.

136 kt at 700 mb normally corresponds to 120-125 kt at the surface (as the SMFR 123 kt ob confirms). My guess is they'll find 145-150 kts at flight level in the northern eyewall, and a hurricane of around 130-135 kts (borderline cat-4/5 intensity).

Perry

[JamesFromMaine2]

021
SXXX50 KNHC 211558
AF300 1418A RITA HDOB 05 KNHC
1547 3219N 08608W 05417 0261 001 019 051 403 019 05764 0000000000
1547. 3217N 08609W 05417 0267 003 020 051 405 020 05769 0000000000
1548 3214N 08609W 05420 0278 004 020 051 403 020 05784 0000000000
1548. 3212N 08610W 05418 0260 004 019 049 403 019 05764 0000000000
1549 3209N 08611W 05416 0252 005 018 047 407 018 05754 0000000000
1549. 3207N 08612W 05422 0248 005 019 051 409 019 05755 0000000000
1550 3205N 08613W 05414 0245 009 018 051 409 018 05746 0000000000
1550. 3202N 08614W 05421 0222 011 018 051 405 018 05729 0000000000
1551 3200N 08615W 05415 0213 013 017 051 401 017 05715 0000000000
1551. 3158N 08616W 05418 0216 010 017 049 399 018 05720 0000000000
1552 3155N 08616W 05419 0229 010 018 047 403 019 05734 0000000000
1552. 3153N 08617W 05416 0197 009 019 051 409 019 05700 0000000000
1553 3151N 08618W 05418 0210 010 020 049 415 020 05714 0000000000
1553. 3148N 08619W 05422 0218 011 020 049 415 020 05726 0000000000
1554 3146N 08620W 05417 0234 011 020 045 419 021 05737 0000000000
1554. 3144N 08621W 05474 0249 014 020 049 425 020 05809 0000000000
1555 3141N 08622W 05476 0262 016 020 051 435 020 05824 0000000000
1555. 3139N 08623W 05480 0279 017 019 051 443 019 05846 0000000000
1556 3137N 08623W 05478 0282 017 020 051 449 020 05846 0000000000
1556. 3134N 08624W 05480 0273 016 021 051 453 021 05840 0000000000

[cycloneye]

URNT12 KNHC 211600Z
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 21/1517Z
B. 24 DEG 11 MIN N
85 DEG 42 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2522 M
D. 65 KT
E. 070 DEG 27 NM
F. 180 DEG 137 KT
G. 075 DEG 09 NM
H. 934 MB
I. 12 C/ 3056 M
J. 22 C/ 3062 M
K. 07 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C25
N. 12345/7
O. 1/1 NM
P. NOAA3 WX18A RITA OB 07
MAX FL WIND 137 KT E QUAD 1516Z

[cjrciadt]

59mb in 27hrs we can call it bombing offically.

[djtil]

wow....48mb in 24 hours.

[Brent]

OMG...

[Aqua Teen Hunger Force]

934mb=???

[skysummit]

What's the record? So far we have a Tropical Storm yesterday morning to possibly a Cat 5 at any time!

[Brent]

934mb=???

27.58 inches.