High is beginning to Move East as Forecasted

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HouTXmetro
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High is beginning to Move East as Forecasted

#1 Postby HouTXmetro » Wed Sep 21, 2005 11:06 am

http://orca.rsmas.miami.edu/wximages/jet/1_05/anis.html

Look at the Arkansas Oklahoma border. The High is pushing NE/East as forecasted.
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#2 Postby hicksta » Wed Sep 21, 2005 11:08 am

That might explain the WNW wobble

http://maps.wunderground.com/data/640x4 ... r_anim.gif


Overall yesterday night the NHC was barley south of freeport. Now its basicly on Matagorda. Im still thinking somewhere in between there.
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#3 Postby cajungal » Wed Sep 21, 2005 11:11 am

Would this change the track any?
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Re: High is beginning to Move East as Forecasted

#4 Postby Portastorm » Wed Sep 21, 2005 11:13 am

HouTXmetro wrote:http://orca.rsmas.miami.edu/wximages/jet/1_05/anis.html

Look at the Arkansas Oklahoma border. The High is pushing NE/East as forecasted.


For Pete's sake, you can't make a call about what the high is doing from a water vapor satellite loop! You need to examine the upper air charts man.
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#5 Postby dwg71 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 11:14 am

The HP has not moved, its been parked over texas for 3 days. It does appear to be expanding in many directions though.
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#6 Postby Dean4Storms » Wed Sep 21, 2005 11:18 am

The high has not moved, it is still parked over west-central Tx. All your seeing is the flow around the high.

That high has to start moving for the forecasted track to verify. If it doesn't all future tracks come alot further southward.
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Re: High is beginning to Move East as Forecasted

#7 Postby HouTXmetro » Wed Sep 21, 2005 11:20 am

Portastorm wrote:
HouTXmetro wrote:http://orca.rsmas.miami.edu/wximages/jet/1_05/anis.html

Look at the Arkansas Oklahoma border. The High is pushing NE/East as forecasted.


For Pete's sake, you can't make a call about what the high is doing from a water vapor satellite loop! You need to examine the upper air charts man.


I'm sorry. I thought you could uses the periphery of circulations on WV loops to get an idea of what a High is doing.
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#8 Postby amawea » Wed Sep 21, 2005 11:26 am

Well, I've been reading the pressures at locations all over Texas for the last 4 hrs. They were rising, but most locations are now steady or falling on the 11a.m. readings. I know this isn't long enough to tell yet, but there does seem to be a change beginning to take place.
Amawea
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#9 Postby HouTXmetro » Wed Sep 21, 2005 11:29 am

amawea wrote:Well, I've been reading the pressures at locations all over Texas for the last 4 hrs. They were rising, but most locations are now steady or falling on the 11a.m. readings. I know this isn't long enough to tell yet, but there does seem to be a change beginning to take place.
Amawea


Can someone provide links to the pressure charts? I would like to see this also.
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#10 Postby amawea » Wed Sep 21, 2005 11:32 am

HouTXmetro, I'm just copying the hourly reports from here. and watching the trends.
http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/tx/hourly.html
Amawea
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#11 Postby skysummit » Wed Sep 21, 2005 11:38 am

Is this the correct chart? If so, click on the -3 and +3 hour buttons at the top. You can see the high is elongating to the NE. ]

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8dlm3.html

If it's not the correct chart, please correct me.
Last edited by skysummit on Wed Sep 21, 2005 11:42 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#12 Postby drezee » Wed Sep 21, 2005 11:40 am

3 hour pressure trend...
Image
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#13 Postby TampaFl » Wed Sep 21, 2005 11:41 am

HouTXmetro wrote:
amawea wrote:Well, I've been reading the pressures at locations all over Texas for the last 4 hrs. They were rising, but most locations are now steady or falling on the 11a.m. readings. I know this isn't long enough to tell yet, but there does seem to be a change beginning to take place.
Amawea


Can someone provide links to the pressure charts? I would like to see this also.


Here you go. Click on the chart that corresponds to Rita's pressure ie:934mb.


Robert 8-)


http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... s-dlm.html
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#14 Postby HouTXmetro » Wed Sep 21, 2005 11:42 am

amawea wrote:HouTXmetro, I'm just copying the hourly reports from here. and watching the trends.
http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/tx/hourly.html
Amawea


Thanks
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#15 Postby TampaFl » Wed Sep 21, 2005 11:53 am

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#16 Postby hicksta » Wed Sep 21, 2005 11:54 am

Shes still going along wnw
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#17 Postby jopatura » Wed Sep 21, 2005 12:02 pm

Guys, it's WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON and it's not supposed to hit until SATURDAY MORNING. We had this same back and forth with Katrina on whether it'll turn or not and eventually it did. The NHC isn't stupid or inexperienced; if they say the high is going to move, there's a strong chance that it will move. It might not necessarily happen to the minute and second, but it will happen. It'll be devastating for whatever part hits it and it's looking more and more like the Freeport area.
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#18 Postby hicksta » Wed Sep 21, 2005 12:06 pm

jopatura wrote:Guys, it's WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON and it's not supposed to hit until SATURDAY MORNING. We had this same back and forth with Katrina on whether it'll turn or not and eventually it did. The NHC isn't stupid or inexperienced; if they say the high is going to move, there's a strong chance that it will move. It might not necessarily happen to the minute and second, but it will happen. It'll be devastating for whatever part hits it and it's looking more and more like the Freeport area.


Althought i agree we are so far out, im thinking about 20 miles north of matagorda
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#19 Postby amawea » Wed Sep 21, 2005 12:17 pm

The noon central time pressures in Texas are falling all over the state.
Amawea
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#20 Postby BamaMan » Wed Sep 21, 2005 12:25 pm

This far out, or actually slightly less far out (In Time) Katrina was supposed to go into the Big Bend of FLA. Still many things could change, even though the NHC is very firm on their thinking at this time and they do know exactly what they are doing.
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