Rita Recon Reports

[jkt21787]

URNT12 KNHC 211728
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 21/17:02:40Z
B. 24 deg 12 min N
085 deg 56 min W
C. NA mb NA m
D. NA kt
E. deg nm
F. 142 deg 142 kt
G. 036 deg 013 nm
H. 923 mb
I. 12 C/ 2447 m
J. 26 C/ 2436 m
K. 10 C/ NA
L. CLOSED
M. STADIUM
N. 12345/NA
O. 0.02 / nm
P. AF306 WXWXA 05092114306 OB 02
MAX FL WIND 142 KT NE QUAD 16:58:40 Z

[HenkL]

159
UZNT13 KNHC 211716
XXAA 7117/ 99242 70859 08145 99922 26614 21022 00/// ///// 92///
///// 85721 25044 88999 77999
31313 09608 81702
61616 AF306 WXWXA 05092114306 OB 03
62626 EYE SPL 2420N08592W 1705 MBL WND 21520 AEV 20507 DLM WND 21
518 922787 WL150 21022 080 =
XXBB 71178 99242 70859 08145 00922 26614 11892 24609 22873 26043
33850 25044 44752 24462
21212 00922 21022 11875 21516 22806 21517 33791 20512 44752 21513
31313 09608 81702
61616 AF306 WXWXA 05092114306 OB 03
62626 EYE SPL 2420N08592W 1705 MBL WND 21520 AEV 20507 DLM WND 21
518 922787 WL150 21022 080 =

[canegrl04]

Camille was a small hurricane but she killed over 200 people all the way to Virginia

[cycloneye]

URNT40 KWBC 211720
NOAA3 WX18A RITA
171030 2445 08623 12031 +0009 057074 +084 +066 057074 062 003
171100 2443 08625 12041 -0003 055075 +087 +059 054075 062 004
171130 2440 08627 12044 -0014 051075 +087 +066 052076 064 003
171200 2438 08628 12046 -0023 048075 +089 +072 049076 064 003
171230 2436 08630 12043 -0033 048077 +092 +067 050077 065 003
171300 2433 08631 12040 -0041 042077 +094 +067 039078 066 003
171330 2431 08633 12044 -0036 034076 +096 +056 035076 999 999
171400 2430 08635 12041 -0013 033072 +087 +066 032074 999 999
171430 2431 08637 12035 +0007 033069 +084 +074 033069 999 999
171500 2433 08637 12045 +0008 034069 +082 +069 034069 066 003
171530 2434 08636 12038 +0005 035069 +086 +072 038069 065 004
171600 2435 08635 12044 +0008 039068 +089 +069 039068 064 004
171630 2437 08634 12044 +0011 040068 +087 +065 041068 066 003
171700 2438 08633 12043 +0010 042069 +088 +061 042070 065 003
171730 2440 08632 12040 +0015 043070 +090 +059 043071 064 002
171800 2441 08632 12040 +0019 045070 +090 +058 044070 064 003
171830 2443 08631 12040 +0028 049069 +091 +059 050070 063 003
171900 2444 08630 12034 +0039 053070 +092 +069 052070 065 002
171930 2446 08630 12046 +0047 054068 +090 +075 053069 064 003
172000 2447 08629 12043 +0056 055067 +092 +065 055067 063 003

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Almost as low as Andrew 923 millibars.

I think she looks as good as Katrina...
http://www.cira.colostate.edu/ramm/rmsd ... PICAL.html

[dixiebreeze]

URNT12 KNHC 211728
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 21/17:02:40Z
B. 24 deg 12 min N
085 deg 56 min W
C. NA mb NA m
D. NA kt
E. deg nm
F. 142 deg 142 kt
G. 036 deg 013 nm
H. 923 mb
I. 12 C/ 2447 m
J. 26 C/ 2436 m
K. 10 C/ NA
L. CLOSED
M. STADIUM
N. 12345/NA
O. 0.02 / nm
P. AF306 WXWXA 05092114306 OB 02
MAX FL WIND 142 KT NE QUAD 16:58:40 Z

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Even so the pressure supports cat5. The winds 142 knots=146 mph surface.

[cjrciadt]

992mb 9am 9/20
923mb 2pm 9/21

[JamesFromMaine2]

547
SXXX50 KNHC 211728
AF300 1418A RITA HDOB 14 KNHC
1717 2541N 08756W 03045 0116 046 045 086 086 051 03168 0000000000
1717. 2540N 08755W 03048 0121 043 042 086 086 043 03176 0000000100
1718 2539N 08753W 03048 0119 046 045 096 084 046 03173 0000000000
1718. 2538N 08752W 03049 0111 046 045 098 082 046 03167 0000000000
1719 2537N 08750W 03048 0105 045 044 100 074 045 03160 0000000000
1719. 2535N 08749W 03047 0111 043 043 104 070 043 03165 0000000000
1720 2534N 08748W 03049 0104 043 044 102 070 044 03160 0000000000
1720. 2533N 08746W 03047 0087 042 046 100 070 047 03140 0000000000
1721 2532N 08745W 03050 0080 041 046 098 068 047 03136 0000000000
1721. 2530N 08743W 03048 0077 042 045 100 066 046 03132 0000000000
1722 2529N 08742W 03048 0075 040 048 102 068 048 03130 0000000000
1722. 2528N 08740W 03049 0073 040 051 100 068 052 03129 0000000000
1723 2527N 08739W 03048 0069 041 052 100 066 053 03124 0000000000
1723. 2526N 08738W 03049 0068 043 053 100 068 053 03123 0000000000
1724 2525N 08736W 03048 0063 043 053 098 068 054 03118 0000000000
1724. 2523N 08735W 03047 0060 042 052 096 066 052 03114 0000000000
1725 2522N 08733W 03045 0064 043 052 098 068 053 03116 0000000000
1725. 2521N 08732W 03049 0060 042 052 098 072 053 03116 0000000000
1726 2520N 08730W 03046 0052 043 052 098 076 053 03104 0000000000
1726. 2519N 08729W 03048 0060 042 052 100 082 052 03115 0000000000

[Brent]

Cat 5 is imminent. Wake up Avila...

[djtil]

still a strong cat 4......but at the rate of deepening only a couple of hours away.

[canegrl04]

Good Lord,a 69mb drop since this morning

[JamesFromMaine2]

311
SXXX50 KNHC 211738
AF300 1418A RITA HDOB 15 KNHC
1727 2517N 08728W 03050 0058 039 051 098 080 051 03115 0000000000
1727. 2516N 08726W 03046 0061 041 053 100 074 054 03114 0000000000
1728 2515N 08725W 03047 0059 044 053 100 082 053 03113 0000000000
1728. 2514N 08723W 03048 0053 042 055 102 082 055 03108 0000000000
1729 2513N 08722W 03049 0047 042 055 100 080 056 03103 0000000000
1729. 2512N 08721W 03047 0048 040 057 104 080 057 03102 0000000000
1730 2510N 08719W 03046 0052 041 058 102 090 059 03105 0000000000
1730. 2509N 08718W 03048 0049 043 058 096 096 059 03104 0000000000
1731 2508N 08716W 03050 0046 038 057 096 096 059 03103 0000000000
1731. 2507N 08715W 03048 0045 034 058 092 092 059 03100 0000000000
1732 2506N 08713W 03048 0046 033 051 074 074 052 03101 0000000000
1732. 2504N 08712W 03049 0041 039 058 084 084 060 03097 0000000000
1733 2503N 08711W 03051 0047 038 058 100 100 060 03104 0000000000
1733. 2502N 08709W 03048 0044 037 057 100 096 057 03099 0000000000
1734 2501N 08708W 03047 0042 037 054 102 084 055 03095 0000000000
1734. 2500N 08706W 03048 0042 038 056 096 084 057 03097 0000000000
1735 2458N 08705W 03045 0028 040 059 096 082 060 03080 0000000000
1735. 2457N 08703W 03049 0025 042 061 094 078 062 03081 0000000000
1736 2456N 08702W 03049 0020 043 063 100 074 063 03075 0000000000
1736. 2455N 08701W 03045 0012 041 063 104 078 064 03064 0000000000

[oneness]

I think she is building size now, rather than translating pressure fall to speed. Rita is still a fair bit smaller than Katrina when she peaked.

The main point is that pressure is still falling like a rock ...

[Brent]

Good Lord,a 62mb drop since this morning

70 mb since 8am yesterday... (using the 922).

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

She is doing what Katrina was doing. Building size instead of winds. Watch later today when they find 160 knots plus.

[cycloneye]

URNT40 KWBC 211740
NOAA3 WX18A RITA
173030 2516 08604 12040 +0222 093064 +083 +072 093065 061 008
173100 2517 08603 12040 +0226 092065 +077 +076 093066 062 009
173130 2518 08601 12044 +0228 087060 +076 +076 086061 062 012
173200 2519 08559 12042 +0236 087064 +074 +074 087066 063 012
173230 2520 08558 12050 +0243 093065 +072 +072 093066 062 011
173300 2521 08556 12030 +0243 098061 +073 +073 098063 062 009
173330 2521 08555 12034 +0253 099059 +075 +075 099059 061 008
173400 2522 08553 12045 +0261 098059 +072 +072 099059 059 009
173430 2523 08551 12046 +0266 099057 +071 +071 100058 058 010
173500 2524 08550 12051 +0273 095059 +068 +068 095061 999 999
173530 2523 08548 12033 +0264 096062 +074 +074 097065 999 999
173600 2522 08547 12043 +0257 099061 +073 +073 101062 999 999
173630 2522 08546 12031 +0261 104060 +075 +075 104061 999 999
173700 2525 08546 12035 +0277 102065 +072 +072 100068 999 999
173730 2526 08548 12042 +0286 097061 +069 +069 100063 999 999
173800 2526 08551 12028 +0277 093063 +069 +069 092065 057 010
173830 2524 08553 12036 +0266 092064 +067 +067 092065 058 011
173900 2523 08555 12041 +0258 093058 +071 +071 092060 060 012
173930 2521 08557 12037 +0249 096066 +074 +074 096070 060 012
174000 2520 08600 12047 +0240 095065 +074 +074 097067 060 011

[djtil]

unlike katrina, winds and pressure seem to be correlating more to the norm...imo.


923 is borderline cat 5 pressure, as is 150-155mph.......wind/pressure relationship fairly close to template.

[JamesFromMaine2]

335
SXXX50 KNHC 211748
AF300 1418A RITA HDOB 16 KNHC
1737 2454N 08659W 03050 0008 041 065 096 086 065 03065 0000000000
1737. 2453N 08658W 03049 5002 039 065 090 088 066 03054 0000000000
1738 2451N 08656W 03047 0007 037 066 098 082 066 03060 0000000000
1738. 2450N 08655W 03049 0006 035 067 102 076 068 03061 0000000000
1739 2449N 08653W 03047 0001 033 069 104 072 070 03055 0000000000
1739. 2448N 08652W 03049 0000 030 071 108 072 072 03056 0000000000
1740 2446N 08651W 03047 5004 027 071 106 076 074 03049 0000000000
1740. 2445N 08649W 03049 5007 030 066 094 094 071 03048 0000000000
1741 2444N 08648W 03047 5011 033 063 102 102 065 03043 0000000000
1741. 2443N 08646W 03050 5018 034 060 102 102 060 03039 0000000000
1742 2441N 08645W 03048 5025 031 060 104 104 063 03029 0000000000
1742. 2440N 08643W 03049 5032 028 063 096 096 065 03024 0000000000
1743 2439N 08642W 03047 5036 031 062 084 084 064 03018 0000000000
1743. 2438N 08640W 03048 5042 037 064 086 086 065 03012 0000000000
1744 2437N 08639W 03053 5045 040 067 106 106 069 03015 0000000000
1744. 2435N 08637W 03048 5055 037 069 112 110 069 03000 0000000000
1745 2434N 08636W 03047 5060 037 069 106 106 070 02993 0000000000
1745. 2433N 08635W 03049 5072 038 073 116 112 074 02983 0000000000
1746 2432N 08633W 03047 5084 036 077 122 106 078 02969 0000000000
1746. 2431N 08632W 03049 5095 036 078 122 106 079 02961 0000000000

[Dave C]

With rapid pressure drop it will take some time for the winds to catch-up.