Rita, 3rd strongest ever now!! 898mb

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
wxwatcher91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1606
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 2:43 pm
Location: Keene, NH
Contact:

#21 Postby wxwatcher91 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 5:13 pm

the only thing I'm considering right now though is all the hype about Katrina going sub 900

Im not saying Rita wont go sub 900 but just saying that it is possible 904 could be it... very slim possibility I suppose but nevertheless a possibility
0 likes   

User avatar
gilbert88
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 367
Joined: Fri Sep 10, 2004 12:57 pm

#22 Postby gilbert88 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 5:17 pm

850 mb is also possible. And irrelevant.
0 likes   

O Town
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5205
Age: 52
Joined: Wed Sep 07, 2005 9:37 pm
Location: Orlando, Florida 28°35'35"N 81°22'55"W

#23 Postby O Town » Wed Sep 21, 2005 5:20 pm

Lordy. lordy. I get up to eat a bite of dinner and come back to 904???? I guess it doesn't suprise me to much. She is one mean b1t@ch. A Doors song comes to mind for me........................Riders on the storm.......Take a long holiday.....let your children play.....if you give a man a ride......sweet memory will die.
Last edited by O Town on Wed Sep 21, 2005 5:31 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

arcticfire
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 189
Joined: Fri Sep 10, 2004 1:58 am
Location: Anchorage, AK
Contact:

#24 Postby arcticfire » Wed Sep 21, 2005 5:21 pm

gilbert88 wrote:850 mb is also possible. And irrelevant.


Actually I'm curious , just how low can it go theoreticly ?
0 likes   

User avatar
Hurrilurker
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 738
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 3:32 pm
Location: San Francisco, CA

#25 Postby Hurrilurker » Wed Sep 21, 2005 5:22 pm

krysof wrote:The eye is expanding a little bit, not contracting. I don't expect an EWRC at this time. I think there may be one in 12-18 hours as the rapid deepening phase stops and it encounters cooler waters.

I'm not sure where you're seeing that. I'm just looking at IR satellite imagery but it's clear that it has contracted a bit in the last few hours. I overlayed the 17:45 UTC and 21:15 UTC images and measured the eye. It is a few pixels smaller. Granted, not an entirely scientific measurement, but it does look smaller, as well as a small amount more ragged. The previously-perfect and symmetrical gradient ring in the eyewall is now a little rough and broken up. By no means would I say it's looking bad or even necessarily weaker though.
0 likes   

txwatcher91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1498
Joined: Tue Aug 02, 2005 2:29 pm

#26 Postby txwatcher91 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 5:25 pm

Hurrilurker wrote:
krysof wrote:The eye is expanding a little bit, not contracting. I don't expect an EWRC at this time. I think there may be one in 12-18 hours as the rapid deepening phase stops and it encounters cooler waters.

I'm not sure where you're seeing that. I'm just looking at IR satellite imagery but it's clear that it has contracted a bit in the last few hours. I overlayed the 17:45 UTC and 21:15 UTC images and measured the eye. It is a few pixels smaller. Granted, not an entirely scientific measurement, but it does look smaller, as well as a small amount more ragged. The previously-perfect and symmetrical gradient ring in the eyewall is now a little rough and broken up. By no means would I say it's looking bad or even necessarily weaker though.


The eye is expanding IMO. Just look at this visible shot.

http://www.cira.colostate.edu/RAMM/Rmsd ... PICAL.html
0 likes   

User avatar
HurryKane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1941
Joined: Sun Sep 12, 2004 8:08 pm
Location: Diamondhead, Mississippi

#27 Postby HurryKane » Wed Sep 21, 2005 5:28 pm

feederband wrote:
jpigott wrote:a tom petty song comes to mind now "because i'm free, free-falling", Rita's pressure that is.



A R.E.M. song comes to my mind....



Booooooo. :P
0 likes   

User avatar
Windy
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1628
Joined: Mon Sep 13, 2004 10:13 pm

#28 Postby Windy » Wed Sep 21, 2005 5:29 pm

She won't be once it gets to land, but I have to admit: out there in the open sea where she can't hurt anything, Rita right now is one of the most beautiful storms I've ever seen.

Isabel with her eye was aesthetically better, but Rita is such a raw force of nature at the moment... she's magnificent.
0 likes   

User avatar
Hurrilurker
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 738
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 3:32 pm
Location: San Francisco, CA

#29 Postby Hurrilurker » Wed Sep 21, 2005 5:31 pm

txwatcher91 wrote:The eye is expanding IMO. Just look at this visible shot.

http://www.cira.colostate.edu/RAMM/Rmsd ... PICAL.html
You're right, it does seem to be expanding there. Strange. Thanks for the link.
0 likes   

txwatcher91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1498
Joined: Tue Aug 02, 2005 2:29 pm

#30 Postby txwatcher91 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 5:33 pm

Hurrilurker wrote:
txwatcher91 wrote:The eye is expanding IMO. Just look at this visible shot.

http://www.cira.colostate.edu/RAMM/Rmsd ... PICAL.html
You're right, it does seem to be expanding there. Strange. Thanks for the link.


Your welcome.
0 likes   

simplykristi
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1220
Joined: Sat May 10, 2003 1:59 pm
Location: Near KCMO
Contact:

#31 Postby simplykristi » Wed Sep 21, 2005 5:33 pm

Unbelievable.

Kristi
0 likes   

User avatar
milankovitch
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 243
Age: 40
Joined: Fri Sep 17, 2004 11:30 pm
Location: Menands, NY; SUNY Albany
Contact:

#32 Postby milankovitch » Wed Sep 21, 2005 5:36 pm

wxwatcher91 wrote:the only thing I'm considering right now though is all the hype about Katrina going sub 900

Im not saying Rita wont go sub 900 but just saying that it is possible 904 could be it... very slim possibility I suppose but nevertheless a possibility


I don't know the pressure's still dropping pretty fast...920...908...904. There was a 914 in there somewhere but that was extrapolated.
0 likes   

User avatar
milankovitch
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 243
Age: 40
Joined: Fri Sep 17, 2004 11:30 pm
Location: Menands, NY; SUNY Albany
Contact:

#33 Postby milankovitch » Wed Sep 21, 2005 5:38 pm

txwatcher91 wrote:
Hurrilurker wrote:
txwatcher91 wrote:The eye is expanding IMO. Just look at this visible shot.

http://www.cira.colostate.edu/RAMM/Rmsd ... PICAL.html
You're right, it does seem to be expanding there. Strange. Thanks for the link.


Your welcome.


Focus on the exposed sea it looks like the eye isn't widening it's just becoming a more intense stadium effect.
0 likes   

truballer#1

#34 Postby truballer#1 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 5:44 pm

914 TO 904, THATS A 10 MB DROP IN ONE HOUR. THATS A RECORD!
0 likes   

User avatar
bvigal
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2276
Joined: Sun Jul 24, 2005 8:49 am
Location: British Virgin Islands
Contact:

#35 Postby bvigal » Wed Sep 21, 2005 6:22 pm

:shocked!: :shocked!: :shocked!: :shocked!:
How often do you see Dvorak IR that looks like this??!!
Image
0 likes   

User avatar
canegrl04
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2486
Joined: Thu Aug 26, 2004 5:37 pm
Location: Texas

#36 Postby canegrl04 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 6:26 pm

I think Rita will most assuredly surpass the 1935 hurricane . Maybe go for Gilbert's record :eek:
0 likes   

User avatar
milankovitch
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 243
Age: 40
Joined: Fri Sep 17, 2004 11:30 pm
Location: Menands, NY; SUNY Albany
Contact:

#37 Postby milankovitch » Wed Sep 21, 2005 6:28 pm

truballer#1 wrote:914 TO 904, THATS A 10 MB DROP IN ONE HOUR. THATS A RECORD!


Yeah I didn't think that was a record but I just saw the same thing on one of wunderground's pro met blogs.
0 likes   

dolebot_Broward_NW
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 529
Joined: Fri Sep 10, 2004 6:38 am

#38 Postby dolebot_Broward_NW » Wed Sep 21, 2005 6:33 pm

Actually the 904mb was reported at 1716(EDT) minutes after the 1700 advisory. So technically its 10mb in 16 minutes....
0 likes   

O Town
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5205
Age: 52
Joined: Wed Sep 07, 2005 9:37 pm
Location: Orlando, Florida 28°35'35"N 81°22'55"W

#39 Postby O Town » Wed Sep 21, 2005 6:34 pm

Dvorak IR.......wow! Amazing! :eek: :shocked!: :eek:

"Beauty and the Beast"
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38264
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

#40 Postby Brent » Wed Sep 21, 2005 6:35 pm

dolebot_Broward_NW wrote:Actually the 904mb was reported at 1716(EDT) minutes after the 1700 advisory. So technically its 10mb in 16 minutes....


Well... recon did report 906 mb before the advisory, I have no idea why they went with 914.
0 likes   
#neversummer


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: MadaTheConquistador, ncforecaster89, Teban54 and 75 guests