18Z NOGAPS Right over Galveston

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
StormWarning1
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 254
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 9:29 pm
Location: Nashville TN

18Z NOGAPS Right over Galveston

#1 Postby StormWarning1 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 5:37 pm

68 hours from model initialization.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
deltadog03
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 3580
Joined: Tue Jul 05, 2005 6:16 pm
Location: Macon, GA

#2 Postby deltadog03 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 5:39 pm

link?
0 likes   
Top
rockyman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1967
Joined: Thu Jun 26, 2003 12:24 pm
Location: Dauphin Island, AL

#3 Postby rockyman » Wed Sep 21, 2005 5:42 pm

I believe it's the peach colored line:

Image[/img]
0 likes   
Top
StormWarning1
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 254
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 9:29 pm
Location: Nashville TN

#4 Postby StormWarning1 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 5:44 pm

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/mywxmap/index.jsp

1. Click Public Charts (no login required)
2. Select 02 North America map.
3. Under 'CHART' scroll down to 'sfc temp, wind, sfc prs' and select.
4. select the hour interval in the green zone. 18z product only goes to 78.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
BayouVenteux
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 775
Age: 64
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 3:26 pm
Location: Ascension Parish, Louisiana (30.3 N 91.0 W)

#5 Postby BayouVenteux » Wed Sep 21, 2005 5:49 pm

On the composite model map above, it actually looks like a bullseye on Freeport...SW of Galveston...but with a monster of Rita's girth, the distance is academic.
0 likes   
Andrew '92, Katrina '05, Gustav '08, Isaac '12, Ida '21...and countless other lesser landfalling storms whose names have been eclipsed by "The Big Ones".
Top
StormWarning1
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 254
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 9:29 pm
Location: Nashville TN

#6 Postby StormWarning1 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 5:50 pm

The graphic on the fnmoc site is pretty coarse. I used Galveston because i could make out Galveston Bay on the map.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
skysummit
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5305
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Ponchatoula, LA
Contact:
Contact skysummit

#7 Postby skysummit » Wed Sep 21, 2005 5:50 pm

Did we really need 2 of these threads? ....by the same author???
0 likes   
Top
BReb
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 203
Joined: Sun Sep 05, 2004 12:39 pm

#8 Postby BReb » Wed Sep 21, 2005 6:07 pm

"I used Galveston because i could make out Galveston Bay on the map."

Yes, you can, and the models you linked clearly show landfall to the southwest of that.
0 likes   
Top
logybogy

#9 Postby logybogy » Wed Sep 21, 2005 6:24 pm

Actually, if the eye hits at Freeport and from all indications the eye will be huge and up to 30 miles wide, Galveston County will be in the northern eyewall, with the strongest winds and surge. Likewise, much of Harris County will be in the northern eye wall. It's pretty much the worst case scenario.
0 likes   
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38264
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

#10 Postby Brent » Wed Sep 21, 2005 6:29 pm

BReb wrote:"I used Galveston because i could make out Galveston Bay on the map."

Yes, you can, and the models you linked clearly show landfall to the southwest of that.


Where do you live???
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google [Bot] and 169 guests