Rita,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

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HurryKane
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#421 Postby HurryKane » Wed Sep 21, 2005 5:17 pm

mattpetre wrote:I have an overlayed pic of the two in a personal family album. Login as test/test and you can see the similarities.


[url]http://www.itawambainvestments.com/wambashots
[/url]


Very nice overlay. :) It kind of makes me want to vomit though.
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#422 Postby ncbird » Wed Sep 21, 2005 5:19 pm

As I watch this thread and see another monster getting stronger and larger bearing down on the USA all I can think is more people homeless, jobless, and sadly there will be more loss of life. I thought last year was bad but... my lord what the heck is going on this year? OK Mother Nature enough is enough.
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#423 Postby eolian » Wed Sep 21, 2005 5:19 pm

Ya`ll probably got this linky saved like i do, but if not worth a look as it shows the entire GOM water vapor image...

http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/loops/w ... us&type=wv
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#424 Postby Nexus » Wed Sep 21, 2005 6:08 pm

Nice WV map eolian

You know, if that high over Texas doesn't get moving on it's own, Rita very well could squeeze it to non-existance...
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#425 Postby Brent » Wed Sep 21, 2005 6:10 pm

ncbird wrote:As I watch this thread and see another monster getting stronger and larger bearing down on the USA all I can think is more people homeless, jobless, and sadly there will be more loss of life. I thought last year was bad but... my lord what the heck is going on this year? OK Mother Nature enough is enough.


I keep thinking we're being punished???

Oh and there was a scary thing on the NBC Nightly News tonight...

Simulations before 9/11 of three separate events

1. Terror attack in NYC. Check.
2. Hurricane floods New Orleans. Check.
3. Major quake levels San Francisco ???
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#426 Postby tallywx » Wed Sep 21, 2005 6:13 pm

Brent wrote: 3. Major quake levels San Francisco ???


Let's hope not. San Fran. is 30 miles from where I live, and I live 5 miles off the San Andreas Fault from which that quake would originate.
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#427 Postby Brent » Wed Sep 21, 2005 6:15 pm

tallywx wrote:
Brent wrote: 3. Major quake levels San Francisco ???


Let's hope not. San Fran. is 30 miles from where I live, and I live 5 miles off the San Andreas Fault from which that quake would originate.


It'll happen one day... just hope it's not soon. All we need is ANOTHER disaster. :roll:
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#428 Postby Skyline » Wed Sep 21, 2005 7:02 pm

I don't really have anyhing more to add than what has already been said: Except, the satellite pics of Rita are some of the most awesome and strange I've ever seen.

904 and she's not even close to being done. Are we to see a 200+ mph hurricane?

After this year . . .

. . . we need another category.
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#429 Postby themusk » Wed Sep 21, 2005 7:04 pm

ncbird wrote:As I watch this thread and see another monster getting stronger and larger bearing down on the USA all I can think is more people homeless, jobless, and sadly there will be more loss of life. I thought last year was bad but... my lord what the heck is going on this year? OK Mother Nature enough is enough.


The first thing I learned in the study of hazards is that nature creates the hazard, humans create the disaster. If we didn't put people and homes and businesses in the coastal areas (and in flood plains inland), hurricanes would do no harm to us.

It is possible, and has been possible for some time, to mitigate against the worst of hurricane damage. But that takes public support for stringent mitigation efforts, and the political will to create and enforce the laws/raise the taxes/do whatever else it takes to restrict development in high risk areas, demolish and relocate preexisting development in high-risk areas, do the same with structures on inland flood plains, and require the building of hurricane-resistant structures within a certain range of the coast (and I don't mean roofs strapped down, I mean reinforced concrete and stilt-type construction).

Those are draconian policies. In fact, they are probably too extreme and impossible to justify economically. But, regardless, it remains true that we create the disaster by constructing vulnerable structures and populating them, and Mother Nature just provides the wind and water.
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#430 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 7:12 pm

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:
djtil wrote:latest SHIPS goes from 149mph at 0hour to 163mph at 24hour.....still sees 10kts of potential strengthening before gradually coming back to 150mph at 48hour due to lower SSTs.......

how low will she go.



899 and 170MPH before the EWRC happens IMO


Nailed it..
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#431 Postby grphcdsgn6 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 7:12 pm

I totally agree. i chose to live on a barrier island and paid the price, it was my CHOICE where to live so I only have myself to blame, so why should i ask others to help me rebuild my life? People need to learn self responsibility. If a person died because they did not evacuate they only have themselves to blame, not the government which is essentially the us population.
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#432 Postby amawea » Wed Sep 21, 2005 7:12 pm

Mother Nature :roll: How aout God saying enough is enough!
Amawea
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#433 Postby HurricaneGirl » Wed Sep 21, 2005 7:47 pm

:eek: HOLY CRAP :eek:
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#434 Postby Mac » Wed Sep 21, 2005 7:50 pm

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:
DESTRUCTION5 wrote:
djtil wrote:latest SHIPS goes from 149mph at 0hour to 163mph at 24hour.....still sees 10kts of potential strengthening before gradually coming back to 150mph at 48hour due to lower SSTs.......

how low will she go.



899 and 170MPH before the EWRC happens IMO


Nailed it..


Yeah, and you also said she would be annular any time now...about 12 hours ago. A little humility might be in order. :wink:
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if this track shifts north...

#435 Postby Weatherboy1 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 7:51 pm

we're in for a world of hurt. Anywhere Rita makes landfall would be bad. But if the other models follow the GFS and GFDL and shift north, I don't even want to think about the economic disaster that will unfold. A Cat 4/5 heading right over Galveston, TX City and Houston? We could end up with $5 gas and who knows what else. As for the human cost, if there is one positive to come out of the disaster that was Katrina, it's that people are paying a lot more attention now. I bet Galveston is a ghost town now, or should be soon, and hopefully, that will save many lives. Good luck to anyone in the path of this incredibly powerful storm.
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#436 Postby skysummit » Wed Sep 21, 2005 8:05 pm

Latest Plots...

Image
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#437 Postby FlSteel » Wed Sep 21, 2005 8:10 pm

HurricaneGirl wrote::eek: HOLY CRAP! :eek:


I don't think anyone can say it better :(
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#438 Postby djtil » Wed Sep 21, 2005 8:12 pm

the SHIPS model now peaks at 177mph....and then rapidly takes off 50mph before landfall....interesting that it sees that much unfavorable at 48 hours..
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#439 Postby mtm4319 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 8:42 pm

cjrciadt wrote:What are the T-numbers now 7.5 or 8.0 :eek:


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/positions.html

21/2345 UTC 24.6N 86.8W T7.5/7.5 RITA

CI MWS MWS MSLP
Number (Knots) (MPH) (Atlantic)
7.5 155 KTS 178 MPH 906 mb
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robjay

#440 Postby robjay » Wed Sep 21, 2005 9:05 pm

Wow nobody commenting on the model thread.

Hey anybody see the west tick after landfall on some of the models?
http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_18.gif

Interesting - wonder if that's a hint of stalling over land??
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