Gfdl shifts north with gfs and nogaps

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Ivanhater
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Gfdl shifts north with gfs and nogaps

#1 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Sep 21, 2005 6:34 pm

gfdl now shows galveston
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Cookiely
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#2 Postby Cookiely » Wed Sep 21, 2005 6:35 pm

Its shifting north of the forecast points on the floater.
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#3 Postby Ivanhater » Wed Sep 21, 2005 6:42 pm

yep, still going north of forecast points
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#4 Postby mvtrucking » Wed Sep 21, 2005 6:57 pm

ivanhater wrote:yep, still going north of forecast points


+1 If this continues tonight it will have a great deal of impact on
where she makes landfall. Tx/La coast?
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#5 Postby mvtrucking » Wed Sep 21, 2005 7:03 pm

ivanhater wrote:yep, still going north of forecast points


+1 If this continues through tonight. Could she move more east? Tx/La coast?
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#6 Postby dwg71 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 7:07 pm

It could come further north than that, what is going on its going NW now. You can see the high's splitting. LA needs to be ready as well.
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#7 Postby PTrackerLA » Wed Sep 21, 2005 7:18 pm

Gosh that's a major NW wobble, her eyewall is now touching 25N. :eek:
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#8 Postby SLSharp » Wed Sep 21, 2005 7:47 pm

dwg71
Is the high moving east now...isn't this earlier than they thought???
Is it the high causing her to turn now?? Please keep all informed.....thanks
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#9 Postby SLSharp » Wed Sep 21, 2005 7:47 pm

dwg71
Is the high moving east now...isn't this earlier than they thought???
Is it the high causing her to turn now?? Please keep all informed.....thanks
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#10 Postby SLSharp » Wed Sep 21, 2005 7:48 pm

dwg71
Is the high moving east now...isn't this earlier than they thought???
Is it the high causing her to turn now?? Please keep all informed.....thanks
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#11 Postby SLSharp » Wed Sep 21, 2005 7:50 pm

SO SO SORRY ABOUT EXTRA POSTS....FORGIVE PLEASE :cry:
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#12 Postby Wacahootaman » Wed Sep 21, 2005 8:03 pm

The high is not moving east, it appears to be weakening or spliting in the middle.
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#13 Postby dwg71 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 8:10 pm

Wacahootaman wrote:The high is not moving east, it appears to be weakening or spliting in the middle.



Our local NBC met said that was what was going to happen, they were going to split, but the one left over tx was not strong enough to steer is south. So if High moves off to the NE that is currently over SE US, look out LA. Especially if it has slowed down.
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#14 Postby djtil » Wed Sep 21, 2005 8:16 pm

our local nws mets in dfw are saying that the high is holding very strong, stronger than models predicted....fwiw.
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#15 Postby dougjp » Wed Sep 21, 2005 8:46 pm

I would also be very interested in explanations as to what is influencing the change in direction and speed compared to the forecast over the past 4 hours or so. I can't find any answers from what I'm seeing, and for the sake of forecasting in general, I hope someone can!
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#16 Postby dwg71 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 8:50 pm

Last 4 frames show back to due west. I appears it was a wobble. I need to go watch LOST and come back in an hour. A smart person, myself, once said trust NHC.
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