GFDL and UKMET

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dwg71
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GFDL and UKMET

#1 Postby dwg71 » Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:45 am

Both are now east of Galveston...

I thought this needed its own thread.

Image
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#2 Postby jax » Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:46 am

here we go....
goodness.
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#3 Postby skysummit » Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:51 am

Oh Poo.
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#4 Postby f5 » Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:53 am

if those models continue east N.O. watchout this for this monster. 3" of rain is all it will take to brake a levee and this monster will certainly do a heck of alot more.
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#5 Postby Furious George » Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:55 am

The GFDL, supposedely on of the best hurricane models, looks to be right over Galveston and into the Houston area. Not good.
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#6 Postby PTrackerLA » Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:55 am

Crap, is this thing gonna be a Louisiana storm after all? I'm not believing this...
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#7 Postby dwg71 » Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:56 am

Furious George wrote:The GFDL, supposedely on of the best hurricane models, looks to be right over Galveston and into the Houston area. Not good.


Houston actually sits NW of the bay, so 40 miles east is better than 80 miles west.
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#8 Postby Houstonia » Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:56 am

Furious George wrote:The GFDL, supposedely on of the best hurricane models, looks to be right over Galveston and into the Houston area. Not good.



I'm not sure which is worse - the eye coming right over Houston, or the dreaded northeast quadrant coming right over Houston.

Sorry y'all to the east, but I'm a hopin' it curves ever so slightly more to the east.
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#9 Postby TSmith274 » Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:57 am

We in New Orleans are pretty much assured of some flooding city-wide, except on the westbank, which is where I sit now. On the bright side, the eastbank is empty. I just hope it doesn't go as far east as the TX/LA line, because my dad is still evacuated to my aunt's house in Lafayette.
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#10 Postby SoupBone » Thu Sep 22, 2005 12:58 am

So when do we get the radars back up so we can see her again?
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#11 Postby skysummit » Thu Sep 22, 2005 1:00 am

SoupBone wrote:So when do we get the radars back up so we can see her again?


The Satellites should be back up within the half hour.
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#12 Postby SoupBone » Thu Sep 22, 2005 1:02 am

In the 1am update did she move more north west or still west? I havent seen the latest but I was just told it was a NW track again.
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#13 Postby dwg71 » Thu Sep 22, 2005 1:04 am

SoupBone wrote:In the 1am update did she move more north west or still west? I havent seen the latest but I was just told it was a NW track again.


It was between wnw and nw. I believe .2 up and .4 over
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#14 Postby crazycajuncane » Thu Sep 22, 2005 1:06 am

SoupBone wrote:In the 1am update did she move more north west or still west? I havent seen the latest but I was just told it was a NW track again.


+.2 n this time

WNW @ 9 mph is what they updated.

From 4pm Tues to 4 pm Wed there was a .4 movement north (24 hours)

since 4pm Wed until 1 am Thu it has moved .4 N (9 hours)
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#15 Postby dwg71 » Thu Sep 22, 2005 1:28 am

These have followed as well.

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#16 Postby crazycajuncane » Thu Sep 22, 2005 1:30 am

I saw a model a few minutes ago, I have since lost it.... reminds me of an Ivan type scenario where it loops back into the water. :eek:
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#17 Postby mtm4319 » Thu Sep 22, 2005 1:33 am

crazycajuncane wrote:I saw a model a few minutes ago, I have since lost it.... reminds me of an Ivan type scenario where it loops back into the water. :eek:


Would that be the GFS?
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#18 Postby deltadog03 » Thu Sep 22, 2005 1:33 am

the 00z euro is still just SW of galveston....about right where NHC has there landfall point...
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#19 Postby crazycajuncane » Thu Sep 22, 2005 1:35 am

mtm4319 wrote:
crazycajuncane wrote:I saw a model a few minutes ago, I have since lost it.... reminds me of an Ivan type scenario where it loops back into the water. :eek:


Would that be the GFS?


YEP! :grrr:
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#20 Postby dwg71 » Thu Sep 22, 2005 1:35 am

deltadog03 wrote:the 00z euro is still just SW of galveston....about right where NHC has there landfall point...


did it shift or was it just about the same?
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