This is a Lake Charles, LA storm, IMO

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PTrackerLA
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#61 Postby PTrackerLA » Thu Sep 22, 2005 1:21 am

I was thinking that earlier, can't remember the last time we were on the wet side. Things could get rocky around here Friday, wouldn't be surprised if schools and government offices decide to close Friday.
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#62 Postby crazycajuncane » Thu Sep 22, 2005 1:28 am

PTrackerLA wrote:I was thinking that earlier, can't remember the last time we were on the wet side. Things could get rocky around here Friday, wouldn't be surprised if schools and government offices decide to close Friday.


Thats what bothers me the most. I don't have school on wed and fridays... the luxury of college, but I do have to work.

It seems all is business as usual around here. The east side is definitely not the side to be on.

Also the talk of Rita stalling out is not good. We don't need a foot of rain!
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#63 Postby Innotech » Thu Sep 22, 2005 4:32 am

I am grownig VERY concerned here. Im going to start taking objects into hte house and talk this over with parents today.
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#64 Postby BamaMan » Thu Sep 22, 2005 4:37 am

Innotech wrote:I am grownig VERY concerned here. Im going to start taking objects into hte house and talk this over with parents today.


Sounds like a good idea Inno. I think we will see LA become the biggest area of concern before the day is over,IMHO. Maybe even as far east as the Ms Coast also.
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#65 Postby dwg71 » Thu Sep 22, 2005 4:48 am

BamaMan wrote:
Innotech wrote:I am grownig VERY concerned here. Im going to start taking objects into hte house and talk this over with parents today.


Sounds like a good idea Inno. I think we will see LA become the biggest area of concern before the day is over,IMHO. Maybe even as far east as the Ms Coast also.


10AM update will be in LA imo.
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#66 Postby Mac » Thu Sep 22, 2005 5:05 am

BamaMan wrote:
Innotech wrote:I am grownig VERY concerned here. Im going to start taking objects into hte house and talk this over with parents today.


Sounds like a good idea Inno. I think we will see LA become the biggest area of concern before the day is over,IMHO. Maybe even as far east as the Ms Coast also.


The MS coast becoming the biggest area of concern? Yeah, okay. Not likely.
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#67 Postby BamaMan » Thu Sep 22, 2005 5:12 am

Mac wrote:
BamaMan wrote:
Innotech wrote:I am grownig VERY concerned here. Im going to start taking objects into hte house and talk this over with parents today.


Sounds like a good idea Inno. I think we will see LA become the biggest area of concern before the day is over,IMHO. Maybe even as far east as the Ms Coast also.


The MS coast becoming the biggest area of concern? Yeah, okay. Not likely.


Hey Mac, read it closer. I said LA the biggest area of concern, but a hit anywhere west of Ms, considering the shape they are in would be awful due to the size of Rita. Agree? And as of yesterday at this time, there was barely no mention of a LA strike. Katrina,60 hours out was supposed to make landfall in the Big Bend area, and hit NOLA. Little bit of difference there wouldn't ya say? JMHO anyway
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#68 Postby Cookiely » Thu Sep 22, 2005 5:31 am

Still coming north of the forecast points.
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#69 Postby soonertwister » Thu Sep 22, 2005 5:32 am

Of the major models, only one takes the path of Rita east of the LA/TX border. While there's no doubt that the western part of LA is going to get some nasty weather, the concept of a LA landfall is really not very viable at this time.
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#70 Postby dwg71 » Thu Sep 22, 2005 5:35 am

I personally have put off my evac from Pasadena at least until the 10AM update. I'm on the black line, and I havent felt more confident since she formed. Its looking more and more like LA.. I still have car packed and have a 4PM drop dead time.
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#71 Postby oneness » Thu Sep 22, 2005 5:37 am

Current situation. Not much to suggest a significant change has occurred, path-wise anyway.

Image
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#72 Postby dwg71 » Thu Sep 22, 2005 5:39 am

oneness wrote:Current situation. Not much to suggest a significant change has occurred, path-wise anyway.

Image


The eye is NNW of forecast point. Path will change dramatically if this continues.
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#73 Postby dwg71 » Thu Sep 22, 2005 5:41 am

soonertwister wrote:Of the major models, only one takes the path of Rita east of the LA/TX border. While there's no doubt that the western part of LA is going to get some nasty weather, the concept of a LA landfall is really not very viable at this time.


Wait about an hour and a half until new models come out and you will see the majority of them in KA, imo.
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#74 Postby Nimbus » Thu Sep 22, 2005 5:43 am

As new data comes in they will make the changes to the track if necessary so parts of LA may be in the cone.
Lets hope for an eyewall replacement cycle with some shear before landfall.
It does look as though rhe new ridge building to the east of Rita is going to be strong.

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#75 Postby HollynLA » Thu Sep 22, 2005 5:44 am

Much of LA went to bed last night thinking this was going to central TX, the storm is steadily defying the forecast points by going to NE of the point. I really fear that this storm will take LA by surprise, there wouldn't be much time to get out at this point.
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#76 Postby dwg71 » Thu Sep 22, 2005 5:47 am

Because LA is closer to Rita, it could be there in 36 -48 hours. I would be making plans if you live on the coast.
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#77 Postby HollynLA » Thu Sep 22, 2005 5:50 am

My dh just called from his cell phone and said to make a list of what we need to bring if we need to evacuate.

If this storm keeps up this kind of motion, I think it could make landfall as far east as Lafayette, LA. This would be really bad for Baton Rouge, which is where 240,000 evacuees from NOLA are. Not to mention to the extra surge brought into NOLA would be devestating.
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#78 Postby tailgater » Thu Sep 22, 2005 6:14 am

The last sat. fix I think is 25.2N-88.2W.
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#79 Postby TS Zack » Thu Sep 22, 2005 7:06 am

HollynLA wrote:Much of LA went to bed last night thinking this was going to central TX, the storm is steadily defying the forecast points by going to NE of the point. I really fear that this storm will take LA by surprise, there wouldn't be much time to get out at this point.


WE CANT

It is too late.
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#80 Postby stormspotter » Thu Sep 22, 2005 7:12 am

Central La is under the gun as we can all see based on latest sat loops and unfortunately this is worse of a situation since La. is not ready to respond. The unfortunate thing is Fox and CNN is still dwelling on a Texas hit....God help us all!
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