Rita,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

[oneness]

Looking a much healthier now for moisture level in the western core. I think she's going to kick back into Cat 5 in a few hours by the looks of things.

[cycloneye]

HURRICANE RITA (AL182005) ON 20050922 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050922 1800 050923 0600 050923 1800 050924 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 25.6N 89.1W 26.3N 90.7W 27.1N 92.3W 28.3N 93.8W
BAMM 25.6N 89.1W 26.1N 90.5W 26.6N 91.9W 27.4N 93.0W
A98E 25.6N 89.1W 26.4N 90.4W 27.2N 91.7W 28.4N 92.4W
LBAR 25.6N 89.1W 26.4N 90.4W 27.4N 92.1W 28.7N 93.6W
SHIP 130KTS 123KTS 118KTS 110KTS
DSHP 130KTS 123KTS 118KTS 110KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050924 1800 050925 1800 050926 1800 050927 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 29.5N 94.8W 30.6N 94.8W 29.9N 95.9W 29.2N 99.8W
BAMM 28.5N 93.8W 29.7N 94.4W 29.1N 96.2W 28.7N 100.5W
A98E 29.3N 93.1W 29.0N 92.6W 29.1N 92.3W 28.9N 93.7W
LBAR 30.1N 94.8W 32.5N 95.4W 32.6N 93.0W 32.7N 89.7W
SHIP 96KTS 59KTS 24KTS 0KTS
DSHP 60KTS 30KTS 27KTS 0KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 25.6N LONCUR = 89.1W DIRCUR = 300DEG SPDCUR = 8KT
LATM12 = 24.8N LONM12 = 87.6W DIRM12 = 298DEG SPDM12 = 8KT
LATM24 = 24.3N LONM24 = 86.2W
WNDCUR = 130KT RMAXWD = 10NM WNDM12 = 150KT
CENPRS = 914MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD = 325NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 160NM RD34SE = 140NM RD34SW = 100NM RD34NW = 160NM

[gatorcane]

already turning NW, not good for LA and NOLA

[CYCLONE MIKE]

I heard on the radio earlier that a trough of low pressure was forming in west Texas and moving east. That was going to do two things. 1. weaken the high and push it more eastward and 2.Give Rita even more of an opportunity to turn northward even earlier. Has anyone else heard this? If it has been discussed already sorry. If not could someone please elaborate on it if it is true.

[melhow]

help me with a beginner question:

Moving at 300. Are these like numbers on a dial - 300 being somewhere north of west? How high do the numbers go and what is the number for the 12 o'clock position on the dial, meaning, what number is due north? Zero?

Thanks.

[hicksta]

the NHC must be going bonkers right now....Texas may not even get the brunt of this storm anymore the way it is looking. SW LA to NOLA is going to get it

and that was not in the cone yesterday

. Doubt it bro but who knows bro. The gfdl and which other mmodel show galv

[HURAKAN]

help me with a beginner question:

Moving at 300. Are these like numbers on a dial - 300 being somewhere north of west? How high do the numbers go and what is the number for the 12 o'clock position on the dial, meaning, what number is due north? Zero?

Thanks.

[bvigal]

OSEI has captured Rita at her peak!!! This doesn't happen all that often, at least not in the last 6 years I've received daily email of pics from them. Storms frequently peak on weekends, or during satellite eclipse, so the peaks aren't featured at OSEI.

http://www.osei.noaa.gov/Events/Current ... 65_G12.jpg

I could do without the red arrow labeling the eye. Would anyone looking at that pic not see the eye?

[bvigal]

dup

[storms in NC]

help me with a beginner question:

Moving at 300. Are these like numbers on a dial - 300 being somewhere north of west? How high do the numbers go and what is the number for the 12 o'clock position on the dial, meaning, what number is due north? Zero?

Thanks.

[img][/img]

[Windy]

help me with a beginner question:

Moving at 300. Are these like numbers on a dial - 300 being somewhere north of west? How high do the numbers go and what is the number for the 12 o'clock position on the dial, meaning, what number is due north? Zero?

Thanks.

It's like the numbers of a compass.



When people talk about storm motion, they're talking about the storm going towards the direction indicated by the number.

When people talk about those numbers in reference to the wind, they're talking about where the winds are coming from, not where they are going.

[Windy]

GMTA!

[dwg71]

the NHC must be going bonkers right now....Texas may not even get the brunt of this storm anymore the way it is looking. SW LA to NOLA is going to get it

and that was not in the cone yesterday

. Doubt it bro but who knows bro. The gfdl and which other mmodel show galv

4PM update should be interesting, Rita has missed her next mark big time, at current heading she's going to LA. IF she recurves as predicted its going to Cent LA, which would put enormous pressure on NOLA.

[oneness]

DEVORAK T plot definitely on a gradual decline again.

[CYCLONE MIKE]

dwg, Rita is moving at 300' now. As you said she missed her next plot a good bit to the east of it. Do you think as she gains a little more latitude by the hour the chances of her turning more to the north earlier and quicker than forecast increase?

[Ivanhater]

the NHC must be going bonkers right now....Texas may not even get the brunt of this storm anymore the way it is looking. SW LA to NOLA is going to get it

and that was not in the cone yesterday

. Doubt it bro but who knows bro. The gfdl and which other mmodel show galv

4PM update should be interesting, Rita has missed her next mark big time, at current heading she's going to LA. IF she recurves as predicted its going to Cent LA, which would put enormous pressure on NOLA.

yep dw, keeps going north even when they update the points....i dont think she like people making her go a certain way so she pulls away...keeps bumping even further north every image that comes in

[Ivanhater]

the NHC must be going bonkers right now....Texas may not even get the brunt of this storm anymore the way it is looking. SW LA to NOLA is going to get it

and that was not in the cone yesterday

. Doubt it bro but who knows bro. The gfdl and which other mmodel show galv

4PM update should be interesting, Rita has missed her next mark big time, at current heading she's going to LA. IF she recurves as predicted its going to Cent LA, which would put enormous pressure on NOLA.

yep dw, keeps going north even when they update the points....i dont think she like people making her go a certain way so she pulls away...keeps bumping even further north every image that comes in

[Ivanhater]

the NHC must be going bonkers right now....Texas may not even get the brunt of this storm anymore the way it is looking. SW LA to NOLA is going to get it

and that was not in the cone yesterday

. Doubt it bro but who knows bro. The gfdl and which other mmodel show galv

4PM update should be interesting, Rita has missed her next mark big time, at current heading she's going to LA. IF she recurves as predicted its going to Cent LA, which would put enormous pressure on NOLA.

yep dw, keeps going north even when they update the points....i dont think she like people making her go a certain way so she pulls away...keeps bumping even further north every image that comes in

[Ivanhater]

the NHC must be going bonkers right now....Texas may not even get the brunt of this storm anymore the way it is looking. SW LA to NOLA is going to get it

and that was not in the cone yesterday

. Doubt it bro but who knows bro. The gfdl and which other mmodel show galv

4PM update should be interesting, Rita has missed her next mark big time, at current heading she's going to LA. IF she recurves as predicted its going to Cent LA, which would put enormous pressure on NOLA.

yep dw, keeps going north even when they update the points....i dont think she like people making her go a certain way so she pulls away...keeps bumping even further north every image that comes in

[LarryWx]

Here is the 72 hour 12Z THU ECMWF map: