Models are indicating an almost stationary position

[robjay]

most after landfall:

http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_18.gif

[HouTXmetro]

Is it just me or all the models clustered on Galveston Bay again besides the UKMET.

[Starburst]

I notice they had all clustered a little back west over Galveston bay also

[hicksta]

Are these the newest runs

[celestar]

Joe B. just said on Hannity's show that Rita would hit east of Galveston - move up I45 to around Dallas, THEN backup south down I35 to Mexico....

What a wild ride...!

[hicksta]

Can someone verify if these are the newest models and verify exactly where they are clusterd seems around g bay

[gboudx]

Joe B. just said on Hannity's show that Rita would hit east of Galveston - move up I45 to around Dallas, THEN backup south down I35 to Mexico....

What a wild ride...!

I wonder if he's willing to stake his 1st born on that?

[Roxy]

Joe B. just said on Hannity's show that Rita would hit east of Galveston - move up I45 to around Dallas, THEN backup south down I35 to Mexico....

What a wild ride...!

I wonder if he's willing to stake his 1st born on that?

Haha, good question, that is a pretty bold forecast.

[hicksta]

Can someone verify if these are the newest models and verify exactly where they are clusterd seems around g bay

bump

[CaptinCrunch]

I believe the models are moving the ridge faster than what it really is, moving the storm track eastward. I beleive the storm track will be shift back (75 miles) to what it was showing yesterday with Rita coming in around Galveston and Houston. Rita has shown that it is ready to strenghten again looking at the IR sat loop, and she may speed up a few mph from the current 8 to about 14 and keep th WNW direction.

[Starburst]

That is exactly what I heard from another weather site.

[gboudx]

I believe the models are moving the ridge faster than what it really is, moving the storm track eastward. I beleive the storm track will be shift back (75 miles) to what it was showing yesterday with Rita coming in around Galveston and Houston. Rita has shown that it is ready to strenghten again looking at the IR sat loop, and she may speed up a few mph from the current 8 to about 14 and keep th WNW direction.

So you think the weather up here will be more in-line with what the local NWS had forecasted yesterday? This afternoon, they've dropped rain chances down to 30%.

[hicksta]

Ugh can someone answer my question if they reaally moved w to round galveston

[CaptinCrunch]

I believe the models are moving the ridge faster than what it really is, moving the storm track eastward. I beleive the storm track will be shift back (75 miles) to what it was showing yesterday with Rita coming in around Galveston and Houston. Rita has shown that it is ready to strenghten again looking at the IR sat loop, and she may speed up a few mph from the current 8 to about 14 and keep th WNW direction.

So you think the weather up here will be more in-line with what the local NWS had forecasted yesterday? This afternoon, they've dropped rain chances down to 30%.

Local NWS here in FTW droped rain chances down to 50% for late Sat and most of Sun.

But yes I think we will get more rain than what the current forecast shows.

[Portastorm]

Ugh can someone answer my question if they reaally moved w to round galveston

Yes, the latest runs center around GalvestonBay.

[Starburst]

Yep looks like they have shifted back toward or right on galveston

[hicksta]

When do the next runs come out. Think we may see a shift in the nhc track

[deltadog03]

look at my post back in the officail rita thread....i think thats whats been happening...and other people have been saying the same things...and why in the heck would ALL the models shift back west?? something is up

[HouTXmetro]

look at my post back in the officail rita thread....i think thats whats been happening...and other people have been saying the same things...and why in the heck would ALL the models shift back west?? something is up

Delta, on another note. Rita is still moving slightly NE of the NHC track and has done so all day. Maybe the models have garbage information right now and will adjust accordingly. Who knows

[Starburst]

Anyone think maybe that the models are trying to account for the stall I don't know it is just a thought. Also isn't the ridge still in place at this point in time?