Rita,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

[Starburst]

That is pretty much exactly what was said on a satellite weather station that is why I was curious about the high and were it was etc. Was pretty much implied that the weakness was about gone that was tugging at Rita.

[jasons2k]

nimbus, or whoever said there will be a weakness that would pull her north is a smart cookie....look at that and see what is btwn the 2 highs...there is a weakness that has been tugging on rita for majority of the day. HOWEVER, that weakness is being ejected and the TX rigde is moving of to the ENE...so, i am begining to think that she might go back a litte closer to due west for a bit will the high slides out of the gom....tell me what yall thinkl....here is the map

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8dlm6.html

That's what I am getting afraid of. You can clearly see it on the WV loop I posted a few posts above, that trough (or weakness) is lifting out. I think she may get nudged West again.

[Brent]

I'm still thinking *really* close to Galveston... like we're not gonna know whether it goes west, over, or east til it happens.

[skysummit]

According to this loop, it still looks like it's heading to the extreme upper Texas coast.
http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... at2_0.html

[jhamps10]

at the end of that loop, it looks like it's turning back to the West. or at least that's to my untrained eye, with the loop going pretty fast.

[mvtrucking]

According to this loop, it still looks like it's heading to the extreme upper Texas coast.
http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... at2_0.html

Believe she's trying to go west again?

[azsnowman]

I think I've got "Monitor eyes" but...in the very last frame, it appears she's ALMOST taking a southern turn non the less, a turn back towards the west indeed.

Dennis

[skysummit]

According to this loop, it still looks like it's heading to the extreme upper Texas coast.
http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... at2_0.html

Believe she's trying to go west again?

Probably not. She'll go west for a few more frames and then wobble back north....then west....then north.....etc.

[dwg71]

According to this loop, it still looks like it's heading to the extreme upper Texas coast.
http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... at2_0.html

Believe she's trying to go west again?

GFDL shifted east to match NHC landfall of sabine pass. GFS I believe has this area and UKMET is out east. By Midnight tonight, I predict we will know with greater certainty where landfall will be. All eyes are looking at TX/LA border now. Lets see if that changes.

[FlSteel]

All I can say is wow. Over the last 4 hours it seems that she has blown up in size. Will be very curious as to what the wind field is at the 11pm update. I wonder how far out hurricane and ts force winds will be. I got a bad feeling it will be very Katrina like.

[jhamps10]

Just Look at this. This storm isn't gonna be a cat 4 for long.

http://maps.wunderground.com/data/640x4 ... r_anim.gif

[huricanwatcher]

Just Look at this. This storm isn't gonna be a cat 4 for long.

http://maps.wunderground.com/data/640x4 ... r_anim.gif

5 again

[cjrciadt]

http://hurricane.methaz.org/cgi-bin/mapserv.exe?mode=browse&zoom=1&layer=country&layer=modtrack&layer=surge&imgxy=299.5+299.5&imgext=-107.043332+6.608233+-65.543332+48.051567&map=..%2Fhurapak%2FAAL182005.map&savequery=true
TAOS has many useful and handy maps and info.

[azskyman]

During those same last frames or two, there was also some eyewall rebuilding going on...and the shift to the west may not be a shift at all, but instead a redefined eye that has resulted from that eyewall reconstruction. Still, every mile west vs north reinforces the very reason that the strike probability cone exists.

Daybreak Friday will tell us much more as even forward motion of 5-10 miles per hour will be more significant in determining the ultimate width and location of the cone.

[cjrciadt]

http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/loops/wv48rgnlloop.master.pl?us&type=wv
Look at the last frames and see the return in large size of the most intense moisture.

[cjrciadt]

Latest pic

3hrs ago

18hrs ago

[HurricaneQueen]

Looking at the outflow from Rita, it appeared that S. FL was getting a band and sure enough, I just checked and it's raining here days after she left the area!!!!

Lynn

[CronkPSU]

love that wacky LBAR!!!

<img src="http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/guidance/atlantic/early1.png">

[curtadams]

If there's any meaning to the west motion since about 00Z those models are *all* east. Motion of the system is part of their initiation and right aroung 00Z Rita turned due west. Even if she turns partly back NW the models will have overestimated her N motion. 2 hours could be a wobble but it's a fairly large one.

[HURAKAN]

A beautiful view of downtown Houston, a different story will be after Rita.