Rita Recon Reports

superfly · #1581 Postby **superfly** » Fri Sep 23, 2005 3:32 am

Yup, confirmed double wind maxima still. ERC is either still not complete or a new secondary eyewall has developed.

#1582 Postby **Windy** » Fri Sep 23, 2005 3:36 am

848
UZNT13 KNHC 230835
XXAA 73087 99270 70907 08270 99958 26212 ///// 00880 ///// /////
92310 23611 09622 85048 20411 11123 70709 10400 13123 88999 77999
31313 09608 80824
61616 AF307 2118A RITA OB 06
62626 EYEWALL 045 SPL 2705N09080W 0827 LST WND 019 MBL WND 09616
AEV 20507 DLM WND 11122 956727 WL150 08602 093 =
XXBB 73088 99270 70907 08270 00958 26212 11940 24212 22850 20411
33803 18811 44753 14215 55733 15014 66708 14000 77697 09000
21212 00958 ///// 11956 08081 22944 09117 33934 09131 44921 09619
55908 10630 66886 11122 77850 11123 88818 11634 99697 13122
31313 09608 80824
61616 AF307 2118A RITA OB 06
62626 EYEWALL 045 SPL 2705N09080W 0827 LST WND 019 MBL WND 09616
AEV 20507 DLM WND 11122 956727 WL150 08602 093 =

superfly · #1583 Postby **superfly** » Fri Sep 23, 2005 3:39 am

659
SXXX50 KNHC 230837
AF307 2118A RITA HDOB 15 KNHC
0826. 2655N 09046W 03045 5386 138 097 118 118 101 02706 0000000000
0827 2654N 09047W 03053 5411 133 094 134 134 095 02689 0000000000
0827. 2653N 09048W 03046 5437 129 090 144 144 091 02656 0000000000
0828 2652N 09050W 03049 5461 128 084 152 152 088 02635 0000000000
0828. 2650N 09051W 03047 5485 128 073 154 154 079 02609 0000000000
0829 2649N 09052W 03046 5505 129 058 160 160 063 02587 0000000000
0829. 2648N 09053W 03048 5520 137 047 160 160 050 02574 0000000000
0830 2646N 09054W 03047 5534 143 041 160 160 043 02560 0000000000
0830. 2645N 09056W 03050 5545 147 033 160 160 036 02551 0000000000
0831 2644N 09058W 03046 5553 151 021 162 162 025 02539 0000000000
0831. 2643N 09059W 03049 5556 150 009 162 162 013 02539 0000000000
0832 2642N 09101W 03048 5552 329 006 160 160 011 02543 0000000000
0832. 2641N 09102W 03046 5544 321 018 162 162 022 02549 0000000000
0833 2640N 09104W 03048 5532 316 028 168 164 034 02562 0000000000
0833. 2638N 09105W 03048 5518 308 038 172 160 041 02576 0000000000
0834 2637N 09107W 03047 5503 305 049 174 144 055 02591 0000000000
0834. 2636N 09108W 03049 5484 306 057 172 138 060 02611 0000000000
0835 2635N 09109W 03048 5462 310 068 174 130 072 02632 0000000000
0835. 2634N 09110W 03050 5437 314 076 164 140 079 02659 0000000000
0836 2632N 09112W 03047 5413 310 082 166 138 086 02680 0000000000

Vortex coming

audioslave8 · #1584 Postby **audioslave8** » Fri Sep 23, 2005 3:40 am

seems like its taking more time than Katrina did right??? you think this will be good or bad deal for landfall???

superfly · #1585 Postby **superfly** » Fri Sep 23, 2005 3:41 am

audioslave8 wrote:seems like its taking more time than Katrina did right??? you think this will be good or bad deal for landfall???

Could be good or bad. If she gets her act together after the ERC, bad, since another ERC before landfall will be unlikely. Good because she will have less time to get her act together until interaction with land.

#1586 Postby **Windy** » Fri Sep 23, 2005 3:47 am

So, 126 kts max on that inbound leg.

audioslave8 · #1587 Postby **audioslave8** » Fri Sep 23, 2005 3:50 am

superfly i see your from NO do u know how conditions are there at the moment and have u heard any reports of any flooding or problems with the levees so far???

superfly · #1588 Postby **superfly** » Fri Sep 23, 2005 3:51 am

audioslave8 wrote:superfly i see your from NO do u know how conditions are there at the moment and have u heard any reports of any flooding or problems with the levees so far???

Half the city is dry, the other half is still under 10-15 feet of water. No clue on how Rita is affecting the breached levees.

superfly · #1589 Postby **superfly** » Fri Sep 23, 2005 3:52 am

207
SXXX50 KNHC 230847
AF307 2118A RITA HDOB 16 KNHC
0836. 2631N 09113W 03046 5393 309 092 146 146 094 02700 0000000000
0837 2630N 09114W 03046 5369 314 103 112 112 111 02723 0000000000
0837. 2629N 09115W 03055 5339 320 110 104 104 112 02763 0000000000
0838 2628N 09117W 03045 5306 318 099 116 116 104 02786 0000000000
0838. 2627N 09118W 03052 5279 319 089 120 120 092 02820 0000000000
0839 2625N 09119W 03046 5256 316 087 122 122 088 02837 0000000000
0839. 2624N 09121W 03048 5237 318 087 134 122 088 02858 0000000000
0840 2623N 09122W 03049 5222 319 081 124 124 083 02875 0000000000
0840. 2622N 09123W 03043 5207 319 077 096 096 078 02883 0000000000
0841 2621N 09125W 03054 5192 314 076 100 100 077 02909 0000000000
0841. 2619N 09126W 03045 5183 311 072 098 098 074 02910 0000000000
0842 2618N 09127W 03046 5171 312 075 128 106 076 02923 0000000000
0842. 2617N 09129W 03052 5161 314 073 126 116 074 02938 0000000000
0843 2616N 09130W 03045 5152 314 073 124 106 073 02940 0000000000
0843. 2615N 09131W 03055 5142 312 070 124 106 072 02960 0000000000
0844 2613N 09133W 03046 5136 310 066 126 112 068 02957 0000000000
0844. 2612N 09134W 03048 5130 311 061 118 118 061 02965 0000000000
0845 2611N 09135W 03050 5124 314 060 116 116 060 02974 0000000000
0845. 2610N 09137W 03047 5119 312 059 122 120 059 02976 0000000000
0846 2609N 09138W 03050 5114 318 057 114 114 058 02984 0000000000

No double wind maxima in the SW quad.

superfly · #1590 Postby **superfly** » Fri Sep 23, 2005 3:58 am

040
URNT12 KNHC 230855
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 23/08:31:40Z
B. 26 deg 43 min N
091 deg 00 min W
C. 700 mb 2452 m
D. NA kt
E. deg nm
F. 130 deg 126 kt
G. 044 deg 022 nm
H. 927 mb
I. 11 C/ 3039 m
J. 16 C/ 3049 m
K. 16 C/ NA
L. OPEN S
M. C33
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF307 2118A RITA OB 07
MAX FL WIND 126 KT NE QUAD 08:25:00 Z
MAX FL TEMP 18 C 210 / 08 NM FROM FL CNTR
SOUTH EYEWALL OPEN W/BANDING FEATURE WRAPPING IN FROM SW TO SE

#1591 Postby **Windy** » Fri Sep 23, 2005 4:00 am

953
UZNT13 KNHC 230855
XXAA 73097 99267 70910 08261 99<B>927</B> 27604 21006 00/// ///// /////
92021 27405 21506 85770 23808 24007 70456 16400 33502 88999 77999
31313 09608 80831
61616 AF307 2118A RITA OB 08
62626 EYE SPL 2671N09100W 0834 MBL WND 23007 AEV 20507 DLM WND 24
005 927728 WL150 22507 075 =
XXBB 73098 99267 70910 08261 00927 27604 11850 23808 22721 17822
33697 16000
21212 00927 21006 11850 24007 22697 34002
31313 09608 80831
61616 AF307 2118A RITA OB 08
62626 EYE SPL 2671N09100W 0834 MBL WND 23007 AEV 20507 DLM WND 24
005 927728 WL150 22507 075 =

#1592 Postby **Windy** » Fri Sep 23, 2005 4:02 am

033
UZNT13 KNHC 230859
XXAA 73097 99265 70913 08261 99953 26217 27582 00925 ///// /////
92266 24625 29106 85008 21622 31100 70679 12400 32109 88999 77999
31313 09608 80837
61616 AF307 2118A RITA OB 09
62626 EYEWALL 000 SPL 2642N09118W 0840 MBL WND 29104 AEV 20507 DL
M WND 31100 953711 WL150 28595 075 =
XXBB 73098 99265 70913 08261 00953 26217 11850 21622 22729 16024
33706 15600 44696 10200
21212 00953 27582 11941 28601 22923 29107 33912 29615 44878 31099
55850 31100 66696 32109
31313 09608 80837
61616 AF307 2118A RITA OB 09
62626 EYEWALL 000 SPL 2642N09118W 0840 MBL WND 29104 AEV 20507 DL
M WND 31100 953711 WL150 28595 075 =

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #1593 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Fri Sep 23, 2005 4:02 am

Wow a 30 milibar rise. Easy come in easy go.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #1594 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Fri Sep 23, 2005 4:04 am

The temperature differnce is up from 3 degrees to 5 degrees. In which means it is becoming healther.

#1595 Postby **Windy** » Fri Sep 23, 2005 4:05 am

901
SXXX50 KNHC 230857
AF307 2118A RITA HDOB 17 KNHC
0846. 2607N 09139W 03054 5109 328 062 092 092 066 02993 0000000000
0847 2606N 09141W 03051 5101 325 072 084 084 073 02998 0000000100
0847. 2605N 09142W 03032 5092 309 073 078 078 079 02987 0000000100
0848 2604N 09144W 03051 5087 307 084 070 070 088 03011 0000000000
0848. 2602N 09145W 03048 5081 308 085 086 086 088 03015 0000000000
0849 2601N 09146W 03051 5075 308 082 092 092 083 03023 0000000000
0849. 2600N 09147W 03047 5068 312 080 096 096 081 03027 0000000000
0850 2559N 09148W 03048 5062 312 077 100 100 078 03034 0000000000
0850. 2558N 09150W 03048 5055 311 073 098 098 076 03040 0000000000
0851 2557N 09151W 03047 5052 307 070 104 098 070 03043 0000000000
0851. 2556N 09152W 03048 5048 307 070 106 098 070 03047 0000000000
0852 2554N 09154W 03048 5045 310 070 104 102 070 03051 0000000000
0852. 2553N 09155W 03048 5041 311 069 106 102 070 03055 0000000000
0853 2552N 09156W 03047 5037 312 068 108 100 068 03057 0000000000
0853. 2551N 09157W 03050 5033 315 067 104 102 068 03064 0000000000
0854 2549N 09159W 03047 5030 316 066 096 096 066 03065 0000000000
0854. 2548N 09200W 03047 5027 317 065 098 098 066 03067 0000000000
0855 2547N 09202W 03049 5024 318 063 100 100 064 03072 0000000000
0855. 2546N 09203W 03048 5021 319 064 100 100 064 03075 0000000000
0856 2544N 09204W 03048 5019 319 063 104 100 064 03077 0000000000

audioslave8 · #1596 Postby **audioslave8** » Fri Sep 23, 2005 4:07 am

Thanks for all your info guys. One more ? and i got to catch some zzzs 8-)

u think this nw movement thats already started now will put southwest LA in the worst scenerio now similar to mississippis storm surge that katrina produced

#1597 Postby **Windy** » Fri Sep 23, 2005 4:12 am

075
SXXX50 KNHC 230907
AF307 2118A RITA HDOB 18 KNHC
0856. 2543N 09206W 03047 5016 318 062 106 098 062 03079 0000000000
0857 2542N 09207W 03047 5013 317 060 104 098 061 03082 0000000000
0857. 2541N 09208W 03050 5010 318 059 102 096 059 03087 0000000000
0858 2539N 09210W 03046 5008 318 057 100 098 058 03086 0000000000
0858. 2538N 09211W 03049 5005 316 056 102 094 057 03092 0000000000
0859 2537N 09212W 03047 5003 317 056 100 100 057 03092 0000000000
0859. 2536N 09214W 03050 5001 322 057 090 090 058 03096 0000000000
0900 2534N 09215W 03048 0002 322 056 100 100 057 03098 0000000000
0900. 2533N 09217W 03047 0005 320 054 102 088 055 03099 0000000000
0901 2532N 09218W 03050 0007 321 054 104 082 054 03105 0000000000
0901. 2531N 09219W 03048 0008 322 054 098 084 054 03104 0000000000
0902 2529N 09221W 03048 0010 322 053 094 088 054 03106 0000000000
0902. 2528N 09222W 03047 0014 322 054 092 092 054 03109 0000000000
0903 2527N 09223W 03048 0017 318 053 094 094 054 03112 0000000000
0903. 2525N 09225W 03049 0022 314 051 096 096 052 03119 0000000000
0904 2523N 09225W 03048 0026 314 053 078 078 054 03122 0000000000
0904. 2523N 09223W 03051 0021 309 053 078 078 054 03120 0000000000
0905 2523N 09220W 03041 0016 310 051 096 096 052 03104 0000000000
0905. 2524N 09218W 03050 0015 309 050 096 096 050 03113 0000000000
0906 2524N 09216W 03048 0013 309 049 094 094 051 03109 0000000000

Thunder44 · #1598 Postby **Thunder44** » Fri Sep 23, 2005 4:12 am

5am TPC discussion says the ERC is almost complete and could start to restrenghten soon. Sometimes these take a longer time to complete than many here think. We should see in the next few hours if the pressure starts remains the same or starts to fall again. If it continues to rise it would mean that shear is causing to weaken now.

#1599 Postby **Windy** » Fri Sep 23, 2005 4:15 am

Well, yes and no. If ERC is complete but there is another ERC right on its heels (as possibly indicated by the second maxima at 60nm), then there shouldn't be much intensification before the next ERC. This would be great news! It'd certainly explain why the windspeeds are so low for such a low pressure storm.

#1600 Postby **Windy** » Fri Sep 23, 2005 4:19 am

858
URNT14 KNHC 230912
SUPPLEMENTARY VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
INBOUND
LAT LON jHHH TTDD ddfff
01278 10899 13017 10808 13081
02276 20900 23982 20808 13084
03275 30902 33942 30808 13093
04273 40904 43899 41211 13086
05271 50906 53794 51111 13111
06269 60908 63580 61414 13091
MF270 M0907 MF126
OBS 01 AT 08:04:20Z
OBS 06 AT 08:27:10Z
OBS 01 SFC WND /////
OUTBOUND
LAT LON jHHH TTDD ddfff
01265 10912 13609 11615 31089
02264 20914 23812 21010 32076
03262 30916 33889 31212 31060
04260 40918 43943 41010 31080
05258 50920 53980 50909 32066
06256 60922 63005 61009 32057
MF265 M0912 MF112
OBS 01 AT 08:36:10Z
OBS 06 AT 08:58:20Z
OBS 06 SFC WND /////
AF307 2118A RITA OB 11

Storm: Storm RITA: Observed By AF #309
Storm #18 in Atlantic Ocean1
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were 132KT (151.8mph 244.5km/h) In NE Quadrant At 03:31:30 Z
Estimated Max Surface Winds 118.8KT (136.6mph 220.0km/h) *
Misc Remarks: TEMP 18 C, 131 / 12NMEYEWALL THIN E-SW (Report Time: 23/0912Z)
Max Inbound Flight Level Winds: 27.0N 90.7W 126KT (144.9MPH 233.3km/h) [08:04:20Z to 08:27:10Z]
Max Outbound Flight Level Winds: 26.5N 91.2W 112KT (128.8MPH 207.4km/h) [08:36:10Z to 08:58:20Z]
Data # Position Height Temp Dewpoint Wind
I01 27.8N 89.9W 700mb Height @ 3017m 8°C 8°C 081KT (93.15MPH 150.0 km/h) @ 130°
I02 27.6N 90.0W 700mb Height @ 2982m 8°C 8°C 084KT (96.6MPH 155.6 km/h) @ 130°
I03 27.5N 90.2W 700mb Height @ 2942m 8°C 8°C 093KT (106.95MPH 172.2 km/h) @ 130°
I04 27.3N 90.4W 700mb Height @ 2899m 12°C 11°C 086KT (98.9MPH 159.3 km/h) @ 130°
I05 27.1N 90.6W 700mb Height @ 2794m 11°C 11°C 111KT (127.65MPH 205.6 km/h) @ 130°
I06 26.9N 90.8W 700mb Height @ 2580m 14°C 14°C 091KT (104.65MPH 168.5 km/h) @ 130°
O01 26.5N 91.2W 700mb Height @ 2609m 16°C 15°C 089KT (102.35MPH 164.8 km/h) @ 310°
O02 26.4N 91.4W 700mb Height @ 2812m 10°C 10°C 076KT (87.4MPH 140.8 km/h) @ 320°
O03 26.2N 91.6W 700mb Height @ 2889m 12°C 12°C 060KT (69MPH 111.1 km/h) @ 310°
O04 26.0N 91.8W 700mb Height @ 2943m 10°C 10°C 080KT (92MPH 148.2 km/h) @ 310°
O05 25.8N 92.0W 700mb Height @ 2980m 9°C 9°C 066KT (75.9MPH 122.2 km/h) @ 320°
O06 25.6N 92.2W 700mb Height @ 3005m 10°C 9°C 057KT (65.55MPH 105.6 km/h) @ 320°

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