Can't these storms be stopped?
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stormwriter
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Can't these storms be stopped?
Article on attempts at hurricane busting: http://www.charlotte.com/mld/charlotte/ ... 719130.htm
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- DESTRUCTION5
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no advance
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- drudd1
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Hurricanes are natures' way of cooling the tropics. Even if it were possible to stop a storm, and it's not, mother nature would still find a way to release all that heat, and the result might be far worse than the canes we have now. Bottom line: You don't mess with mother nature.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
Here in FL we had the warmest ever July average ever, with 50 plus days above 90degrees a new record. TX has been even hotter this year, However higher temps mean stronger storms what can we do about that problem to reach a solution.drudd1 wrote:Hurricanes are natures' way of cooling the tropics. Even if it were possible to stop a storm, and it's not, mother nature would still find a way to release all that heat, and the result might be far worse than the canes we have now. Bottom line: You don't mess with mother nature.
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no advance wrote:Link Tally ?
Here is the quote from the NHC FAQ area of their site
Now for a more rigorous scientific explanation of why this would not be an effective hurricane modification technique. The main difficulty with using explosives to modify hurricanes is the amount of energy required. A fully developed hurricane can release heat energy at a rate of 5 to 20x1013 watts and converts less than 10% of the heat into the mechanical energy of the wind. The heat release is equivalent to a 10-megaton nuclear bomb exploding every 20 minutes. According to the 1993 World Almanac, the entire human race used energy at a rate of 1013 watts in 1990, a rate less than 20% of the power of a hurricane.
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stormwriter
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For those who don't want to go through the free registration process to read the article, some excerpts:
Could science defeat hurricanes?
Theories for gutting storms abound, but reality usually intrudes
SCOTT DODD
Staff Writer
Another monster hurricane tearing toward the Gulf Coast. Millions of people on the run. Billions of dollars in damage predicted.
All leading to the question: Can't these storms be stopped?
It's a question scientists, not to mention people living in the path of hurricanes, have been asking for decades. After all, if we can put a man on the moon, why can't we prevent a killer storm -- or at least slow it down a bit?
Researchers and zealous amateurs have hatched plenty of schemes, from shooting space-based heat rays to lining the coast with giant windmills. But nothing looks promising for now.
The government did try one idea, called Project Stormfury. The plan: Drop silver iodide from airplanes into the outer rainbands of a storm.
The goal was to create a new ring of convection to compete with a hurricane's eye and rob the storm of its power. For a decade starting in 1961, scientists seeded clouds in four hurricanes. The storms weakened, so they thought it was working.
Then Hugh Willoughby came along. The former director of the government's Hurricane Research Division concluded that a natural process called "eyewall replacement" often makes storms wobble in intensity. That phenomenon weakened Hurricane Rita somewhat Thursday as it plowed toward Texas.
"If I were really astute," says Willoughby, now a professor at Florida International University, "I'd go out tonight and seed the clouds, and when the winds drop I'd claim, `I saved Houston! For $50 million, I'll do it again.' "
So silver iodide is out. Other ideas over the years: dropping sponges from airplanes; blasting storms with a fleet of jet engines; dragging icebergs from the North Pole to cool down the tropics.
Robert Simpson, a former director of the National Hurricane Center (and one of the guys the Saffir-Simpson storm scale is named after), thought spreading an oil slick in front of a hurricane might work. The Soviets tested it over the Pacific Ocean in the 1970s. The results were never disclosed.
There's even the all-purpose plan to stop everything from asteroids to aliens: Nuke 'em.
Willoughby has heard them all. He even helped come up with a few ideas himself, such as building fiberglass ducts to suck water from the ocean floor and cool the Gulf Stream.
One drawback: That might kick off the next ice age.
"When you do this kind of mega-engineering," Willoughby says, "you might create a solution that comes back and bites you in the backside."
Indeed, hurricanes exist for a reason. They help the Earth expel heat from the tropics, provide much-needed rain to parts of the United States during late summer, and help cleanse polluted coastal ecosystems.
"I think we'll be able to modify them someday, but because of the uncertainty, we may not want to," said Ross Hoffman, an atmospheric researcher at a Massachusetts firm. His idea involves using satellites with mirrors to reflect solar radiation, thus changing wind patterns.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has pretty much given up on influencing storms. So has the American Meteorological Society, which concluded in 1998 that there is "no sound physical hypothesis" for trying it.
Scientists keep coming up with ideas, though. Robert Langer, a chemical engineer at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, is trying to create a substance that could be spread in front of a hurricane to absorb water vapor (a variation on Simpson's old oil-slick idea).
"The biggest problem we've had is getting funding," Langer said. "The government will spend $50 billion on recovery, and we could have helped them for a great deal less."
Willoughby says there are promising ideas out there -- if scientists can overcome the massive engineering problems. Another suggestion he has heard: Drag a piece of fabric into a hurricane's path.
Again, it might work, he said. But it would need to be about the size of Mecklenburg County. And how would you get it in place?
"The suggestion I heard was, pull it with mini-subs," Willoughby said.
"You'd need a lot of mini-subs."
---
Hurricane Busters
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Hurricane Research Division has studied several ideas for disrupting storms. Here's what it says about them:
Coat the ocean with oil or another substance: A promising idea that could stop a storm from absorbing water vapor, thus weakening it. But scientists have yet to find a chemical that can stay together in the rough seas of a tropical storm.
Cool the ocean surface with icebergs: A hurricane with a 30-mile-wide eyewall, moving at 10 mph, will cover 7,200 square miles of ocean in a day (that's an area larger than Connecticut). Add in the uncertainty of the forecast track, and you'd need to cool a patch of water the size of South Carolina. That's a lot of ice.
Suck the water out of a storm with a chemical: A Florida businessman proposed using a substance called "Dyn-O-Gel," a glop that would make raindrops lumpy and weaken a storm's eyewall. The research division said the effect was too small -- it would take 37,000 tons of "Dyn-O-Gel," delivered every 90 minutes or so, to be effective.
Nuke 'em: Probably the most persistent suggestion. There's no evidence it would work, though. A major hurricane releases as much heat energy as a 10-megaton nuclear bomb exploding every 20 minutes -- or five times as much as the human race uses in an entire year. So one bomb wouldn't do much. Plus, even if it worked, the radioactive fallout would have to go somewhere.
Could science defeat hurricanes?
Theories for gutting storms abound, but reality usually intrudes
SCOTT DODD
Staff Writer
Another monster hurricane tearing toward the Gulf Coast. Millions of people on the run. Billions of dollars in damage predicted.
All leading to the question: Can't these storms be stopped?
It's a question scientists, not to mention people living in the path of hurricanes, have been asking for decades. After all, if we can put a man on the moon, why can't we prevent a killer storm -- or at least slow it down a bit?
Researchers and zealous amateurs have hatched plenty of schemes, from shooting space-based heat rays to lining the coast with giant windmills. But nothing looks promising for now.
The government did try one idea, called Project Stormfury. The plan: Drop silver iodide from airplanes into the outer rainbands of a storm.
The goal was to create a new ring of convection to compete with a hurricane's eye and rob the storm of its power. For a decade starting in 1961, scientists seeded clouds in four hurricanes. The storms weakened, so they thought it was working.
Then Hugh Willoughby came along. The former director of the government's Hurricane Research Division concluded that a natural process called "eyewall replacement" often makes storms wobble in intensity. That phenomenon weakened Hurricane Rita somewhat Thursday as it plowed toward Texas.
"If I were really astute," says Willoughby, now a professor at Florida International University, "I'd go out tonight and seed the clouds, and when the winds drop I'd claim, `I saved Houston! For $50 million, I'll do it again.' "
So silver iodide is out. Other ideas over the years: dropping sponges from airplanes; blasting storms with a fleet of jet engines; dragging icebergs from the North Pole to cool down the tropics.
Robert Simpson, a former director of the National Hurricane Center (and one of the guys the Saffir-Simpson storm scale is named after), thought spreading an oil slick in front of a hurricane might work. The Soviets tested it over the Pacific Ocean in the 1970s. The results were never disclosed.
There's even the all-purpose plan to stop everything from asteroids to aliens: Nuke 'em.
Willoughby has heard them all. He even helped come up with a few ideas himself, such as building fiberglass ducts to suck water from the ocean floor and cool the Gulf Stream.
One drawback: That might kick off the next ice age.
"When you do this kind of mega-engineering," Willoughby says, "you might create a solution that comes back and bites you in the backside."
Indeed, hurricanes exist for a reason. They help the Earth expel heat from the tropics, provide much-needed rain to parts of the United States during late summer, and help cleanse polluted coastal ecosystems.
"I think we'll be able to modify them someday, but because of the uncertainty, we may not want to," said Ross Hoffman, an atmospheric researcher at a Massachusetts firm. His idea involves using satellites with mirrors to reflect solar radiation, thus changing wind patterns.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has pretty much given up on influencing storms. So has the American Meteorological Society, which concluded in 1998 that there is "no sound physical hypothesis" for trying it.
Scientists keep coming up with ideas, though. Robert Langer, a chemical engineer at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, is trying to create a substance that could be spread in front of a hurricane to absorb water vapor (a variation on Simpson's old oil-slick idea).
"The biggest problem we've had is getting funding," Langer said. "The government will spend $50 billion on recovery, and we could have helped them for a great deal less."
Willoughby says there are promising ideas out there -- if scientists can overcome the massive engineering problems. Another suggestion he has heard: Drag a piece of fabric into a hurricane's path.
Again, it might work, he said. But it would need to be about the size of Mecklenburg County. And how would you get it in place?
"The suggestion I heard was, pull it with mini-subs," Willoughby said.
"You'd need a lot of mini-subs."
---
Hurricane Busters
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Hurricane Research Division has studied several ideas for disrupting storms. Here's what it says about them:
Coat the ocean with oil or another substance: A promising idea that could stop a storm from absorbing water vapor, thus weakening it. But scientists have yet to find a chemical that can stay together in the rough seas of a tropical storm.
Cool the ocean surface with icebergs: A hurricane with a 30-mile-wide eyewall, moving at 10 mph, will cover 7,200 square miles of ocean in a day (that's an area larger than Connecticut). Add in the uncertainty of the forecast track, and you'd need to cool a patch of water the size of South Carolina. That's a lot of ice.
Suck the water out of a storm with a chemical: A Florida businessman proposed using a substance called "Dyn-O-Gel," a glop that would make raindrops lumpy and weaken a storm's eyewall. The research division said the effect was too small -- it would take 37,000 tons of "Dyn-O-Gel," delivered every 90 minutes or so, to be effective.
Nuke 'em: Probably the most persistent suggestion. There's no evidence it would work, though. A major hurricane releases as much heat energy as a 10-megaton nuclear bomb exploding every 20 minutes -- or five times as much as the human race uses in an entire year. So one bomb wouldn't do much. Plus, even if it worked, the radioactive fallout would have to go somewhere.
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http://whyfiles.larc.nasa.gov/text/kids ... uknow.html
If one percent of the energy in one hurricane could be captured, all the power, fuel, and heating requirements of the United States could be met for an entire year.
If one percent of the energy in one hurricane could be captured, all the power, fuel, and heating requirements of the United States could be met for an entire year.
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- ChaserUK
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drudd1 wrote:Hurricanes are natures' way of cooling the tropics. Even if it were possible to stop a storm, and it's not, mother nature would still find a way to release all that heat, and the result might be far worse than the canes we have now. Bottom line: You don't mess with mother nature.
Well said.
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- wlfpack81
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drudd1 wrote:Hurricanes are natures' way of cooling the tropics. Even if it were possible to stop a storm, and it's not, mother nature would still find a way to release all that heat, and the result might be far worse than the canes we have now. Bottom line: You don't mess with mother nature.
Well stated.
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kevin
Humans can control a lot of things. Yet I am pretty sure we cannot stop tropical cyclones. And I'm not sure if we were able to whether we should. We're already destroying most of the wild things in the world, and when we break the feedback loops the earth will find a way to maintain homeostasis.
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- Downdraft
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Why would anyone in their right mind want to stop a hurricane? I can't imagine the effects on global weather if we allowed the tropical oceans to overheat without hurricanes to cool them. The problem is "US" not the storms. Ponce de Leon on his trips to Florida commented that the natives chose to live inland rather than along the more temperature ocean beaches. He couldn't understand why until the Spanish fleet set sail for Spain in September. Hurricanes have been striking the coastlines for as long as there have been coastlines to strike. We buld million dollar homes 100 feet from the Atlantic, we've made our cities vulnerable. We've spent money on everything but flood protection. The environmental lobby has blocked flood projects (including the NO levees) for the last 30 years. Our planet needs hurricanes if we want to stand in the face of nature we shouldn't complain when it knocks us on our butts. Attempts to modify the weather will meet with the same consequences as trying to mate African honeybees with European ones. Haven't we screwed with Mother Nature enough?
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