Rita weakening as she moves toward LA coast

[CaptinCrunch]

Sat. loops show Rita's eye filling in and she is now a C3 storm, she has also started a due North movement and may now miss the upper TX coast all together. NOLA could see a major set back will heavy rains and storm surge, as leeves have been breach again.

[sunny]

Concerns are also rising concerning the Harvey canal. The Westbank stands a very good chance of major flooding this time around.

[arizonasooner]

The weakening appears pretty dramatic from a satellite perspective. Nonetheless, I imagine it will still be a very significant storm at landfall.

[Rainband]

The weakening appears pretty dramatic from a satellite perspective. Nonetheless, I imagine it will still be a very significant storm at landfall.

Hopefully not. I pray it weakens even more.

[jasons2k]

Don't take this to the bank just yet.

[gatorcane]

yes, it's too early to say it's going N....

[gboudx]

Concerns are also rising concerning the Harvey canal. The Westbank stands a very good chance of major flooding this time around.

Sunny, where are you hearing this from. I just spoke with my mom. She and my dad live in Barataria. They said there's no flooding down there, the tides come up, but still has a ways to go before flooding starts. Before the Harvey Canal could be affected, Lafitte would have to be.

[ChaserUK]

last few IR4 images really show the inner eye collapsing but on radar the eye seems fine. Is this another ERC?

[Brent]

Sat. loops show Rita's eye filling in and she is now a C3 storm, she has also started a due North movement and may now miss the upper TX coast all together. NOLA could see a major set back will heavy rains and storm surge, as leeves have been breach again.

123 kt at flight level... still borderline 3/4.

[sunny]

Concerns are also rising concerning the Harvey canal. The Westbank stands a very good chance of major flooding this time around.

Sunny, where are you hearing this from. I just spoke with my mom. She and my dad live in Barataria. They said there's no flooding down there, the tides come up, but still has a ways to go before flooding starts. Before the Harvey Canal could be affected, Lafitte would have to be.

I just heard it on Channel 4 with Walter Maestri (I think it was Maestri). They said so far the canal was at 22 ft., but with the rain they are concerned it will top it's banks. They said Rita could do what Katrina did not.

[djtil]

she has also started a due North movement

i doubt it was intentional...but this is complete misinformation......for those on the ne texas coast....mean motion is still heading directly towards you.

[gatorcane]

doubt it was intentional...but this is complete misinformation......for those on the ne texas coast....mean motion is still heading directly towards you.

its' not moving exactly north but NE Texas is going to be on the west (dry) side and there is so much dry air in Texas already eroding the western side of the system. LA is in trouble not NE Texas.

[djtil]

its' not moving exactly north but NE Texas is going to be on the west (dry) side and there is so much dry air in Texas already eroding the western side of the system. LA is in trouble not NE Texas.

a section of ne texas will catch the ne eyewall.....most likely port arthur....claiming NE Texas is in the clear and not in trouble is irresponsible...even on a message forum.

additionally, being on the "dry" side does little to protect from likely 100-110 mph winds in the western eyewall.

[PTrackerLA]

Very heavy rain now falling in Lafayette and the winds are gusting to 40mph. Bracing for hurricane force winds if she decides to hit Louisiana. Glad to see the weakening trend and hopefully it will peter out much like Lili in 2002.

[BamaMan]

its' not moving exactly north but NE Texas is going to be on the west (dry) side and there is so much dry air in Texas already eroding the western side of the system. LA is in trouble not NE Texas.

a section of ne texas will catch the ne eyewall.....most likely port arthur....claiming NE Texas is in the clear and not in trouble is irresponsible...even on a message forum.

additionally, being on the "dry" side does little to protect from likely 100-110 mph winds in the western eyewall.

Only if she doesn't turn more northerly.

[gatorcane]

a section of ne texas will catch the ne eyewall.....most likely port arthur....claiming NE Texas is in the clear and not in trouble is irresponsible...even on a message forum.

additionally, being on the "dry" side does little to protect from likely 100-110 mph winds in the western eyewall.

don't you mean NW eyewall in which most will be all but defunct with this dry air intrusion currently ripping the system apart on the west side? Yes, NE texas will have some nasty weather but I doubt 100+mph winds except maybe a small 10-20 mile span. That assumes Rita wobbles west some which looks less likely by the minute.

[djtil]

Only if she doesn't turn more northerly.

she would have to turn due north about now and maintain due north for ne texas to not be "in trouble".

the extreme scenario is that NE texas is not in trouble.....the likely one is that NE texas is in trouble which makes the statement irresponsible should anyone in that location put credence in the statement.

thats all im trying to point out.

[djtil]

don't you mean NW eyewall in which most will be all but defunct

you seem to be completely overplaying this west side of the storm theory. regardless of how the IR sats look...its still a hurricane...the winds are going to circulate around...they arent going to magically stop as they move around the western periphery of the storm just because dry air intrusion has knocked down some cloud tops.

[djtil]

also...take a look at the latest radar loop and its obvious that there is still a large westerly component to movement and the storm appears on track to official landfall prediction....


http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/lix_N0Z_lp.shtml

[BamaMan]

don't you mean NW eyewall in which most will be all but defunct

you seem to be completely overplaying this west side of the storm theory. regardless of how the IR sats look...its still a hurricane...the winds are going to circulate around...they arent going to magically stop as they move around the western periphery of the storm just because dry air intrusion has knocked down some cloud tops.

If the West side of the eyewall gets you, as Ivan did us here, they may get 60-90 mph winds as we did, but if the west eyewall is a bit furthur away, as it was to us here from dennis, they will get little or nothing