Look at the cone.
Cat3 sustained, Cat5 borederline gusts. She moves N. almost 5miles over Sun and MonRita,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
coolwater wrote:I'm looking at the radar right now and the eye has completely closed. This storm is weakening.
say what?
http://radar.weather.gov/radar/loop/DS. ... klch.shtml
0 likes
coolwater wrote:I'm looking at the radar right now and the eye has completely closed. This storm is weakening.
An eye closing on radar means strengthening, not weakening.
Last edited by jkt21787 on Fri Sep 23, 2005 3:51 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes
dwg71 wrote:coolwater wrote:jkt21787 wrote:coolwater wrote:I'm looking at the radar right now and the eye has completely closed. This storm is weakening.
An eye closing on radar means strengthening, not weakening.
Not this close to land.
The eyewall is not contracting, its collapsing. Big difference.
The eyewall is not collapsing. This is not just going to fall apart. It looks better than it did 5 hours or so ago. Is it strenghtening, probably not. But new Recon Vortex shows it maintaing very well, with 931 pressure and 124 kt FL winds, about 125 to 130 mph at the surface
These theories of this storm falling apart to a cat 1 or even cat 2 are a bunch of you know what. We will be lucky if this gets to 110, but I doubt it does. 115 to 125 looks most likely.
0 likes
Well, according to the latest Vortex, the eye is open East to West, the pressure is up to 931. Sounds like it is collapsing to me..
jkt21787 wrote:dwg71 wrote:coolwater wrote:jkt21787 wrote:coolwater wrote:I'm looking at the radar right now and the eye has completely closed. This storm is weakening.
An eye closing on radar means strengthening, not weakening.
Not this close to land.
The eyewall is not contracting, its collapsing. Big difference.
The eyewall is not collapsing. This is not just going to fall apart. It looks better than it did 5 hours or so ago. Is it strenghtening, probably not. But new Recon Vortex shows it maintaing very well, with 931 pressure and 124 kt FL winds, about 125 to 130 mph at the surface
These theories of this storm falling apart to a cat 1 or even cat 2 are a bunch of you know what. We will be lucky if this gets to 110, but I doubt it does. 115 to 125 looks most likely.
0 likes
-
feederband
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 3423
- Joined: Wed Oct 01, 2003 6:21 pm
- Location: Lakeland Fl
She appears to be getting more gerth to her...
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg
0 likes
LanceW wrote:Well, according to the latest Vortex, the eye is open East to West, the pressure is up to 931. Sounds like it is collapsing to me..jkt21787 wrote:dwg71 wrote:coolwater wrote:jkt21787 wrote:coolwater wrote:I'm looking at the radar right now and the eye has completely closed. This storm is weakening.
An eye closing on radar means strengthening, not weakening.
Not this close to land.
The eyewall is not contracting, its collapsing. Big difference.
The eyewall is not collapsing. This is not just going to fall apart. It looks better than it did 5 hours or so ago. Is it strenghtening, probably not. But new Recon Vortex shows it maintaing very well, with 931 pressure and 124 kt FL winds, about 125 to 130 mph at the surface
These theories of this storm falling apart to a cat 1 or even cat 2 are a bunch of you know what. We will be lucky if this gets to 110, but I doubt it does. 115 to 125 looks most likely.
Not collapsing. An eyewall open could mean a number of things including ERC, etc, but the eyewall in this case is not collapsing.
If the eyewall collapses, this would be a min cat 1 hurricane or a TS at landfall. Think about the chances of that actually happening.
NHC also says "the weakening has leveled off". Most of the people posting this crap were the same ones citing NHC about how it was weakening and not strengthening, but now that they say its leveled off, they are not defending NHC this time. What gives?
0 likes
-
Dave C
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 868
- Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 4:36 pm
- Location: Middleboro, Mass.(midway between Cape Cod and Boston)
h
I was just watching Ed Rappaport on MSNBC and the radar behind him you could see the rain bands in the southern semicircle fading and the south eyewall fading also. Looks alot like Katrinas radar presentation as it landfell the se tip of Louisiana.
0 likes
-
azskyman
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 4104
- Joined: Thu Mar 13, 2003 7:36 am
- Location: Scottsdale Arizona
- Contact:
Again...the last few frames seem to indicate a new eyewall structure on the north 180 degrees with heavy rain within it. Also, a shift (perhaps meaningless, but at least interesting to watch) to due north which, if it occurs, will be great news for virtually all of Texas to the Louisiana line.
Fingers crossed.
Fingers crossed.
0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: kevin and 88 guests