Rita,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

[f5]

why do some people wish for 175 mph Cat 5 with gust to 200 mph to come ashore?

[oneness]

Because they do not have a clue, and are to ignorant too realise it, and people ALWAYS learn the hardest way with tropical cyclones.

[curtadams]

AHEM! now. Nothing's falling apart.

To the contrary. Look at the Galveston radar. Attenutation to the N eyewall should be higher than the S - yet the N eyewall is intense and the S almost absent. The S eyewall is missing - just as recon has been saying all day.

Go stand in 120 mph winds and then see if you still feel that way.

The eyewall is falling apart. I'm fully aware that the storm remains extremely powerful. I'm very curious how Rita maintains that extraordinarily low pressure with a badly disrupted structure.

[oneness]

AHEM! now. Nothing's falling apart.

To the contrary. Look at the Galveston radar. Attenutation to the N eyewall should be higher than the S - yet the N eyewall is intense and the S almost absent. The S eyewall is missing - just as recon has been saying all day.

Go stand in 120 mph winds and then see if you still feel that way.

The eyewall is falling apart. I'm fully aware that the storm remains extremely powerful. I'm very curious how Rita maintains that extraordinarily low pressure with a badly disrupted structure.

It's not a mystery, have you comprehended what the extreme cold-tops in the IR images imply?

[Canelaw99]

I just looked at the 11pm 5 day track, and man...it would stink if Rita decided to end up at the southern end of the blob....that would put her back out in the Gulf. Can you imagine? It'd be like, she comes in, does her thing for a couple days, then retreats back into the Gulf with the potential to regenerate at that point.


EDIT: Forgot to add the link: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/025727.shtml?5day?large

[oneness]

Yep, I was thinking the same thing yesterday looking at loops, backs out to the GOM, epic flooding already, redevelops ... re-crosses coast ... somewhere.

Worst thing is, this storm’s rain event will go on and on, right near the areas worst hit ... so rescue and aid may be severely hampered for many days.

[oneness]

GEOS 10 images

Holding it together


Lots of moisture


Cold tops persist in W and SW.


DEVORAk T's plunged for a bit but rising trend with time as structural deformation and pressure rise occurs near landfall.

[oneness]

Eye taking strong northern lurch for a west LA border eye-wall landfall by the looks.

An LA storm.

[superfly]

Looks like eye will pass over this buoy station. Gusts to 111MPH right now but sustained much lower.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=capl1

[oneness]

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[superfly]

Looks like eye will pass over this buoy station. Gusts to 111MPH right now but sustained much lower.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=capl1

Scratch that, anemometer failed at 1:18AM EST. Sustained were at 77MPH with gusts up to 110MPH. This was an hour before the eyewall is going to hit.

[oneness]

[oneness]

Looks Like Lake Charles will get the north eastern eye wall.

[oneness]

[oneness]

http://www.cityrating.com/citystats.asp ... s&state=LA

[superfly]

Port Arthur getting NW eyewall now.

[oneness]

Lake Charles and Port Arthur, and all points in-between, are going to need a lot of help after this passes. Going to be lots of in-land flooding, Lake Charles is only 20 ft above sea level, so very low topography, but lots of large lakes and rivers within 100 miles of landfall. So, how far will Rita go north before she slows and meanders aimlessly?

[oneness]

No core convection collapse there.

[oneness]

Looks like this radar feed is still up and working.

http://weather.cod.edu/cgi-bin/radarloo ... ir=floater

[oneness]

Looks like Rita aspires to becoming a Texas chick after all.