Rita Inland Forecast = Major Bust

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AlabamaDave
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Rita Inland Forecast = Major Bust

#1 Postby AlabamaDave » Mon Sep 26, 2005 6:18 am

So what the heck happened with the Rita inland forecast?? It's like she deliberately did the opposite of what was predicted and raced out of the TX-LA-AR area as quickly as possible. These storms are so unpredictable - very humbling.
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Coredesat

#2 Postby Coredesat » Mon Sep 26, 2005 6:25 am

I don't think the model guidance took the incoming front into account.
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EverythingIsEverything
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#3 Postby EverythingIsEverything » Mon Sep 26, 2005 6:55 am

thank god it didnt stall, but what a major bust, models had it ALL wrong, and made forecasters look silly
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BayouVenteux
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#4 Postby BayouVenteux » Mon Sep 26, 2005 7:32 am

Hmmm. Maybe the models had the right ideas but poor timing regarding a rebuilding ridge...I notice that the extended forecasts for our area are now beginning to trend away from the cool temperatures that we're hoping for toward the end of the week. The 50's lows and upper 70's highs called for yesterday are now mid-to-upper 60's and mid-to-upper 80's.
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Andrew '92, Katrina '05, Gustav '08, Isaac '12, Ida '21...and countless other lesser landfalling storms whose names have been eclipsed by "The Big Ones".


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