99L Invest,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Locked
Message
Author
flhurricaneguy
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 197
Joined: Mon Sep 26, 2005 10:21 am

#241 Postby flhurricaneguy » Mon Sep 26, 2005 1:08 pm

thats the craziest amount of money i have ever heard of for a weather forecast. if i pay that much i better get the weather that i want along with it.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148497
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#242 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 26, 2005 1:08 pm

CENTRAL CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 70W S OF 20N MOVING W
15 KT WITH A 1010 MB LOW NEAR 13N70W. THE WAVE HAS BEEN
REPOSITIONED SLIGHTLY TO THE E BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
FROM THE ABC ISLANDS REPORTING LIGHT SW OR NW WINDS. PRESSURES
FALLS ARE OCCURRING WITH THIS WAVE THOUGH THE CONVECTION PATTERN
IS DISORGANIZED. A BAND OF TSTMS MOVING AWAY FROM THE WAVE IS
ALONG 17N71W TO 15N75W WITH WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
CLOSER TO THE BROAD LOW FROM 13N-15.5N BETWEEN 66W-71W. WITH
THE ITCZ SO FAR TO THE NORTH IN THE EPAC.. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT
THIS WAVE WILL ENCOUNTER A CYCLONIC LOW-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT
FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IN THE W CARIBBEAN IN A COUPLE
DAYS.

2 PM Discussion.

Ok Folks let's return to the theme and that is about 99L
Last edited by cycloneye on Mon Sep 26, 2005 1:18 pm, edited 2 times in total.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:
Contact HURAKAN

#243 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Sep 26, 2005 1:11 pm

A little less hostile environment, and we have something more to worry about.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Aimless
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 381
Joined: Fri Sep 12, 2003 10:59 am
Location: Orange City
Contact:
Contact Aimless

#244 Postby Aimless » Mon Sep 26, 2005 1:12 pm

flhurricaneguy wrote:thats the craziest amount of money i have ever heard of for a weather forecast. if i pay that much i better get the weather that i want along with it.


ROFL :lol:
0 likes   
Top
flhurricaneguy
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 197
Joined: Mon Sep 26, 2005 10:21 am

#245 Postby flhurricaneguy » Mon Sep 26, 2005 1:13 pm

FROM WHAT I CAN SEE IF THIS FORMS IT COULD BE HEADING FOR THE SW FLORIDA COAST. DOES THIS SCENARIO MAKE SENSE?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Swimdude
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2270
Joined: Mon Jul 26, 2004 11:57 am
Location: Houston, TX

#246 Postby Swimdude » Mon Sep 26, 2005 1:16 pm

:( Yeesh... I smell Stan.
0 likes   
Top
jax

#247 Postby jax » Mon Sep 26, 2005 1:16 pm

flhurricaneguy wrote:FROM WHAT I CAN SEE IF THIS FORMS IT COULD BE HEADING FOR THE SW FLORIDA COAST. DOES THIS SCENARIO MAKE SENSE?


no way of telling right now...

are you in SW Florida?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
DESTRUCTION5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4430
Age: 44
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:25 am
Location: Stuart, FL

#248 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Mon Sep 26, 2005 1:16 pm

flhurricaneguy wrote:FROM WHAT I CAN SEE IF THIS FORMS IT COULD BE HEADING FOR THE SW FLORIDA COAST. DOES THIS SCENARIO MAKE SENSE?


Makes sense but Is not worth mentioning till he/she fires into a system..
0 likes   
Top
flhurricaneguy
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 197
Joined: Mon Sep 26, 2005 10:21 am

#249 Postby flhurricaneguy » Mon Sep 26, 2005 1:21 pm

I AM IN SOUTH CENTRAL EAST COAST. NOT HOPING TO SEE ANY STORMS MY WAY THIS YEAR WE FELT A LITTLE WIND AND RAIN FROM RITA KATRINA AND DENNIS BUT HOPEFULLY THATS IT.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148497
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#250 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 26, 2005 1:22 pm

flhurricaneguy wrote:I AM IN SOUTH CENTRAL EAST COAST. NOT HOPING TO SEE ANY STORMS MY WAY THIS YEAR WE FELT A LITTLE WIND AND RAIN FROM RITA KATRINA AND DENNIS BUT HOPEFULLY THATS IT.


Please let's try to not type in caps and do it at the normal way.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
Swimdude
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2270
Joined: Mon Jul 26, 2004 11:57 am
Location: Houston, TX

#251 Postby Swimdude » Mon Sep 26, 2005 1:24 pm

Could someone post models?
0 likes   
Top
Duffy
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 294
Joined: Sat Aug 28, 2004 5:58 pm
Location: Brunswick, Maine, USA

#252 Postby Duffy » Mon Sep 26, 2005 1:26 pm

yes, go here
http://weather.net-waves.com/model.php
0 likes   
Top
Duffy
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 294
Joined: Sat Aug 28, 2004 5:58 pm
Location: Brunswick, Maine, USA

#253 Postby Duffy » Mon Sep 26, 2005 1:27 pm

yes go here and click on 99
http://weather.net-waves.com/modelplot.htm
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

#254 Postby dixiebreeze » Mon Sep 26, 2005 1:28 pm

NRL site is finally working correctly and has Invest 99:

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Tampa Bay Hurricane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5598
Age: 37
Joined: Fri Jul 22, 2005 7:54 pm
Location: St. Petersburg, FL

#255 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Mon Sep 26, 2005 1:33 pm

Which one is 99L???

Image

You didn't read the 2 P< Discussion that I posted :) The wave axis is now more east than first thought because of observations in the area they now have it at 70w.
0 likes   
Top
flhurricaneguy
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 197
Joined: Mon Sep 26, 2005 10:21 am

#256 Postby flhurricaneguy » Mon Sep 26, 2005 1:35 pm

its looking good
0 likes   
Top
jwayne
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 242
Joined: Fri Sep 10, 2004 12:33 pm

#257 Postby jwayne » Mon Sep 26, 2005 1:36 pm

Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:Which one is 99L???

Image

You didn't read the 2 P< Discussion that I posted :) The wave axis is now more east than first thought because of observations in the area they now have it at 70w.




uhhhh, you're looking at it.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Tampa Bay Hurricane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5598
Age: 37
Joined: Fri Jul 22, 2005 7:54 pm
Location: St. Petersburg, FL

#258 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Mon Sep 26, 2005 1:37 pm

Oh yea that's what they meant by repositioning to the east
LOL thanks!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 148497
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#259 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 26, 2005 1:38 pm

Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:Which one is 99L???

Image

You didn't read the 2 P< Discussion that I posted :) The wave axis is now more east than first thought because of observations in the area they now have it at 70w.


You didn't read the 2 PM Discussion that I posted :) The wave axis is now more to the east around 70w so the convection that you see more concentrated is the one to watch.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38264
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

#260 Postby Brent » Mon Sep 26, 2005 1:43 pm

The one farther east...
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
Locked

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: duilaslol and 339 guests