99L Invest,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

#341 Postby **WeatherEmperor** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 4:42 pm

I wish I could see some global model runs on this. Are there even any on 99L?

<RICKY>

#342 Postby **skysummit** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 4:43 pm

I know the models don't mean much right now, but here's what I have so far this evening.

#343 Postby **WeatherEmperor** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 4:47 pm

those should be good enough for right now I guess.

<RICKY>

hicksta · #344 Postby **hicksta** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 4:48 pm

COLD FRONT PLEASE!!! :wink:

Tampa Bay Hurricane · #345 Postby **Tampa Bay Hurricane** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 4:49 pm

hicksta wrote:COLD FRONT PLEASE!!!

That would bring it into the FL West Coast :wink:

Tampa Bay Hurricane · #346 Postby **Tampa Bay Hurricane** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 4:49 pm

Does anyone have updated information on the cold front?

hicksta · #347 Postby **hicksta** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 4:49 pm

Exactly!

Tampa Bay Hurricane · #348 Postby **Tampa Bay Hurricane** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 4:52 pm

hicksta wrote:Exactly!

Well if it's a weak TS and gives us some much needed rain
I'll take it. But anything stronger---well I'll save that fear for
when we really have a system threatening us. :wink:

#349 Postby **WeatherEmperor** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 4:54 pm

cold front to save the western gulf but cold front to threaten the eastern portions of the gulf. either way we need to watch this and see what becomes of it.

<RICKY>

Tampa Bay Hurricane · #350 Postby **Tampa Bay Hurricane** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 4:54 pm

Moving much faster then indicated by model forecasts. At this rate it
reaches the NW carribean or SE Gulf in 2-3 days.

CENTRAL CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 70W S OF 20N MOVING W
15 KT WITH A 1010 MB LOW NEAR 13N70W. THE WAVE HAS BEEN
REPOSITIONED SLIGHTLY TO THE E BASED ON SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
FROM THE ABC ISLANDS REPORTING LIGHT SW OR NW WINDS. PRESSURES
FALLS ARE OCCURRING WITH THIS WAVE THOUGH THE CONVECTION PATTERN
IS DISORGANIZED. A BAND OF TSTMS MOVING AWAY FROM THE WAVE IS
ALONG 17N71W TO 15N75W WITH WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
CLOSER TO THE BROAD LOW FROM 13N-15.5N BETWEEN 66W-71W. WITH
THE ITCZ SO FAR TO THE NORTH IN THE EPAC.. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT
THIS WAVE WILL ENCOUNTER A CYCLONIC LOW-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT
FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT IN THE W CARIBBEAN IN A COUPLE
DAYS.

Tampa Bay Hurricane · #351 Postby **Tampa Bay Hurricane** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 5:02 pm

bump what do you all think of its fast forward motion? :uarrow:

Will it continue
or will it slow...???Also if anyone has info on the front that would
help also
Thanks...

jhamps10 · #352 Postby **jhamps10** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 5:05 pm

I think it will slow down. If it dosen't slow down, then it won't be able to develop too fast. Don't know anything about this cold front, except for the fact that by Friday morning we could have lows in the upper 30's! :eek:

Stratosphere747 · #353 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 5:06 pm

Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:bump what do you all think of its fast forward motion? Will it continue
or will it slow...???Also if anyone has info on the front that would
help also
Thanks...

If it continues to move quickly, whatever there is will go into C America. As far as the front, looks like it may fizzle out rather quickly.

#354 Postby **seaswing** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 5:07 pm

jhamps10 wrote:I think it will slow down. If it dosen't slow down, then it won't be able to develop too fast. Don't know anything about this cold front, except for the fact that by Friday morning we could have lows in the upper 30's!

We have a long time before that happens here! probably late Nov or Dec. but I am ready for it! too hot and pretty dry here...for now anyway :roll:

Tampa Bay Hurricane · #355 Postby **Tampa Bay Hurricane** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 5:09 pm

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

IMO it will likely slow due to less in the way of steering currents
but I don't think it will slow as much as the models are indicating.

johngaltfla · #356 Postby **johngaltfla** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 5:15 pm

hicksta wrote:COLD FRONT PLEASE!!!

Gee thanks. We really would like to elect to not participate in this hurricane season, thank you very much.

I vote for a fish. But I doubt it based on those models. This is not in a good position for us Floridians.

:eek:

bigmike · #357 Postby **bigmike** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 5:32 pm

Early models are junk. Btw it is not looking too impressive evening as far as thunderstorm development.

Tampa Bay Hurricane · #358 Postby **Tampa Bay Hurricane** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 5:34 pm

Too much divergence in models...I will forget about them for now...they
are too confusing.

Tampa Bay Hurricane · #359 Postby **Tampa Bay Hurricane** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 5:35 pm

Some newer convection starting to flare on its eastern side

Weatherfreak14 · #360 Postby **Weatherfreak14** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 5:39 pm

Looks like N.O should watch their tails.

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