99L Invest,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

CHRISTY · #401 Postby **CHRISTY** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 7:48 pm

i live in homestead what are the chances of this thing coming here? opinions welcome!

Foladar0 · #402 Postby **Foladar0** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 7:49 pm

STAY AWAY!
I'm leaving for vacation on Oct 1st

Tampa Bay Hurricane · #403 Postby **Tampa Bay Hurricane** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 7:50 pm

CHRISTY wrote:i live in homestead what are the chances of this thing coming here? opinions welcome!

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Depends on how fast it moves IMO.
Very fast motion implies it may curve with trough earlier.

Tampa Bay Hurricane · #404 Postby **Tampa Bay Hurricane** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 7:51 pm

Still waiting for those 00z models
should be out before 930 pm
perhaps they will pick up on new info and motion and
be less confusing.

CHRISTY · #405 Postby **CHRISTY** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 7:51 pm

what a tuff forcast!!!!!

#406 Postby **canetracker** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 7:52 pm

Not sure if this needs the disclaimer, but here it is: The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products

Impact Weather still predicting a northern Mexico to central Louisiana Cane. Their reasoning is high pressure to the north across the eatern US will block any NW movement and will cause a WNW movement into the south-central GOM on Saturday.

sunny · #407 Postby **sunny** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 7:54 pm

Time to learn how to use VooDoo. My nerves can't take this. I still can't live in my home - even if my job were still in New Orleans.

Swimdude · #408 Postby **Swimdude** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 7:55 pm

canetracker wrote:Not sure if this needs the disclaimer, but here it is: The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products

Impact Weather still predicting a northern Mexico to central Louisiana Cane. Their reasoning is high pressure to the north across the eatern US will block any NW movement and will cause a WNW movement into the south-central GOM on Saturday.

Don't worry about using disclaimers unless you know that your post may seem "official"... That's the best way I can describe it. Don't worry about it with simple opinions. We're too lazy for that.

Anyway, YAY for another possible TEXAS storm... Oh, that's right. We haven't HAD a Texas storm this year. Annnyway, i'm not wishing this one on anybody. Perhaps it will fizzle.

CHRISTY · #409 Postby **CHRISTY** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 7:56 pm

how accurate is this information???? to soon to know!

#410 Postby **canetracker** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 7:59 pm

Thanks Swimdude! Also, Christy, I do agree that it is too soon to know.

fasterdisaster · #411 Postby **fasterdisaster** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 8:01 pm

What is the latitude and longitude of 99L? I can't find it anywhere.

Doc Seminole · #412 Postby **Doc Seminole** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 8:04 pm

sunny wrote:Time to learn how to use VooDoo.

Wasn't New Orleans the voodoo capital of the U.S. or something like that? Voodoo is big in Haiti also. Doesn't say much for voodoo.

Doc Seminole 8-)

sunny · #413 Postby **sunny** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 8:08 pm

Doc Seminole wrote:
sunny wrote:Time to learn how to use VooDoo.

Wasn't New Orleans the voodoo capital of the U.S. or something like that? Voodoo is big in Haiti also. Doesn't say much for voodoo.

Doc Seminole

*Off Topic* Long time ago. Our claim to fame was Marie Laveau, who was also a devote Catholic (go figure). You still have so-called VooDoo Priestesses, but to be honest I really do not know a whole lot about it.

#414 Postby **canetracker** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 8:08 pm

Doc Seminole wrote:
sunny wrote:Time to learn how to use VooDoo.

Wasn't New Orleans the voodoo capital of the U.S. or something like that? Voodoo is big in Haiti also. Doesn't say much for voodoo.

Doc Seminole

This is not Vodoo, but during the eye of Louisiana's Hurricane Betsy, my frazzled dad practiced an indian ritual of plunging an axe in the ground to ward off evil spirits. This was coming from a christian man who does not believe in any ritauls!
By the way:
As of 5:30 Impact Weather had 99L at 14N/74W and moving about 15mph . Don't know anything further than that.

Stratosphere747 · #415 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 8:18 pm

CARIBBEAN SEA...
THE TWO TROPICAL WAVES ARE THE MAIN WEATHER PRODUCERS IN THE
CARIBBEAN SEA. IN ADDITION...WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS OVER PANAMA FROM 7N-12N BETWEEN 77W-83W. IN THE
UPPER LEVELS...A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS JUST N OF CUBA NEAR
24N80W. A TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS S TO HONDURAS NEAR 16N85W.
FURTHER E...AN ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS CENTERED OVER
HISPANIOLA NEAR 19N70W ENHANCING CONVECTION OVER THE CENTRAL AND
EASTERN CARIBBEAN. EXPECT THE ENTIRE CARIBBEAN SEA TO HAVE GOOD
POTENTIAL OF CONVECTION DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

Gives an idea of the entire Caribbean basin.

Swimdude · #416 Postby **Swimdude** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 8:23 pm

fasterdisaster wrote:What is the latitude and longitude of 99L? I can't find it anywhere.

Look SMACK in the middle of the Caribbean Sea... And you'll see it. :lol:

corpusbreeze · #417 Postby **corpusbreeze** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 8:36 pm

Jb says in his 9pm write up this will most likley be a TS by the weekend and threaten the west GOM. I have to say he saw Rita way before anybody. Well see.

susan · #418 Postby **susan** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 8:39 pm

I can not handle a threat 2 days after I got home from the first. I am not a happy camper, literally....

#419 Postby **gatorcane** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 9:21 pm

They seem to like 99L

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
209 PM EDT MON SEP 26 2005

DISCUSSION
MID LEVEL TROUGH SOUTHWEST OF ANDROS MOVING WEST AND
APPROACHING SOUTH FLORIDA SHOWING UP WELL ON WATER VAPOR. 12Z SOUNDING
SHOWED COOLING FROM H7 TO H4 BUT WE STILL HAVE A WEAK SUBSIDENCE
CAP AROUND 600 MB. SHORT WAVE AND FRONT TO MOVE INTO NORTH FLORIDA
AND NORTHEAST GULF AND STALL. GFS SHOWS A LOW DEVELOPING IN THE
NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO POSSIBLY ON THE SOUTH END OF THE FRONT.
THAT SEEMS TO WEAKEN AND FADE AWAY BY FRIDAY BUT ANOTHER LOW FORMS
OVER THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN AND MOVES NORTHWEST THROUGH THE
YUCATAN CHANNEL EARLY SATURDAY. THIS ONE REALLY NEEDS TO BE
MONITORED.

CURRENT RADAR SHOWS INCREASED SHOWER COVERAGE DUE TO COOLING
ALOFT AND MID LEVEL TROUGH APPROACHING. NO THUNDER SHOWING UP
PROBABLY BECAUSE OF CAP BUT IT MAY BREAK OVER THE WESTERN AREAS
LATER THIS AFTERNOON. MOISTURE WILL BE INCREASING STEADILY NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS AND ESPECIALLY FOR THE PERIOD THURSDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY, WHERE WE WILL SEE THE HIGHEST POPS AT 50%. MAY HAVE TO BE
ADJUSTED UPWARD WHEN WE GET CLOSER TO THE WET STRETCH AND SEE IF
THE MODELS CONTINUE THIS SCENARIO.

If Miami NWS is saying this then I am listening. They are fairly conservative on their tropical forecasts:

:eek:

#420 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Mon Sep 26, 2005 9:27 pm

corpusbreeze wrote:Jb says in his 9pm write up this will most likley be a TS by the weekend and threaten the west GOM. I have to say he saw Rita way before anybody. Well see.

JB is full of applesauce. I seriously doubt this system -- if it becomes a threat -- will come anywhere near the west GOM, based on climatological precedents.

99L Invest,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

Who is online