FRESH picture of invest 99L

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hial2
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FRESH picture of invest 99L

#1 Postby hial2 » Tue Sep 27, 2005 2:35 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html


Just paste and watch just south of Jamaica...Presenting TD 19
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#2 Postby Brent » Tue Sep 27, 2005 2:35 pm

It's not TD 19 yet.
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#3 Postby skysummit » Tue Sep 27, 2005 2:36 pm

It's NOT a Tropical Depression yet!
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#4 Postby hial2 » Tue Sep 27, 2005 2:36 pm

Brent wrote:It's not TD 19 yet.


Maybe...but it sure looks good
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#5 Postby cycloneye » Tue Sep 27, 2005 2:38 pm

If you dont mind hial I will change the title as it may be confusing to many members as no TD has formed.
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#6 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Sep 27, 2005 2:40 pm

Its becoming less organized right now. The LLC/MLC has become exposed over the last 2 hours. That decreases the chances for this to become a tropical depression.
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#7 Postby ConvergenceZone » Tue Sep 27, 2005 2:47 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Its becoming less organized right now. The LLC/MLC has become exposed over the last 2 hours. That decreases the chances for this to become a tropical depression.


It decreases the chance of it becomming a tropical depression today, but it doesn't decrease the chance of it becomming a depression tomorrow or the next day. We know how fast these things can organize.
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#8 Postby Dean4Storms » Tue Sep 27, 2005 2:51 pm

Floater #1 gives you a much better look!

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
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#9 Postby Dean4Storms » Tue Sep 27, 2005 2:54 pm

I cannot tell if that swirl at the SW edge of the swirl is at the surface or not, but it looks close. Regardless it won't remain as long as it remains convectionless near its center.
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#10 Postby Ixolib » Tue Sep 27, 2005 2:59 pm

Looks like a bit of a spin to me. And I don't think I see any shear from the west or SW. Could ramp up kinda quick, I think...
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#11 Postby Recurve » Tue Sep 27, 2005 2:59 pm

Interesting twist there but removed from the convection. Blow away! Blow away! :grr:
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#12 Postby Dean4Storms » Tue Sep 27, 2005 3:05 pm

That small blow up near what appears to be the center is getting cold cloud tops on WV, let's see if it grows over the next couple of hours. If it does we got lift off IMO.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
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#13 Postby Stratosphere747 » Tue Sep 27, 2005 3:09 pm

Dean4Storms wrote:That small blow up near what appears to be the center is getting cold cloud tops on WV, let's see if it grows over the next couple of hours. If it does we got lift off IMO.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html


Looks like a solid build up right to the west of a possible circulation as mentioned...

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html
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#14 Postby krysof » Tue Sep 27, 2005 3:10 pm

It looks like convection may be reflaring near the center
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#15 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Tue Sep 27, 2005 4:04 pm

Wow this thing is lookin good. To bad I will ber inidania to miss this. :(
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#16 Postby corpusbreeze » Tue Sep 27, 2005 4:29 pm

Im impressed with the outflow of the system to the west and north. This baby looks like it wants to take off.
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#17 Postby chrisnnavarre » Tue Sep 27, 2005 4:31 pm

This looks to be lifting out to the north towards Jamaica. If it keeps going it will cross over western Cuba. It's moving at a pretty good clip as well, I don't think it will ever make it to the Yucatan, or the BOC for that matter but we'll see.
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#18 Postby WeatherEmperor » Tue Sep 27, 2005 4:45 pm

chrisnnavarre wrote:This looks to be lifting out to the north towards Jamaica. If it keeps going it will cross over western Cuba. It's moving at a pretty good clip as well, I don't think it will ever make it to the Yucatan, or the BOC for that matter but we'll see.


dont be fooled by that. those are due to the upper level winds blowing the clouds in that northerly direction.

<RICKY>
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#19 Postby HurricaneJoe22 » Tue Sep 27, 2005 4:57 pm

there only is a mid-level circulation....there's no surface circulation right now
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#20 Postby Noah » Tue Sep 27, 2005 8:10 pm

This going to be a west coast of florida storm?
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