99L Invest,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

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skysummit
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#881 Postby skysummit » Wed Sep 28, 2005 3:02 pm

Its cloud base definately looks to be increasing in size. On visible, I think it's quite impressive for what it is.
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#882 Postby EDR1222 » Wed Sep 28, 2005 3:08 pm

It has definately flared up this afternoon. Looks like yet another Gulf system. Some of the models indicate it will stay pretty far to the south. Lets see if that changes if the system develops further.
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#883 Postby cjrciadt » Wed Sep 28, 2005 3:16 pm

Image
Remember the models are almost useless until a firm defined center is fixed.
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#884 Postby x-y-no » Wed Sep 28, 2005 3:22 pm

Definitely looks like a healthy LLC has developed - centered somewhere around 16 to 16. N and 81 to 81.5W, moving WNW.

Right now the shallow steering is a little more northerly up ahead, but even if that lasts it looks unlikely that this can avoid landfall in the Yucatan.
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#885 Postby flhurricaneguy » Wed Sep 28, 2005 3:23 pm

is that pointing at new orleans
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#886 Postby Coredesat » Wed Sep 28, 2005 3:27 pm

Ignore the LBAR.
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#887 Postby curtadams » Wed Sep 28, 2005 3:28 pm

Upper and lower level circulations are best seen on the rgb image: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/rgb-loop.html
(Yellow low and white/blue high). Obvious LL cyclonic and UL anticyclonic circulation roughly centered on the sharp burst of convection. Looks about 17N to me.
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#888 Postby jasons2k » Wed Sep 28, 2005 3:32 pm

Dr. Neil Frank said last night he expected this system to develop.

He said it was a real possibility a Tropical Cyclone could move into the GOM this weekend and we would have to watch it very carefully.
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#889 Postby Amanzi » Wed Sep 28, 2005 3:47 pm

jschlitz wrote:Dr. Neil Frank said last night he expected this system to develop.

He said it was a real possibility a Tropical Cyclone could move into the GOM this weekend and we would have to watch it very carefully.


Oh joy... just what we need to hear.. :eek:
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#890 Postby Air Force Met » Wed Sep 28, 2005 4:00 pm

jschlitz wrote:Dr. Neil Frank said last night he expected this system to develop.

He said it was a real possibility a Tropical Cyclone could move into the GOM this weekend and we would have to watch it very carefully.


What would you expect him to say: "Nothing to worry about here...please don't tune back in at 10 pm."?

:lol:
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#891 Postby MortisFL » Wed Sep 28, 2005 4:02 pm

Air Force Met wrote:
jschlitz wrote:Dr. Neil Frank said last night he expected this system to develop.

He said it was a real possibility a Tropical Cyclone could move into the GOM this weekend and we would have to watch it very carefully.


What would you expect him to say: "Nothing to worry about here...please don't tune back in at 10 pm."?

:lol:


Thats the line of the day...good stuff :D
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#892 Postby scostorms » Wed Sep 28, 2005 4:03 pm

What other hurricanes have formed in this relative location, then hit the USA Gulf Coast?
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#893 Postby flhurricaneguy » Wed Sep 28, 2005 4:08 pm

didnt tropical storm bonnie form there last year?
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#894 Postby jax » Wed Sep 28, 2005 4:09 pm

scostorms wrote:What other hurricanes have formed in this relative location, then hit the USA Gulf Coast?


Camille... http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/at196903.asp
was a TD just noth of it's current location... likely a disturbance
just like this in this very same area...
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#895 Postby FlSteel » Wed Sep 28, 2005 4:15 pm

The last thing we need to hear is that name. :roll:
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#896 Postby BLHutch » Wed Sep 28, 2005 4:15 pm

Air Force Met wrote:What would you expect him to say: "Nothing to worry about here...please don't tune back in at 10 pm."?

:lol:


I expect him to say "Nothing to worry about here.....please watch that other channel at 10 pm for an update from Radar the Weather Dog!"

Brady H.
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#897 Postby storms in NC » Wed Sep 28, 2005 4:15 pm

Air Force Met wrote:
jschlitz wrote:Dr. Neil Frank said last night he expected this system to develop.

He said it was a real possibility a Tropical Cyclone could move into the GOM this weekend and we would have to watch it very carefully.


What would you expect him to say: "Nothing to worry about here...please don't tune back in at 10 pm."?

:lol:
:roflmao: :roflmao: :roflmao: :roflmao: :roflmao: :rofl:
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#898 Postby audioslave8 » Wed Sep 28, 2005 4:16 pm

Yeah but did you notice all the dry air in the GOM. There wont be anything being formed till the dry air is gone from the Gulf. We all know this can change but it does not appear to be moving out real quick and if it goes over the Yucatan it will be shredded apart. We will have to sit tight and wait and see.
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#899 Postby vaffie » Wed Sep 28, 2005 4:22 pm

Have you guys ever seen a more impressive satellite picture for something that's not even classified as a Tropical Depression yet?!
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
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#900 Postby scostorms » Wed Sep 28, 2005 4:25 pm

*sniff sniff* What is that awful smell! 11pm?! :eek:
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