99L Invest,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

[boca]

Cycloneye didn't Derek Ortt say that the recon would be cancelled if they couldn't find a fixed center.

[cycloneye]

Cycloneye didn't Derek Ortt say that the recon would be cancelled if they couldn't find a fixed center.

Plane is now on route to 99L.See recon thread.

[boca]

Just saw your thread right after I wrote that. Thanks cycloneye.

[vaffie]

Cycloneye didn't Derek Ortt say that the recon would be cancelled if they couldn't find a fixed center.

Plane is now on route to 99L.See recon thread.

YAY, finally! Now we'll get some data.

[mvtrucking]

Cycloneye didn't Derek Ortt say that the recon would be cancelled if they couldn't find a fixed center.

Plane is now on route to 99L.See recon thread.

YAY, finally! Now we'll get some data.

Some data or they will put this thing to bed for good?

[ronjon]

Anyone notice the cloud spin north of the Caymans and south of Cuba? It's well-removed from the convection...maybe just an eddy...

I think that is the MLC and the LLC is further south tucked under the deep convection around 17N-82W. I wouldn't expect much organization until the LLC can get under the MLC. If the LLC migrates or reforms north of its current position, then this thing could deepen quickly.

[Nimbus]

You can see the LLC in the early morning visibles just before the convection explodes over it. The coordinates for the LLC were about 17.6 N 82 W.

[cycloneye]

ABNT20 KNHC 291507
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT THU SEP 29 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED ABOUT 130 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
OF GRAND CAYMAN ISLAND IS SHOWING SIGNS OF BECOMING BETTER
ORGANIZED. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED NEAR THE
LOW-LEVEL CENTER AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE GRADUALLY BECOMING MORE
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL
TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY OR FRIDAY AS IT MOVES
TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 MPH. AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS ENROUTE TO INVESTIGATE THE
SYSTEM. INTERESTS IN AND AROUND THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA
SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DISTURBANCE.



ELSEWHERE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
FRIDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART

[hurricanefloyd5]

ABNT20 KNHC 291507
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT THU SEP 29 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED ABOUT 130 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
OF GRAND CAYMAN ISLAND IS SHOWING SIGNS OF BECOMING BETTER
ORGANIZED. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED NEAR THE
LOW-LEVEL CENTER AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE GRADUALLY BECOMING MORE
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL
TO BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY OR FRIDAY AS IT MOVES
TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST AT ABOUT 10 MPH. AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS ENROUTE TO INVESTIGATE THE
SYSTEM. INTERESTS IN AND AROUND THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA
SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DISTURBANCE.



ELSEWHERE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
FRIDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART

think a strong td will be found???????????

[Blown Away]

The models initialized about 100 miles N of the approximate 11:30 am position.
http://weather.net-waves.com/model.php

[DESTRUCTION5]

I think were staring at a Stationary Depression...

[CHRISTY]

I THINK EVENTUALLY THIS WILL BEGIN TO DRIFT NORTH? OPINIONS!

[Brent]

I think were staring at a Stationary Depression...

I think so too. It really looks like a TD to me.

[hurricanefloyd5]

I think were staring at a Stationary Depression...

I think so too. It really looks like a TD to me.

i hope the front dont push it my way but you never know anything can happen and this is not a -removed- im just look at all this things that come into play.... mean im looking at the big picture

[CHRISTY]

this reminds me of irene! if it moves north wont this get pushed to the north east eventually by the next cold front coming??? opinions!

[cjrciadt]

Recon will confirm or disprove our TD Debate.

[Blown Away]

None of the models seem to show any E component for 99L.
http://weather.net-waves.com/model.php

[Rainband]

None of the models seem to show any E component for 99L.
http://weather.net-waves.com/model.php

those are useless. Globals will tell the real tale.

[jax]

None of the models seem to show any E component for 99L.
http://weather.net-waves.com/model.php

those are useless. Globals will tell the real tale.

where are the globals?

[Windy]

None of the models seem to show any E component for 99L.
http://weather.net-waves.com/model.php

None of those models matter right now, as they have nothing to go by and aren't globals, anyway. They're fun to look at, but they don't mean anything.