LLC?

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txwatcher91
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LLC?

#1 Postby txwatcher91 » Thu Sep 29, 2005 11:46 am

What is the feature near 20North and 60West? Looks like a tropical low with a LLC. Does this have any chance of developing?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html
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#2 Postby deltadog03 » Thu Sep 29, 2005 11:49 am

that is the system that JB has been talking about...looks like its starting to fire up nicely
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#3 Postby AtlanticWind » Thu Sep 29, 2005 11:54 am

That is an upper level low
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#4 Postby txwatcher91 » Thu Sep 29, 2005 11:58 am

AtlanticWind wrote:That is an upper level low


It appears to be working down to the surface to me IMO.
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#5 Postby deltadog03 » Thu Sep 29, 2005 11:59 am

yeah, its working down to the surface...
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#6 Postby cjrciadt » Thu Sep 29, 2005 12:02 pm

http://orca.rsmas.miami.edu/wximages/jet/1_05/anis.html
Has flared up very, very fast, will it stay together though of fizzle out?
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CHRISTY

#7 Postby CHRISTY » Thu Sep 29, 2005 12:23 pm

wow looks like its trying to work its way down to the surface! i think this will head straight west into florida and develope? jb said this system could be a problem for florida! opinions?
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#8 Postby x-y-no » Thu Sep 29, 2005 12:31 pm

Sorry, but I don't see anything but the usual trade winds at low levels. As of yet, this is strictly mid to upper level.

Not saying it won't work its way down, just that there's no sign of that happening yet.
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#9 Postby no advance » Thu Sep 29, 2005 12:33 pm

At least you got to say it is in the act of organizing. I think it will most likely go ahead and develop. The race is on for stan
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CHRISTY

#10 Postby CHRISTY » Thu Sep 29, 2005 1:08 pm

no models on this???
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#11 Postby Swimdude » Thu Sep 29, 2005 1:09 pm

Could be just another afternoon flare... I have no opinion until we have a prof.met comment here.
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#12 Postby loon » Thu Sep 29, 2005 1:11 pm

Swimdude wrote:Could be just another afternoon flare... I have no opinion until we have a prof.met comment here.


lol, so infact you have no opinion. If you don't have an opinion until you hear someone elses opinion, you are infact simply rebroadcasting other people's opinions. :lol: :lol: :lol:

I'm just messing with ya

cheers,
loon
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#13 Postby WeatherEmperor » Thu Sep 29, 2005 1:11 pm

Swimdude wrote:Could be just another afternoon flare... I have no opinion until we have a prof.met comment here.


that would be great.

<RICKY>
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#14 Postby storms in NC » Thu Sep 29, 2005 1:16 pm

I think I had a post on this yesterday.


http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=75786
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#15 Postby storms in NC » Thu Sep 29, 2005 1:58 pm

Just looked at the loop and if it did do any thing it would be pushed out by the trof
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#16 Postby Blown Away » Thu Sep 29, 2005 2:08 pm

Dumb question, how can you tell it is an upper level low vs a low level?
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#17 Postby x-y-no » Thu Sep 29, 2005 2:24 pm

Blown_away wrote:Dumb question, how can you tell it is an upper level low vs a low level?


It's just a matter of prctice in recognizing cloud types. Look at the visible sattelite loop of the area in question, and observe the clouds you see moving east to west in the environment around the system. Now see if you can see similar clouds in the area of the circulation. You'll see that they are generally moving east to west under there as well.

It's also useful to compare cloud movement in the WV loop, which mostly is mid to upper level, with the visible. Cloud movement wich shows clearly in visible but not WV is almost certainly low level.
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#18 Postby Blown Away » Thu Sep 29, 2005 2:58 pm

I'm looking at the area near 20/60! There is a clear circulation and the clouds are moving E to W around the circulation near the center. The clouds in the blob NE of the center are moving NE, sheared right. The WV shows the same so it is upper level

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/HURRLOOPS/huvsloop.html
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#19 Postby artist » Thu Sep 29, 2005 3:11 pm

Blown away - seems to me those clouds you are seeing are not at the surface - look at the tiny ones down below - I don't see any signature yet there myself. Looks like it could try to but don't see it low yet. jmho
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#20 Postby Blown Away » Thu Sep 29, 2005 3:27 pm

x-y-no said if you see similiar cloud movement on the visible and WV then it is likely upper level, that's what I see near 20/60. Am I correct it would be an upper level feature.
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