Tropical Depression 19,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

[MiamiensisWx]

Good!

[WeatherEmperor]

TD19 looks very very healthy right now and I would not be surprised to see it upgraded to Stan later tonight.

<RICKY>

[Roxy]

Wow, everyone says fish...but I'm not so sure. I have a feeling future Stan is going to give us a run for our money. Just a gut feeling.

[DoctorHurricane2003]

That would leave 3 names left...

Also:

Next storm classification number is: 20L

Record storm classification number is: 21L (1933 (Although I am not sure if they used XXL back then...I don't think they did), 1995, 2003)

There has never been a 22L

[wxman57]

Fish.

The end...

[Anthysteg]

http://hurricane.methaz.org/hurapak/AAL192005_perf.html


Even spread sp far, NOGAPS has it making the west turn again. Guess we'll have to wait for the next model run

[WeatherEmperor]

Fish.

The end...

Thank you very much.

<RICKY>

[BLHutch]

Fish.

The end...

My Eight Ball agrees with you. I asked it if TD19 would be a fish. The response was "It is decidedly so."

It doesn't have the best track record though. I asked if Katrina would hit NOLA and it said no. I would have to evacuate for Rita and it said no.

Actually, that would be a good experiment for everyone who still has one of those eight ball things. Ask it if TD19 will be a fish. If the Eight Balls agree with the models, then I would have to say that it is......

decidely so.

Brady

[Roxy]

Fish.

The end...

Let me clarify, I don't think it'll hit land, (ok, so it's a fish...) but I also don't think it'll go quietly. That's what I meant..

[fasterdisaster]

Is there any possibility of one of these two scenarios happening, looking at the farthest out models go?

1) Future Stan turns east, then the ridge acts again, and Stan does a loop, turning west, and THEN causing destruction.

or

2) Stan goes east, and slams into Africa, or Southern Europe

[wxmann_91]

It is possible that this could do a Kate.

[gatorcane]

Let's get some historical meteorological data to discuss this depression's future track. Somebody said that no CV storm this late in the season has made the trip all the way across the Atlantic.

Does anybody have tracks of storms in this area this time of year and where they went?

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Big blow up of convection. Pretty sure now that it is close to a tropical storm. Stan will be the second named S storm in history. 1995 had the last one...

[fasterdisaster]

Is there any possibility of one of these two scenarios happening, looking at the farthest out models go?

1) Future Stan turns east, then the ridge acts again, and Stan does a loop, turning west, and THEN causing destruction.

or

2) Stan goes east, and slams into Africa, or Southern Europe

[fasterdisaster]

I kind of want it to be Stan at 11:00 just so that we can say there 6 named storms this September, and that it beats the October 1 record in 1933.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

I kind of want it to be Stan at 11:00 just so that we can say there 6 named storms this September, and that it beats the October 1 record in 1933.

I agree. The convection over that LLC is minus 80c. This sure beats Lee,Gert,Bret at this time.

[WeatherEmperor]

yeah its looking very very impressive right now.

<RICKY>

[Brent]

Is there any possibility of one of these two scenarios happening, looking at the farthest out models go?

1) Future Stan turns east, then the ridge acts again, and Stan does a loop, turning west, and THEN causing destruction.

or

2) Stan goes east, and slams into Africa, or Southern Europe

#2 would not "slam" into them... a rainy day at worst.

[Brent]

yeah its looking very very impressive right now.

<RICKY>

Yes it does.

GO TD 19... IT'S YOUR BIRTHDAY.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

This is the kind of storm that can become a cat5...WAHOO!!!