Hurricane Stan Recon Reports

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vaffie
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#181 Postby vaffie » Sat Oct 01, 2005 12:25 pm

At this rate, they'll be at the center at 1:40-45 EDT / 12:40-45 CDT or in less than 20 minutes.
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#182 Postby mtm4319 » Sat Oct 01, 2005 12:26 pm

Image

http://membermaps.e-techcorp.net/td20recon.jpg

Reposted for page 10.
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#183 Postby x-y-no » Sat Oct 01, 2005 12:29 pm

That color scheme gets to me ... looks like they're flying into an inferno.

EDIT: Thanks ... much better now. :-)
Last edited by x-y-no on Sat Oct 01, 2005 12:46 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#184 Postby Terry » Sat Oct 01, 2005 12:31 pm

What's worse, it looks like they are flying backwards.
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#185 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 01, 2005 12:31 pm

SXXX50 KNHC 011731
AF309 02HHA INVEST HDOB 21 KNHC
1719. 2041N 08535W 07294 0430 094 009 151 165 010 07743 0000000000
1720 2039N 08534W 07223 0428 097 008 149 159 008 07668 0000000000
1720. 2037N 08533W 07143 0421 088 006 143 147 007 07581 0000000000
1721 2034N 08532W 07066 0420 078 005 139 143 006 07503 0000000000
1721. 2032N 08531W 06888 0416 061 007 129 135 009 07321 0000000000
1722 2029N 08530W 06608 0402 078 011 109 115 011 07026 0000000000
1722. 2027N 08529W 06333 0387 096 009 093 099 010 06729 0000000000
1723 2025N 08527W 06096 0369 134 010 077 081 011 06469 0000000000
1723. 2022N 08526W 05908 0349 094 012 065 069 014 06328 0000000000
1724 2020N 08525W 05649 0323 077 018 051 055 019 06051 0000000000
1724. 2018N 08524W 05316 0297 076 015 033 035 017 05690 0000000000
1725 2016N 08523W 04994 0273 094 014 017 017 015 05342 0000000000
1725. 2014N 08522W 04678 0250 090 017 005 005 018 05003 0000000000
1726 2012N 08521W 04342 0222 103 014 004 004 015 04636 0000000000
1726. 2010N 08522W 04015 0221 090 023 024 024 026 04276 0000000000
1727 2008N 08524W 03690 0195 092 029 042 036 031 03924 0000000000
1727. 2007N 08525W 03287 0168 093 027 062 052 028 03493 0000000000
1728 2005N 08527W 02930 0142 087 021 092 074 024 03108 0000000000
1728. 2003N 08529W 02578 0114 068 017 112 094 018 02728 0000000000
1729 2001N 08530W 02228 0095 081 017 142 104 018 02353 0000000000

Plane decends to operational altitud.
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#186 Postby vaffie » Sat Oct 01, 2005 12:37 pm

They will momentarily cross over the buoy. Their windspeed and direction are consistent with what the buoy has been reporting--which is about 50 knots away from the center--steady 25 knot winds with 31 knot 1 minute windspeed at 80-100 degrees. The plane three minutes ago experienced a 29 knot wind.
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#187 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 01, 2005 12:43 pm

SXXX50 KNHC 011741
AF309 02HHA INVEST HDOB 22 KNHC
1729. 1959N 08532W 01884 0078 092 023 158 130 025 01984 0000000000
1730 1957N 08533W 01537 0056 095 022 176 154 023 01615 0000000000
1730. 1956N 08535W 01292 0040 102 026 184 172 028 01353 0000000000
1731 1958N 08537W 00989 0024 110 030 190 190 032 01025 0000000100
1731. 2000N 08537W 00733 0002 120 032 204 204 033 00745 0000000100
1732 2001N 08536W 00556 5015 118 034 210 210 036 00551 0000000100
1732. 2002N 08534W 00357 5029 111 032 222 222 033 00337 0000000100
1733 2003N 08533W 00291 5034 112 032 226 226 034 00266 0000000100
1733. 2002N 08533W 00243 5037 103 030 234 234 032 00214 0000000100
1734 2000N 08533W 00235 5039 102 031 236 236 032 00204 0000000100
1734. 1959N 08534W 00228 5039 101 029 234 234 031 00197 0000000100
1735 1957N 08534W 00213 5041 104 030 238 238 031 00181 0000000100
1735. 1956N 08535W 00224 5041 104 029 236 236 030 00192 0000000100
1736 1955N 08536W 00213 5041 105 028 238 238 028 00180 0000000000
1736. 1954N 08538W 00218 5042 103 027 236 236 028 00184 0000000000
1737 1952N 08539W 00214 5042 102 027 236 236 027 00181 0000000000
1737. 1951N 08540W 00193 5044 100 027 240 238 027 00158 0000000000
1738 1950N 08541W 00185 5044 099 027 240 236 028 00148 0000000000
1738. 1949N 08542W 00188 5045 097 026 240 238 027 00152 0000000000
1739 1947N 08544W 00189 5045 096 025 242 238 025 00153 0000000000

36 kts.
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#188 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 01, 2005 12:47 pm

560
URNT11 KNHC 011741
97779 17344 70200 85600 02400 10030 24248 /0008
41030
RMK AF309 02HHA INVEST OB 06


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#189 Postby vaffie » Sat Oct 01, 2005 12:52 pm

Cycloneye, how do you work out what the pressure is?
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#190 Postby Nimbus » Sat Oct 01, 2005 12:53 pm

41.44 MPH is that flight level winds?
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#191 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 01, 2005 12:55 pm

They did not reached it before the advisorie.
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#192 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 01, 2005 12:55 pm

SXXX50 KNHC 011751
AF309 02HHA INVEST HDOB 23 KNHC
1739. 1946N 08545W 00187 5045 095 025 240 238 026 00150 0000000000
1740 1945N 08546W 00187 5046 093 025 240 236 025 00149 0000000000
1740. 1944N 08547W 00188 5046 091 024 242 236 024 00150 0000000000
1741 1942N 08548W 00188 5046 093 024 240 238 025 00150 0000000000
1741. 1941N 08549W 00186 5046 090 023 240 236 024 00148 0000000000
1742 1940N 08551W 00188 5046 090 023 242 234 024 00151 0000000000
1742. 1939N 08552W 00186 5046 088 024 242 236 024 00148 0000000000
1743 1937N 08553W 00188 5046 087 023 244 238 024 00151 0000000000
1743. 1936N 08554W 00187 5046 087 023 244 238 023 00149 0000000000
1744 1935N 08555W 00188 5046 087 024 244 238 024 00150 0000000000
1744. 1934N 08557W 00187 5046 090 023 244 238 024 00149 0000000000
1745 1932N 08558W 00188 5046 091 023 244 238 023 00150 0000000000
1745. 1931N 08559W 00191 5046 087 021 246 240 021 00153 0000000000
1746 1930N 08600W 00190 5046 089 019 246 238 019 00152 0000000000
1746. 1929N 08601W 00191 5047 086 019 246 238 019 00152 0000000000
1747 1928N 08603W 00191 5047 091 018 246 238 018 00152 0000000000
1747. 1926N 08604W 00191 5047 090 018 246 236 019 00152 0000000000
1748 1925N 08605W 00190 5047 089 018 246 234 018 00152 0000000000
1748. 1924N 08606W 00191 5047 087 018 246 238 019 00152 0000000000
1749 1923N 08608W 00190 5046 087 017 246 240 017 00152 0000000000

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#193 Postby mtm4319 » Sat Oct 01, 2005 12:57 pm

cycloneye wrote:They did not reached it before the advisorie.


It seems like they could plan these things out better.
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#194 Postby Thunder44 » Sat Oct 01, 2005 12:58 pm

cycloneye wrote:They did not reached it before the advisorie.


That's because they really start writing the advisory like around 1:30pm.
Last edited by Thunder44 on Sat Oct 01, 2005 1:04 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#195 Postby x-y-no » Sat Oct 01, 2005 1:03 pm

vaffie wrote:Cycloneye, how do you work out what the pressure is?


The minobs don't include pressure data, although one could try to extrapolate it from the D-value, I guess ...

The RECCO message has estimated surface pressure in the group that starts with "/" (8th group) - in this case 1008mb.
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#196 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 01, 2005 1:05 pm

SXXX50 KNHC 011801
AF309 02HHA INVEST HDOB 24 KNHC
1749. 1922N 08609W 00191 5046 091 017 246 234 018 00153 0000000000
1750 1920N 08610W 00191 5046 092 017 246 234 018 00153 0000000000
1750. 1919N 08611W 00190 5046 094 017 246 236 018 00153 0000000000
1751 1918N 08612W 00191 5046 092 017 246 240 017 00152 0000000000
1751. 1917N 08614W 00190 5047 094 017 248 240 017 00152 0000000000
1752 1916N 08615W 00192 5047 096 017 250 242 018 00153 0000000000
1752. 1915N 08616W 00191 5047 097 016 250 242 017 00152 0000000000
1753 1913N 08617W 00190 5048 101 017 250 238 017 00150 0000000000
1753. 1912N 08619W 00190 5048 105 018 246 244 019 00150 0000000000
1754 1911N 08620W 00192 5049 102 019 246 240 019 00151 0000000000
1754. 1910N 08621W 00190 5049 105 018 250 238 018 00150 0000000000
1755 1909N 08622W 00191 5049 102 018 246 240 019 00150 0000000000
1755. 1908N 08623W 00191 5049 103 018 246 234 019 00150 0000000000
1756 1907N 08625W 00190 5049 103 017 246 234 017 00149 0000000000
1756. 1905N 08626W 00191 5049 100 017 246 240 017 00150 0000000000
1757 1904N 08627W 00190 5050 101 017 246 242 017 00149 0000000000
1757. 1903N 08628W 00191 5050 101 017 246 240 017 00148 0000000000
1758 1902N 08629W 00190 5051 099 016 246 240 017 00147 0000000000
1758. 1901N 08631W 00191 5051 099 016 246 238 016 00148 0000000000
1759 1900N 08632W 00195 5051 097 015 242 240 016 00151 0000000000

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#197 Postby vaffie » Sat Oct 01, 2005 1:06 pm

x-y-no wrote:
vaffie wrote:Cycloneye, how do you work out what the pressure is?


The minobs don't include pressure data, although one could try to extrapolate it from the D-value, I guess ...

The RECCO message has estimated surface pressure in the group that starts with "/" (8th group) - in this case 1008mb.


Thanks! That's all I wanted to know!
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#198 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 01, 2005 1:09 pm

450
URNT11 KNHC 011804
97779 18004 70189 86600 02000 09016 24249 /0006
41020
RMK AF309 02HHA INVEST OB 08

1006 mbs.
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superfly

#199 Postby superfly » Sat Oct 01, 2005 1:09 pm

The NHC center is too far north. Either that or this is an open wave.
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Anonymous

#200 Postby Anonymous » Sat Oct 01, 2005 1:09 pm

The tension's so thick you can choke on it LOL
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