Hurricane Stan Recon Reports

x-y-no · #201 Postby **x-y-no** » Sat Oct 01, 2005 1:12 pm

cycloneye wrote:SXXX50 KNHC 011801
AF309 02HHA INVEST HDOB 24 KNHC
1749. 1922N 08609W 00191 5046 091 017 246 234 018 00153 0000000000
1750 1920N 08610W 00191 5046 092 017 246 234 018 00153 0000000000
1750. 1919N 08611W 00190 5046 094 017 246 236 018 00153 0000000000
1751 1918N 08612W 00191 5046 092 017 246 240 017 00152 0000000000
1751. 1917N 08614W 00190 5047 094 017 248 240 017 00152 0000000000
1752 1916N 08615W 00192 5047 096 017 250 242 018 00153 0000000000
1752. 1915N 08616W 00191 5047 097 016 250 242 017 00152 0000000000
1753 1913N 08617W 00190 5048 101 017 250 238 017 00150 0000000000
1753. 1912N 08619W 00190 5048 105 018 246 244 019 00150 0000000000
1754 1911N 08620W 00192 5049 102 019 246 240 019 00151 0000000000
1754. 1910N 08621W 00190 5049 105 018 250 238 018 00150 0000000000
1755 1909N 08622W 00191 5049 102 018 246 240 019 00150 0000000000
1755. 1908N 08623W 00191 5049 103 018 246 234 019 00150 0000000000
1756 1907N 08625W 00190 5049 103 017 246 234 017 00149 0000000000
1756. 1905N 08626W 00191 5049 100 017 246 240 017 00150 0000000000
1757 1904N 08627W 00190 5050 101 017 246 242 017 00149 0000000000
1757. 1903N 08628W 00191 5050 101 017 246 240 017 00148 0000000000
1758 1902N 08629W 00190 5051 099 016 246 240 017 00147 0000000000
1758. 1901N 08631W 00191 5051 099 016 246 238 016 00148 0000000000
1759 1900N 08632W 00195 5051 097 015 242 240 016 00151 0000000000

Well, something's wrong, because this is west of where the 2pm advisory put the center, but we've still seen nothing but easterly winds.

mtm4319 · #202 Postby **mtm4319** » Sat Oct 01, 2005 1:13 pm

http://membermaps.e-techcorp.net/td20recon.jpg

Reposted for page 11.

#203 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Oct 01, 2005 1:16 pm

URNT11 KNHC 011813
97779 18054 70187 86800 02000 28010 25258 /0006
42320
RMK AF309 02HHA INVEST OB 09

Still 1006 mbs

Anonymous · #204 Postby **Anonymous** » Sat Oct 01, 2005 1:34 pm

Where is this vortex...if there is no vortex...I believe this is not a TD

vaffie · #205 Postby **vaffie** » Sat Oct 01, 2005 1:40 pm

Judging by visible satellite loops, I think the actual center is south of their present estimate--perhaps 86.5W, 18.6N. That would make it about 60 miles 210 degrees (southwest) of their estimate. That would also fit with the recon data. There may be two circulations--the low-level one further south and the mid-level one sixty miles to the north. This might be why it is relatively stationary as the two circulations continue to consolidate over each other.

#206 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Oct 01, 2005 1:45 pm

I want to think that the crew is taking a little break and went to an airport in Yucatan but for over 30 minutes no obs haved been seen.I dont want to think for a second that they are having other problems.

#207 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Oct 01, 2005 1:46 pm

SXXX50 KNHC 011846
AF309 02HHA INVEST HDOB 26 KNHC
1810. 1835N 08653W 00193 5053 252 024 250 244 024 00147 0000000000
1811 1835N 08651W 00199 5053 254 023 250 242 023 00154 0000000000
1811. 1836N 08650W 00197 5053 251 022 250 240 022 00152 0000000000
1812 1837N 08649W 00202 5053 250 020 250 244 020 00157 0000000000
1812. 1839N 08648W 00196 5054 248 019 250 244 020 00150 0000000000
1813 1840N 08648W 00200 5055 248 021 248 244 022 00152 0000000000
1813. 1842N 08648W 00198 5056 248 020 246 246 021 00151 0000000000
1814 1843N 08648W 00198 5056 256 014 250 250 016 00150 0000000000
1814. 1845N 08648W 00199 5057 247 006 254 250 008 00150 0000000000
1815 1846N 08649W 00198 5057 036 002 256 248 005 00149 0000000000
1815. 1848N 08650W 00198 5057 061 008 254 250 009 00149 0000000000
1816 1849N 08650W 00200 5057 074 012 254 246 013 00151 0000000000
1816. 1851N 08651W 00197 5056 075 015 250 250 017 00150 0000000000
1817 1852N 08651W 00199 5055 078 018 246 246 019 00152 0000000000
1817. 1854N 08652W 00199 5055 078 019 246 246 020 00152 0000000000
1818 1855N 08653W 00196 5055 079 019 244 244 020 00150 0000000000
1818. 1856N 08653W 00203 5054 080 019 244 240 020 00158 0000000000
1819 1857N 08655W 00203 5054 076 020 246 238 021 00158 0000000000
1819. 1857N 08656W 00200 5054 070 019 246 240 019 00155 0000000000
1820 1856N 08658W 00203 5053 069 018 246 240 018 00158 0000000000

Ok here they are again.

#208 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Oct 01, 2005 1:48 pm

005
URNT11 KNHC 011848
97779 18154 70188 86800 02000 99005 25258 /0006
40515
RMK AF309 02HHA INVEST OB 10

x-y-no · #209 Postby **x-y-no** » Sat Oct 01, 2005 1:50 pm

1814. 1845N 08648W 00199 5057 247 006 254 250 008 00150 0000000000
1815 1846N 08649W 00198 5057 036 002 256 248 005 00149 0000000000

OK ... looks like we do have a closed circulation.

#210 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Oct 01, 2005 1:53 pm

400
URNT11 KNHC 011850
97779 18244 70187 87000 02000 99005 25248 /0006
42910
RMK AF309 02HHA INVEST OB 11

#211 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Oct 01, 2005 1:55 pm

SXXX50 KNHC 011852
AF309 02HHA INVEST HDOB 29 KNHC
1840. 1850N 08632W 00211 5059 168 008 236 236 010 00160 0000000000
1841 1851N 08630W 00208 5059 171 008 248 236 010 00157 0000000000
1841. 1852N 08630W 00208 5060 128 009 248 236 011 00156 0000000000
1842 1853N 08632W 00207 5060 108 010 250 228 010 00155 0000000000
1842. 1853N 08634W 00206 5060 101 011 254 226 011 00155 0000000000
1843 1853N 08635W 00207 5060 100 013 248 234 015 00155 0000000000
1843. 1853N 08637W 00204 5060 098 015 246 240 015 00152 0000000000
1844 1853N 08639W 00205 5060 090 015 246 246 015 00153 0000000000
1844. 1853N 08641W 00205 5060 087 017 244 244 017 00153 0000000000
1845 1853N 08642W 00204 5060 079 017 244 244 017 00153 0000000000
1845. 1853N 08644W 00205 5060 078 017 246 246 018 00154 0000000000
1846 1853N 08646W 00205 5059 076 017 246 246 017 00153 0000000000
1846. 1853N 08648W 00205 5059 073 018 246 246 018 00154 0000000000
1847 1853N 08649W 00206 5059 072 018 246 246 019 00155 0000000000
1847. 1853N 08651W 00204 5058 069 018 246 246 018 00154 0000000000
1848 1853N 08653W 00207 5058 064 017 242 242 018 00158 0000000000
1848. 1851N 08653W 00205 5058 054 014 246 246 016 00155 0000000000
1849 1851N 08652W 00202 5059 057 011 250 250 012 00151 0000000000
1849. 1850N 08651W 00206 5059 055 009 250 250 010 00155 0000000000
1850 1849N 08649W 00205 5060 039 006 250 250 007 00153 0000000000

A Vortex Message very soon.

#212 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Oct 01, 2005 2:05 pm

AF309 02HHA INVEST HDOB 30 KNHC
1850. 1848N 08648W 00205 5061 005 003 250 250 004 00153 0000000000
1851 1847N 08647W 00205 5061 294 002 250 250 003 00152 0000000000
1851. 1846N 08645W 00205 5061 249 010 254 254 016 00152 0000000000
1852 1846N 08644W 00204 5061 244 020 250 250 022 00151 0000000000
1852. 1845N 08642W 00205 5060 242 023 246 246 024 00152 0000000000
1853 1844N 08641W 00205 5060 241 024 250 244 025 00154 0000000000
1853. 1843N 08639W 00204 5059 239 025 250 242 025 00153 0000000000
1854 1843N 08638W 00204 5059 240 025 250 244 025 00154 0000000000
1854. 1842N 08636W 00206 5058 239 024 246 244 025 00156 0000000000
1855 1841N 08634W 00204 5058 244 024 250 244 025 00154 0000000000
1855. 1841N 08633W 00206 5058 243 024 250 244 024 00156 0000000000
1856 1840N 08631W 00204 5058 242 023 250 246 024 00154 0000000000
1856. 1839N 08630W 00205 5057 242 023 250 244 023 00157 0000000000
1857 1838N 08628W 00200 5056 241 021 250 248 022 00152 0000000000
1857. 1838N 08627W 00202 5055 240 020 250 248 020 00156 0000000000
1858 1837N 08625W 00201 5054 244 018 244 244 018 00155 0000000000
1858. 1836N 08624W 00202 5054 243 020 248 246 020 00156 0000000000
1859 1836N 08622W 00202 5054 243 021 242 242 021 00156 0000000000
1859. 1835N 08620W 00201 5054 236 020 246 246 020 00155 0000000000
1900 1834N 08619W 00202 5053 231 018 244 244 019 00157 0000000000

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #213 Postby **senorpepr** » Sat Oct 01, 2005 2:06 pm

VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
Storm Name: INVEST (HHL)
Mission Number: 02
Flight ID: AF309
Observation Number: 12
Time: 18:50:30Z
Latitude: 18.8°N
Longitude: 86.8°W
Location: 132 mi NE of Belize City, Belize
Minimum height at NA mb NA m
Est. Surface Winds Observed: 29 mph
Distance and bearing from center to max surface wind: 28 mi SSW (207°)
Maximum flight level wind: WSW (247°) @ 29 mph
Distance and bearing from center to max flight level wind: 18 mi SSW (195°)
Sea level pressure: EXTRAP 1005 mb
Max flight level temperature outside the eye: 77°F at 650 feet
Max flight level temperature inside the eye: 77°F at 673 feet
Dewpoint temperature inside the eye: 77°F
Eye character: NA
Eye shape: NA
Eye diameter: NA
Fix determined by: Penetration Wind Pressure at 1,500 ft
Navigation / Met Accuracy: 0.02 / 7 nm
MAX FL WIND 25 KT SE QUAD 18:32:30 Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM 1500 FT.

superfly · #214 Postby **superfly** » Sat Oct 01, 2005 2:07 pm

cycloneye wrote:AF309 02HHA INVEST HDOB 30 KNHC
1850. 1848N 08648W 00205 5061 005 003 250 250 004 00153 0000000000
1851 1847N 08647W 00205 5061 294 002 250 250 003 00152 0000000000
1851. 1846N 08645W 00205 5061 249 010 254 254 016 00152 0000000000
1852 1846N 08644W 00204 5061 244 020 250 250 022 00151 0000000000
1852. 1845N 08642W 00205 5060 242 023 246 246 024 00152 0000000000
1853 1844N 08641W 00205 5060 241 024 250 244 025 00154 0000000000
1853. 1843N 08639W 00204 5059 239 025 250 242 025 00153 0000000000
1854 1843N 08638W 00204 5059 240 025 250 244 025 00154 0000000000
1854. 1842N 08636W 00206 5058 239 024 246 244 025 00156 0000000000
1855 1841N 08634W 00204 5058 244 024 250 244 025 00154 0000000000
1855. 1841N 08633W 00206 5058 243 024 250 244 024 00156 0000000000
1856 1840N 08631W 00204 5058 242 023 250 246 024 00154 0000000000
1856. 1839N 08630W 00205 5057 242 023 250 244 023 00157 0000000000
1857 1838N 08628W 00200 5056 241 021 250 248 022 00152 0000000000
1857. 1838N 08627W 00202 5055 240 020 250 248 020 00156 0000000000
1858 1837N 08625W 00201 5054 244 018 244 244 018 00155 0000000000
1858. 1836N 08624W 00202 5054 243 020 248 246 020 00156 0000000000
1859 1836N 08622W 00202 5054 243 021 242 242 021 00156 0000000000
1859. 1835N 08620W 00201 5054 236 020 246 246 020 00155 0000000000
1900 1834N 08619W 00202 5053 231 018 244 244 019 00157 0000000000

Finally some west winds!

Stratosphere747 · #215 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Sat Oct 01, 2005 2:09 pm

Very close to the coast already.

#216 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Oct 01, 2005 2:15 pm

SXXX50 KNHC 011912
AF309 02HHA INVEST HDOB 31 KNHC
1900. 1833N 08617W 00199 5052 208 014 236 236 015 00155 0000000000
1901 1833N 08616W 00205 5052 193 012 226 226 013 00161 0000000000
1901. 1832N 08615W 00201 5051 189 011 224 224 012 00158 0000000000
1902 1831N 08613W 00202 5052 203 011 232 232 012 00159 0000000000
1902. 1830N 08612W 00201 5051 213 012 238 238 012 00158 0000000000
1903 1830N 08610W 00202 5051 216 015 236 236 017 00159 0000000000
1903. 1829N 08609W 00200 5051 211 019 226 226 021 00157 0000000000
1904 1828N 08607W 00203 5051 219 023 228 228 025 00160 0000000000
1904. 1828N 08606W 00201 5051 231 024 224 224 025 00159 0000000000
1905 1827N 08604W 00203 5050 246 022 218 218 023 00161 0000000000
1905. 1826N 08603W 00202 5050 243 019 228 228 019 00160 0000000000
1906 1826N 08601W 00195 5050 237 018 234 234 018 00154 0000000000
1906. 1825N 08600W 00229 5047 230 017 240 238 018 00190 0000000000
1907 1824N 08558W 00309 5042 229 019 238 232 019 00276 0000000000
1907. 1823N 08557W 00366 5038 229 018 230 230 019 00337 0000000000
1908 1823N 08555W 00365 5037 231 017 232 224 018 00336 0000000000
1908. 1822N 08554W 00377 5037 231 018 234 222 018 00349 0000000000
1909 1821N 08554W 00582 5024 241 018 222 222 018 00568 0000000000
1909. 1820N 08555W 00869 5001 239 018 206 206 018 00879 0000000000
1910 1820N 08557W 01154 0018 236 018 192 192 019 01190 0000000000

vaffie · #217 Postby **vaffie** » Sat Oct 01, 2005 2:19 pm

cycloneye wrote:
1904. 1828N 08606W 00201 5051 231 024 224 224 025 00159 0000000000

It must be fairly healthy at this early stage to have 25 knot flight level westerly gusts.

#218 Postby **cycloneye** » Sat Oct 01, 2005 2:22 pm

SXXX50 KNHC 011922
AF309 02HHA INVEST HDOB 32 KNHC
1910. 1820N 08558W 01423 0034 232 017 176 172 017 01479 0000000000
1911 1821N 08600W 01529 0042 233 015 174 144 016 01592 0000000000
1911. 1821N 08601W 01520 0042 226 016 180 128 016 01584 0000000000
1912 1821N 08603W 01523 0042 230 016 176 156 016 01587 0000000000
1912. 1821N 08605W 01524 0041 228 016 178 146 016 01586 0000000000
1913 1821N 08606W 01524 0040 221 016 174 144 017 01586 0000000000
1913. 1821N 08608W 01524 0039 220 016 166 156 016 01585 0000000000
1914 1821N 08610W 01525 0036 223 016 164 162 016 01583 0000000000
1914. 1821N 08611W 01524 0035 229 016 158 158 017 01581 0000000000
1915 1822N 08613W 01522 0036 231 015 162 162 015 01579 0000000000
1915. 1822N 08615W 01525 0038 233 015 164 164 015 01585 0000000000
1916 1822N 08616W 01525 0039 233 015 170 164 015 01586 0000000000
1916. 1822N 08618W 01523 0040 238 014 172 166 014 01585 0000000000
1917 1822N 08619W 01524 0040 237 015 166 166 015 01586 0000000000
1917. 1822N 08621W 01524 0040 235 015 172 162 015 01585 0000000000
1918 1822N 08623W 01525 0040 236 016 166 166 016 01586 0000000000
1918. 1822N 08624W 01524 0040 237 015 168 164 015 01585 0000000000
1919 1822N 08626W 01531 0040 240 015 168 160 015 01592 0000000000
1919. 1823N 08628W 01526 0040 245 014 168 166 014 01588 0000000000
1920 1823N 08629W 01524 0041 252 014 172 160 015 01587 0000000000

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #219 Postby **senorpepr** » Sat Oct 01, 2005 2:23 pm

RECCO Observation
Storm Name: INVEST (HHL)
Mission Number: 02
Flight ID: AF309
Observation Number: 13
Time: 1908Z
Latitude: 18.4°N
Longitude: 85.9°W
Location: 169 mi ENE of Belize City, Belize
Turbulence: None
Flight condition: Clear
Pressure Altitude: 1200 feet
Flight level wind: SW (230°) @ 21 mph
Temperature: 73°F
Dewpoint: 72°F
Weather: Overcast Skies
Sea level pressure: 1007 mb
Surface Wind: SW (240°) @ 17 mph
Remarks: None

https://www.youtube.com/user/senorpepr · #220 Postby **senorpepr** » Sat Oct 01, 2005 2:25 pm

RECCO Observation
Storm Name: INVEST (HHL)
Mission Number: 02
Flight ID: AF309
Observation Number: 14
Time: 1917Z
Latitude: 18.4°N
Longitude: 86.4°W
Location: 139 mi ENE of Belize City, Belize
Turbulence: None
Flight condition: Clear
Pressure Altitude: 5000 feet
Flight level wind: WSW (240°) @ 16 mph
Temperature: 63°F
Dewpoint: 61°F
Weather: Rainshowers
850mb height: 4900 feet
Surface Wind: SW (240°) @ 23 mph
Remarks: None

Hurricane Stan Recon Reports

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