Though this isn't really a forecast per se, simply commenting on some similarities in the 00z runs of the CMC and UKMET models. Still, the above is true, and no one should base any decisions of importance on anything written below.
-------------------------------------
In my time as an amateur meteorologist, I have never seen anything quite like this.
The CMC, GFS and the UKMET are out for the 03/0000z run, and I am noticing some INSANE similarities between them. They are all developing an intense area of low pressure (most likely a tropical cyclone) that moves in a large cyclonic loop over the basically the entire periphery of the Gulf coast!! They all have the same exact scenario -- and a rather complex one at that -- beginning at around 42hrs. If this pans out...'Tammy' is going to be one MAJOR headache quite a few people. Anyone else notice this crazy scenario? and that THREE generally reliable models are agreeing on it >48hr out?
EDIT: The 00z GFS is on board too --- this really is quite remarkable.
03/0000z Runs:
CMC 48Hr---------------UKMET 48Hr--------GFS 48Hr--------
CMC 60Hr---------------UKMET 60Hr--------GFS 60Hr--------
CMC 72Hr---------------UKMET 72Hr--------GFS 72Hr--------
CMC 96Hr ---------------UKMET 96Hr--------GFS 96Hr--------
CMC 120Hr --------------UKMET 120Hr--------GFS 120Hr--------
Like I said above...this isn't a forecast, just noting similarities in three model's interpretations of what will happen in the next couple days. So, please no panicking or anything if you can, and try to keep the
's to a minimum if possible. 
