Hurricane Stan Recon Reports

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#461 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Mon Oct 03, 2005 11:53 pm

000
URNT12 KNHC 040449
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 04/04:27:10Z
B. 19 deg 28 min N
093 deg 49 min W
C. 700 mb 3005 m
D. NA kt
E. NA deg nm
F. 148 deg 047 kt
G. 061 deg 013 nm
H. 989 mb
I. 9 C/ 3051 m
J. 16 C/ 3066 m
K. 7 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1 345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF304 0620A STAN OB 05
MAX FL WIND 47 KT NE QUAD 04:23:00 Z
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#462 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Mon Oct 03, 2005 11:55 pm

47 knots flight level=48.6 mph surface. This thing is weaker then thought.
0 likes   

superfly

#463 Postby superfly » Mon Oct 03, 2005 11:55 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:I. 9 C/ 3051 m
J. 16 C/ 3066 m
K. 7 C/ NA
MAX FL WIND 47 KT NE QUAD 04:23:00 Z


Wow this is a healthy system with those temperature differences, surprised the winds are so low.
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#464 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Oct 04, 2005 12:03 am

000
URNT11 KNHC 040451
97779 04474 31186 94809 30500 33037 08088 /3095
RMK AF304 0620A STAN OB 07
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#465 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Oct 04, 2005 12:06 am

I will be back in 20 minutes.
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#466 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Oct 04, 2005 12:31 am

000
URNT11 KNHC 040503
97779 05004 31183 93919 30400 27029 10108 /3089
RMK AF304 0620A STAN OB 08
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#467 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Oct 04, 2005 12:37 am

000
URNT14 KNHC 040505
SUPPLEMENTARY VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
INBOUND
LAT LON jHHH TTDD ddfff
01215 10935 13143 11005 09036
02212 20935 23140 20907 09038
03209 30935 33136 30909 09034
04207 40935 43126 41010 10033
05204 50935 53120 51010 11036
06202 60935 63109 61010 11035
07199 70935 73093 70909 10040
08196 80936 83068 80909 13047
MF196 M0936 MF047
OBS 01 AT 03:50:10Z
OBS 08 AT 04:22:20Z
OBS 01 SFC WND /////
OUTBOUND
LAT LON jHHH TTDD ddfff
01193 10940 13061 11309 34031
02191 20942 23074 21111 35033
03190 30944 33085 31210 35040
04188 40946 43094 41110 35037
05186 50948 53093 50808 34037
MF195 M0939 MF046
OBS 01 AT 04:31:20Z
OBS 05 AT 04:46:50Z
OBS 05 SFC WND /////
AF304 0620A STAN OB 09
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#468 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Oct 04, 2005 12:52 am

000
URNT12 KNHC 040535
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 04/05:19:50Z
B. 19 deg 21 min N
094 deg 02 min W
C. 700 mb 2962 m
D. NA kt
E. NA deg nm
F. 280 deg 032 kt
G. 173 deg 002 nm
H. 984 mb
I. 8 C/ 3058 m
J. 17 C/ 3036 m
K. 13 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF304 0620A STAN OB 10
MAX FL WIND 47 KT NE QUAD 04:23:00 Z
GOOD SPIRAL BANDING



She is bombing with her pressure but winds are going now where!!!
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#469 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Oct 04, 2005 12:54 am

000
URNT14 KNHC 040547
SUPPLEMENTARY VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
INBOUND
LAT LON jHHH TTDD ddfff
01184 10938 13087 10808 26035
02186 20939 23076 20808 29019
03189 30939 33067 31110 30016
04191 40939 43055 41309 29016
MF184 M0938 MF039
OBS 01 AT 05:02:20Z
OBS 04 AT 05:15:20Z
OBS 01 SFC WND /////
OUTBOUND
LAT LON jHHH TTDD ddfff
01196 10941 13055 11010 09047
02198 20941 23079 21010 08052
03201 30940 33096 31109 08037
04204 40940 43108 41010 09045
05206 50940 53115 51009 10040
MF194 M0941 MF055
OBS 01 AT 05:24:20Z
OBS 05 AT 05:41:20Z
OBS 05 SFC WND /////
AF304 0620A STAN OB 14
0 likes   

Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38264
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:

#470 Postby Brent » Tue Oct 04, 2005 12:55 am

:eek:

Stan is a guy BTW. :wink:
0 likes   
#neversummer

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#471 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Oct 04, 2005 12:56 am

52 knots flight level=53.8 mph surface.
0 likes   

SamSagnella
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 630
Age: 39
Joined: Fri Aug 26, 2005 12:02 pm
Location: Westport, CT
Contact:

#472 Postby SamSagnella » Tue Oct 04, 2005 1:19 am

Wow...I must not be reading these last two vortex's (vorticies? :) )correctly. a 5mb drop in less than an hour? Oy.
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#473 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Oct 04, 2005 1:23 am

000

SXXX50 KNHC 040600
AF304 0620A STAN HDOB 32 KNHC
0550. 2038N 09439W 03049 0106 072 038 102 086 039 03203 0000000000
0551 2037N 09441W 03048 0107 070 038 098 094 038 03203 0000000000
0551. 2037N 09443W 03048 0107 071 038 096 094 038 03203 0000000000
0552 2037N 09445W 03048 0107 069 039 096 088 039 03204 0000000100
0552. 2037N 09448W 03047 0108 067 038 094 092 038 03202 0000000000
0553 2037N 09450W 03049 0107 069 038 094 088 039 03204 0000000000
0553. 2037N 09452W 03048 0107 070 038 096 096 039 03203 0000000000
0554 2036N 09454W 03049 0108 070 037 096 096 038 03204 0000000000
0554. 2036N 09456W 03046 0109 064 036 090 090 038 03203 0000000000
0555 2036N 09459W 03049 0108 067 036 070 070 038 03205 0000000100
0555. 2036N 09501W 03052 0109 059 035 074 074 037 03209 0000000100
0556 2036N 09503W 03043 0110 072 037 098 098 038 03200 0000000000
0556. 2036N 09505W 03050 0111 068 040 098 086 041 03209 0000000000
0557 2036N 09507W 03046 0111 067 039 100 084 040 03205 0000000000
0557. 2035N 09510W 03048 0111 067 039 100 086 039 03207 0000000000
0558 2035N 09512W 03049 0112 064 039 100 086 039 03208 0000000000
0558. 2035N 09514W 03049 0112 063 039 098 086 039 03209 0000000000
0559 2035N 09516W 03047 0112 062 040 096 084 040 03207 0000000000
0559. 2035N 09519W 03048 0113 064 040 098 072 040 03209 0000000000
0600 2035N 09521W 03047 0113 064 040 100 076 041 03208 0000000000





000

SXXX50 KNHC 040611
AF304 0620A STAN HDOB 33 KNHC
0600. 2034N 09523W 03049 0114 063 040 102 076 041 03210 0000000000
0601 2034N 09525W 03049 0115 063 039 106 076 040 03212 0000000000
0601. 2034N 09527W 03046 0115 061 037 104 072 038 03209 0000000000
0602 2034N 09530W 03049 0116 060 035 104 062 036 03213 0000000000
0602. 2034N 09532W 03047 0116 059 036 104 060 036 03211 0000000000
0603 2034N 09534W 03049 0117 057 035 102 060 036 03214 0000000100
0603. 2034N 09536W 03047 0117 057 035 100 062 035 03212 0000000000
0604 2033N 09538W 03048 0117 056 035 098 060 035 03214 0000000000
0604. 2033N 09540W 03051 0120 057 035 094 064 036 03219 0000000000
0605 2032N 09542W 03051 0122 050 032 088 074 033 03221 0000000000
0605. 2030N 09541W 03046 0118 050 030 098 066 031 03212 0000000000
0606 2029N 09540W 03048 0117 051 030 100 064 030 03212 0000000000
0606. 2028N 09539W 03049 0117 050 030 100 060 030 03213 0000000000
0607 2027N 09537W 03047 0115 051 032 100 064 032 03210 0000000000
0607. 2026N 09536W 03049 0114 049 031 094 072 031 03211 0000000000
0608 2024N 09535W 03046 0113 052 030 092 092 031 03207 0000000000
0608. 2023N 09533W 03051 0112 044 031 086 086 034 03211 0000000000
0609 2022N 09532W 03042 0111 051 032 080 080 034 03201 0000000100
0609. 2021N 09531W 03054 0113 042 034 084 084 036 03215 0000000100
0610 2019N 09529W 03046 0111 049 034 096 094 035 03205 0000000000





000

SXXX50 KNHC 040620
AF304 0620A STAN HDOB 34 KNHC
0610. 2018N 09528W 03048 0110 048 033 096 096 033 03206 0000000000
0611 2017N 09527W 03048 0110 050 033 092 092 034 03206 0000000000
0611. 2016N 09525W 03047 0109 049 032 096 096 033 03204 0000000000
0612 2014N 09524W 03048 0108 049 033 096 096 034 03205 0000000000
0612. 2013N 09523W 03047 0108 052 033 096 092 034 03203 0000000000
0613 2012N 09521W 03049 0106 051 033 098 088 033 03203 0000000000
0613. 2011N 09520W 03048 0105 051 033 098 092 033 03201 0000000000
0614 2010N 09519W 03048 0104 050 032 098 096 033 03201 0000000000
0614. 2008N 09517W 03048 0104 050 034 098 094 035 03199 0000000000
0615 2007N 09516W 03048 0103 047 034 096 092 035 03198 0000000100
0615. 2006N 09515W 03048 0102 054 035 098 098 036 03198 0000000000
0616 2005N 09514W 03048 0101 052 035 096 096 036 03197 0000000000
0616. 2003N 09512W 03049 0101 051 034 100 098 035 03197 0000000000
0617 2002N 09511W 03048 0100 048 035 098 098 035 03196 0000000000
0617. 2001N 09510W 03049 0100 045 037 100 100 038 03196 0000000000
0618 2000N 09508W 03048 0099 047 039 096 096 041 03194 0000000000
0618. 1959N 09507W 03048 0097 048 042 088 088 043 03192 0000000100
0619 1957N 09506W 03047 0095 048 040 090 090 041 03190 0000000000
0619. 1956N 09504W 03049 0095 045 040 098 098 040 03192 0000000000
0620 1955N 09503W 03047 0093 042 040 100 100 041 03188 0000000000
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#474 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Oct 04, 2005 2:04 am

SXXX50 KNHC 040630
AF304 0620A STAN HDOB 35 KNHC
0620. 1954N 09502W 03048 0091 040 042 100 100 043 03187 0000000000
0621 1952N 09500W 03048 0091 040 041 100 100 042 03187 0000000000
0621. 1951N 09459W 03049 0090 042 041 102 102 042 03187 0000000000
0622 1950N 09458W 03048 0088 046 040 106 096 042 03184 0000000000
0622. 1949N 09456W 03049 0087 045 039 102 102 040 03183 0000000000
0623 1947N 09455W 03047 0086 043 038 106 102 039 03181 0000000000
0623. 1946N 09454W 03049 0085 042 037 108 098 037 03182 0000000000
0624 1945N 09452W 03048 0084 044 037 106 100 037 03180 0000000000
0624. 1944N 09451W 03049 0082 044 037 106 094 038 03179 0000000000
0625 1942N 09450W 03048 0081 042 036 106 096 037 03177 0000000000
0625. 1941N 09448W 03048 0080 042 036 108 090 036 03176 0000000000
0626 1940N 09447W 03046 0079 046 038 102 092 039 03173 0000000000
0626. 1939N 09446W 03049 0078 048 038 098 098 039 03175 0000000100
0627 1937N 09444W 03049 0077 049 041 100 100 044 03174 0000000100
0627. 1936N 09443W 03047 0074 045 046 104 104 047 03170 0000000000
0628 1935N 09442W 03049 0072 042 046 110 104 046 03169 0000000000
0628. 1934N 09440W 03048 0070 041 043 110 100 043 03166 0000000000
0629 1932N 09439W 03048 0068 040 043 112 092 043 03165 0000000000
0629. 1931N 09438W 03048 0066 043 038 106 098 039 03162 0000000000
0630 1930N 09436W 03048 0064 037 035 108 100 035 03160 0000000000





000

SXXX50 KNHC 040640
AF304 0620A STAN HDOB 36 KNHC
0630. 1929N 09435W 03047 0062 035 039 108 108 040 03157 0000000000
0631 1927N 09434W 03048 0061 038 043 112 112 044 03157 0000000000
0631. 1926N 09432W 03049 0057 034 041 112 112 042 03154 0000000000
0632 1925N 09431W 03049 0055 033 044 114 112 044 03152 0000000000
0632. 1923N 09430W 03046 0052 035 041 124 100 041 03146 0000000000
0633 1922N 09428W 03051 0048 044 041 128 088 043 03148 0000000000
0633. 1921N 09427W 03042 0045 045 040 128 096 041 03135 0000000000
0634 1920N 09426W 03051 0042 047 038 122 098 040 03142 0000000000
0634. 1918N 09424W 03047 0038 050 036 120 102 036 03133 0000000000
0635 1917N 09423W 03051 0037 049 037 118 100 038 03136 0000000000
0635. 1916N 09422W 03045 0033 051 038 118 096 039 03125 0000000000
0636 1915N 09420W 03050 0029 047 038 124 092 038 03127 0000000000
0636. 1913N 09419W 03049 0025 052 040 132 088 043 03122 0000000000
0637 1912N 09418W 03045 0015 045 045 146 074 048 03108 0000000000
0637. 1911N 09417W 03049 0006 040 036 152 092 044 03103 0000000000
0638 1910N 09415W 03049 5004 034 029 158 116 035 03094 0000000000
0638. 1908N 09414W 03047 5010 044 019 174 102 023 03086 0000000100
0639 1908N 09412W 03045 5011 083 022 142 124 026 03082 0000000000
0639. 1906N 09411W 03054 5010 165 004 144 116 011 03091 0000000000
0640 1905N 09410W 03045 5005 232 017 136 122 019 03089 0000000000





000

SXXX50 KNHC 040650
AF304 0620A STAN HDOB 37 KNHC
0640. 1904N 09409W 03049 0003 233 022 122 110 026 03099 0000000000
0641 1902N 09407W 03045 0015 223 026 114 098 026 03108 0000000000
0641. 1901N 09407W 03053 0018 229 024 118 094 025 03118 0000000000
0642 1900N 09409W 03046 0015 241 025 120 092 025 03109 0000000000
0642. 1859N 09410W 03046 0015 254 025 118 092 026 03109 0000000000
0643 1858N 09411W 03048 0017 269 025 118 088 026 03114 0000000000
0643. 1857N 09413W 03049 0020 281 025 116 092 025 03117 0000000000
0644 1856N 09414W 03048 0024 288 027 116 094 027 03120 0000000000
0644. 1855N 09416W 03049 0027 296 026 114 096 027 03124 0000000000
0645 1854N 09417W 03048 0031 304 028 110 100 028 03126 0000000000
0645. 1853N 09418W 03048 0034 311 028 112 104 029 03130 0000000000
0646 1852N 09420W 03049 0037 318 029 112 104 029 03134 0000000000
0646. 1851N 09421W 03047 0039 315 032 114 114 033 03134 0000000000
0647 1850N 09423W 03048 0041 314 032 112 112 033 03137 0000000000
0647. 1849N 09424W 03047 0042 316 033 114 114 033 03137 0000000000
0648 1847N 09426W 03049 0046 319 033 110 110 034 03142 0000000000
0648. 1846N 09427W 03048 0046 321 034 104 104 034 03143 0000000000
0649 1845N 09429W 03047 0049 325 037 098 098 037 03144 0000000100
0649. 1844N 09430W 03052 0051 327 038 102 102 040 03151 0000000000
0650 1843N 09432W 03044 0053 330 038 102 102 040 03145 0000000100
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#475 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Oct 04, 2005 2:06 am

Looks like weaking to me.

000
URNT12 KNHC 040657
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 04/06:39:20Z
B. 19 deg 07 min N
094 deg 11 min W
C. 700 mb 2993 m
D. NA kt
E. NA deg nm
F. 042 deg 048 kt
G. 311 deg 008 nm
H. 987 mb
I. 13 C/ 3035 m
J. 18 C/ 3050 m
K. 10 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF304 0620A STAN OB 16
MAX FL WIND 48 KT NW QUAD 06:37:00 Z
GOOD SPIRAL BANDING
0 likes   

EyELeSs1
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 220
Joined: Sat May 03, 2003 11:09 pm
Location: Antigua, W.I

Weird

#476 Postby EyELeSs1 » Tue Oct 04, 2005 2:15 am

I wonder if the 1st pressure readings were even correct....i find it quite unusual to have a sub 987mb storm with such low winds
0 likes   

Derek Ortt

#477 Postby Derek Ortt » Tue Oct 04, 2005 2:20 am

the surface winds have been greater than the flight level winds for the storm for the last 12 hours or so

something is funny with the pressure readings
0 likes   

superfly

#478 Postby superfly » Tue Oct 04, 2005 2:21 am

The winds seem way low for the pressure and great satellite presentation.
0 likes   

Derek Ortt

#479 Postby Derek Ortt » Tue Oct 04, 2005 2:23 am

drop was not even close to the center. The so called center drop had a 33KT mean boundary layer wind
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#480 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Oct 04, 2005 3:04 am

000
URNT12 KNHC 040746
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 04/07:24:40Z
B. 19 deg 00 min N
094 deg 14 min W
C. 700 mb 2957 m
D. NA kt
E. NA deg 000 nm
F. 263 deg 035 kt
G. 160 deg 018 nm
H. 983 mb
I. 10 C/ 3055 m
J. 15 C/ 3056 m
K. 12 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF304 0620A STAN OB 21
MAX FL WIND 48 KT NW QUAD 06:37:00 Z
GOOD SPIRAL BANDING
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Team Ghost, Yellow Evan and 316 guests