Whats This??? Area in NW Caribbean near Yucatan

[skysummit]

I would guess based on the environmental setup that whatever this blob is, it's going to head NNE or NE, maybe slowly at first and then pick up speed as that big front comes down. I can't remember which model showed something like this (possibly more than one), but I do recall a "son of Stan" type low pressure area showing up in it. Could mean more nasty weather for FL even as Tammy pulls to the north.

The GFS showed it last night.

[no advance]

The tropics are HOT Luckily no hurricanes yet.

[CHRISTY]

nogaps model at 132 hr could this be vince!!

[mtm4319]

So if something formed from this, would it still be called Stan, or would they go to Vince?

My guess is Stan, using the Ivan precedent.

[mtm4319]

nogaps model at 132 hr could this be vince!!

I doubt this current blob will be anywhere near the same position in 5 1/2 days.

[cjrciadt]

So if something formed from this, would it still be called Stan, or would they go to Vince?

My guess is Stan, using the Ivan precedent.

I have no idea, the EPAC remnants will get a new name if it develops, so would the Atlantic as well???????

[bvigal]

... "son of Stan" ....

[cinlfla]

So if something formed from this, would it still be called Stan, or would they go to Vince?

My guess is Stan, using the Ivan precedent

My guess is it would be named Vince, its a separate entity from Stan.

[mtm4319]

So if something formed from this, would it still be called Stan, or would they go to Vince?

My guess is Stan, using the Ivan precedent

My guess is it would be named Vince, its a separate entity from Stan.

Well, that's the debate - whether this piece of energy is coming from Stan, or whether it's something else (what else could it be... 99E from the Pacific?).

[wxwonder12]

Would Tammy pull the "blob" by the Yucatan more to the N or would it continue to the NE? Is Tammy actually what is pulling it?

[oneness]

http://img210.imageshack.us/my.php?imag ... tm22um.jpg

[Air Force Met]

So if something formed from this, would it still be called Stan, or would they go to Vince?

My guess is Stan, using the Ivan precedent.

Nope...it would be Vince. They dissipated Stan. This is a piece of the energy...but you won't be able to trace the LLC to that blob...which is why they made Td 10 into Td 12. Same mid-level energy but not the same sfc entity.

[cinlfla]

Nope...it would be Vince. They dissipated Stan

This was my thinking as well...

[tracyswfla]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/GMEX/WV/20.jpg

That piece of energy, looks almost as good as Tammy. I don't have a Java enabled browser at work. Can anyone tell me the direction it is heading?

Thanks!

[skysummit]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/GMEX/WV/20.jpg

That piece of energy, looks almost as good as Tammy. I don't have a Java enabled browser at work. Can anyone tell me the direction it is heading?

Thanks!

Right now it looks to be heading Northeast toward southern Florida.

[cinlfla]

That piece of energy, looks almost as good as Tammy. I don't have a Java enabled browser at work. Can anyone tell me the direction it is heading?

Thanks!

It looks to be moving NE/ENE. Someone can chime in if I'm wrong :D

[tracyswfla]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/GMEX/WV/20.jpg

That piece of energy, looks almost as good as Tammy. I don't have a Java enabled browser at work. Can anyone tell me the direction it is heading?

Thanks!

uh, great! But thank you for the information!

Right now it looks to be heading Northeast toward southern Florida.

[CHRISTY]

so were is this blob headed?

[feederband]

Bad feeling about this...Can any Mets support my feelings?

[StormWarning1]

Thsi is the Mid level Center from Stan, the NHC mentioined this happening last week. The LLC of Stan is moving into the EPAC and the MLC is moving NNE over the Yucatan.
Looks like a lot of rain for Fla.