Graphic of three-pronged tropical attack for weekend

PhillyWX · #1 Postby **PhillyWX** » Wed Oct 05, 2005 1:23 pm

http://philadelphiaweather.blogspot.com/2005/10/triple-trouble.html

Click link for discussion

Disclaimer:

This post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

ishop · #2 Postby **ishop** » Wed Oct 05, 2005 1:31 pm

I like this graphic -easy for us lurkers to see and learn.

How good is this met at forcasting?

PhillyWX · #3 Postby **PhillyWX** » Wed Oct 05, 2005 1:33 pm

ishop wrote:I like this graphic -easy for us lurkers to see and learn.

How good is this met at forcasting?

Considering I'm the one who made the graphic and does the forecasting at that site I'm not going to judge my own forecasts. :wink:

Thanks for the kind words about the graphic, however!!!

ishop · #4 Postby **ishop** » Wed Oct 05, 2005 1:36 pm

oops --had no idea you were the brains behind it all. Thanks for sharing!

PhillyWX · #5 Postby **PhillyWX** » Wed Oct 05, 2005 1:39 pm

ishop wrote:oops --had no idea you were the brains behind it all. Thanks for sharing!

No problem...and no offense was taken at all by you asking.

FWIW, I did nail Rita as a Cat 3 landfall four days out. Unfortunately, I missed on location (thought it would go further down the TX coast than it did).

mtm4319 · #6 Postby **mtm4319** » Wed Oct 05, 2005 1:59 pm

I don't think Otis made its way into the Rockies/Upper Midwest.

From the NHC at 10am PDT this morning:

THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION OTIS WAS
GRADUALLY DISSIPATING ALONG THE EXTREME SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE
PACIFIC SIDE OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. REDEVELOPMENT INTO
A TROPICAL CYCLONE IS NOT EXPECTED.

PhillyWX · #7 Postby **PhillyWX** » Wed Oct 05, 2005 2:09 pm

mtm4319 wrote:I don't think Otis made its way into the Rockies/Upper Midwest.

From the NHC at 10am PDT this morning:

THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF FORMER TROPICAL DEPRESSION OTIS WAS
GRADUALLY DISSIPATING ALONG THE EXTREME SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE
PACIFIC SIDE OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA. REDEVELOPMENT INTO
A TROPICAL CYCLONE IS NOT EXPECTED.

The moisture and the mid and upper level circulation from Otis merged with the front though.

I don't have time to find a satellite loop to point it out but the LLC was decoupled from the rest of the system as it fell apart off the Baja.

AZRainman · #8 Postby **AZRainman** » Wed Oct 05, 2005 2:13 pm

PhillyWX · #9 Postby **PhillyWX** » Wed Oct 05, 2005 7:00 pm

Geesh, that's kicking out a ton of rain for the Delaware Valley!

#10 Postby **angelwing** » Wed Oct 05, 2005 7:33 pm

Woohoo!! That means we can't paint the apartment Friday like we planned :lol:

Tampa Bay Hurricane · #11 Postby **Tampa Bay Hurricane** » Wed Oct 05, 2005 7:54 pm

Looks like a wild ride for Philly :eek:

wxwatcher91 · #12 Postby **wxwatcher91** » Wed Oct 05, 2005 8:27 pm

yeah some of the models are showing a washout here in New England.

here's the full disco: http://www.crh.noaa.gov/data/BOX/AFDBOX

Code: Select all

THE GFS IS THE FASTEST AND THE FURTHER EAST WITH THE SYSTEM TRACKING 
THE LOW ACROSS MASSACHUSETTS VERY EARLY SATURDAY. THIS TRACK WOULD 
PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE REGION WITH THE MAIN ACTION 
EXITING THE COAST EARLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE GFS SHOWS QPF VALUES 
OF 2 TO 4.50 INCHES WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS IN THE WESTERN ZONES. 
MEANWHILE THE UKMET/CANADIAN ARE FURTHER WEST RESULTING IN A SLOWER 
PASSAGE OF THE FRONT SOMETIME SATURDAY AFTERNOON. WE WOULD STILL SEE 
DECENT RAIN WITH THESE SOLUTIONS...BUT CERTAINLY NOT THE AMOUNTS 
THAT THE LATEST GFS RUN SHOWS WITH THE SURFACE LOW PASSING FURTHER 
TO OUR WEST.

aerojad · #13 Postby **aerojad** » Wed Oct 05, 2005 9:13 pm

isawitonline wrote:

http://philadelphiaweather.blogspot.com/2005/10/triple-trouble.html

Click link for discussion

Disclaimer:

This post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Don't know if it's just me but as of 10:15p eastern your site isn't loading

#14 Postby **angelwing** » Wed Oct 05, 2005 9:29 pm

10:29Pm Eastern-loading now

PhillyWX · #15 Postby **PhillyWX** » Wed Oct 05, 2005 10:09 pm

Updated Info...

This post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

http://philadelphiaweather.blogspot.com/2005/10/heavy-rain-likely-into-saturday.html

aerojad · #16 Postby **aerojad** » Wed Oct 05, 2005 11:24 pm

angelwing wrote:10:29Pm Eastern-loading now

hurrah!

#17 Postby **myred** » Thu Oct 06, 2005 3:47 am

We need the rain up here, send it on up.

PhillyWX · #18 Postby **PhillyWX** » Thu Oct 06, 2005 6:29 am

myred wrote:We need the rain up here, send it on up.

I agree -- my lawn is dry as a bone.

Graphic of three-pronged tropical attack for weekend

Graphic of three-pronged tropical attack for weekend

Re: Graphic of three-pronged tropical attack for weekend

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