NOAA=Neutral ENSO Next 3-6 months

[cycloneye]

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... _advisory/

No el nino around for the next few months so let's see how the absence of el nino during the early part of 2006 will affect how the 2006 hurricane season will be in terms of being active or not.

[Anonymous]

I was speaking with Mike Adcock (SENOR PEPR) last night, and I told him that I still expect a late season major hurricane...probably in the Caribbean. He said he thought it was "a distinct possibility"

[cycloneye]

Yes Mike agree with senorpepr on that too.Last season by this time the season shut down because el nino formed and capped the atlantic but without that factor this year the 2005 season will have an extension of activity well into november and who knows if in december something pops up.

[dhweather]

Looking at the new Skeetobite map for 94L, if the system enters the
Carribean, there is more than adequate oceanic heat to support a
major hurricane - cat 3 or greater.

[skysummit]

Looking at the new Skeetobite map for 94L, if the system enters the
Carribean, there is more than adequate oceanic heat to support a
major hurricane - cat 3 or greater.

If 94L does in fact make it into the Carribean, and all the ingredients are in place, I would not be surprised to see another major hurricane.

[NastyCat4]

I think the oceanic heat content will only support so many more storms--the season will cap itself based on factors other than El Nino. Waters are slowly cooling off, and cold fronts will do their job---don't expect this season to continue at this pace much longer. It has been doing so for 5 months, and it is becoming time to shut down.

[deltadog03]

i agree with a late cane...but, imo thats all...one interesting theory i am getting for the winter is a nice storm in the gulf...non tropical, but, maybe a southern winter event...

[f5]

i agree with a late cane...but, imo thats all...one interesting theory i am getting for the winter is a nice storm in the gulf...non tropical, but, maybe a southern winter event...

you mean a 1993 superstorm repeat with CAT 2 pressure

[Brent]

i agree with a late cane...but, imo thats all...one interesting theory i am getting for the winter is a nice storm in the gulf...non tropical, but, maybe a southern winter event...

I hope so.

*As it pours down rain AGAIN as the stubborn front struggles to make it through* I hate this. Blah.

[MiamiensisWx]

There usually are at least one or two late-season storms at least in October or November.