HURAKAN wrote:
Looks like the Gulf of Mexico will have a break in tropical activity after this unusual strong early cold front has passed through bring with it a lot of dry air. But, in the next few days as the cold front stalls and begins to dissipate I will be watching for the possible formation of a low pressure, or low pressures, along the frontal system from where tropical development could be expected. We need to remember that at this time of the year tropical system usually are more likely to develop from frontal systems than from tropical wave as the ITCZ activity begins to move southward.
That dry air is aloft. That is a vapor image. The surface air is actually quite moist and unstable. PWats are near or exceeding 2 inches as indicated by many actual and model soundings in central and south florida. A weak low is underneath all that dry air now moving on land between St. Pete and Sarasota. Many heavy showers have been in the area all morning. HArldy an indicator of a "unusually strong cold fron passing all the way through". Unfortunately for those in this area that wanted a cool down or lower humidity, the front pulled up short, mainly through western and central portions of the Panhandle of Florida, that is about as far as this particular front will make it. We will likely see some additional minor drying at the surface as the low passes by and a weak NW surface flow sets up. But, it seems reasonable that lower pressures will generally stall across florida keeping it somewhat unsettled for a few days with just a few showers, but mainly warmer and more humid than normal for early October
...consider yourself lucky