Vince,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

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no advance
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#21 Postby no advance » Sun Oct 09, 2005 8:41 am

Sorry folks these records are only for about 150yrs. It dont mean a whole lot.
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#22 Postby HenkL » Sun Oct 09, 2005 8:42 am

Vince is a very small system. It won't be a threat for the Madeira Island right to the east of it. If it is moving slowly N-NNE as expected, it will meet colder water and weaken. It is expected to be absorbed by a cold front moving in from the NW after some days, and then becoming a intensifying extratropical low moving towards Ireland.
See some charts from the Dutch KNMI:
http://www.knmi.nl/waarschuwingen_en_verwachtingen/extra/weerkaarten.php
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#23 Postby WindRunner » Sun Oct 09, 2005 8:42 am

And it's first advisory will be at least at 50mph. That doesn't happen too often, I don't think. Any way someone could find that out?
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#24 Postby Typhoon_Willie » Sun Oct 09, 2005 8:42 am

Amazing stuff indeed!
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#25 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Oct 09, 2005 8:43 am

How many systems have formed near where this did?
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#26 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Sun Oct 09, 2005 8:46 am

Well, this looks like it is dead as by the NHC in the disscussion.
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#27 Postby KWT » Sun Oct 09, 2005 8:48 am

Brand new system Weatherfreak14,its not STD22 but Vince,or the 23rd system of the season :eek:

system does look very impressive,even more so considering its location.
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#28 Postby Weatherfreak14 » Sun Oct 09, 2005 8:50 am

I just saw that. My bad. Looks very impressive.
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#29 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Oct 09, 2005 8:51 am

The hurricane models show it mvoing northeast then turns it east-northeastward. Making landfall in 3 days.
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#30 Postby AZS » Sun Oct 09, 2005 8:54 am

Having a named storm close to your door is :eek:

Amazing !!!
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#31 Postby arkess7 » Sun Oct 09, 2005 8:59 am

WOW VINCE!!!!!!! ITS JUST AMAZING HOW FAR WE HAVE GOT THIS YEAR!!!! :eek:
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#32 Postby Thunder44 » Sun Oct 09, 2005 9:01 am

It will probably weaken before making landfall in Portugual. No TS warnings or watches needed.
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krysof

#33 Postby krysof » Sun Oct 09, 2005 9:07 am

Thunder44 wrote:It will probably weaken before making landfall in Portugual. No TS warnings or watches needed.


Hopefully it will weaken, but they will still feel the effects of it.
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#34 Postby WindRunner » Sun Oct 09, 2005 9:10 am

Doing some climo searching, Ivan 1980 was the only storm to originate in this area, actually .2S and .7W of Vince's model initialization point, and the closest we have come to TS landfall on the Iberian peninsula is with Frances 1992 and Jeanne 1998. Both were downgraded to TDs about 12hrs before making the landfall. Also, Arlene 1987 is the only other TD to make landfall there. So not a whole lot of climo to go on, as no storm has originated here and moved eastward.
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#35 Postby AZS » Sun Oct 09, 2005 9:10 am

krysof wrote:
Thunder44 wrote:It will probably weaken before making landfall in Portugual. No TS warnings or watches needed.


Hopefully it will weaken, but they will still feel the effects of it.



i hope that it weakens in terms of wind but not in rain

Portugal needs rain, a lot of rain.
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#36 Postby AZS » Sun Oct 09, 2005 9:13 am

Image
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Derek Ortt

#37 Postby Derek Ortt » Sun Oct 09, 2005 9:26 am

in 1966 Faith moved north of Britian as a hurricane

Hurricanes have made landfall in Europe before, but they are usually Gulfstream riders that are moving near 50 m.p.h.
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#38 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sun Oct 09, 2005 9:29 am

Vince already!!! What a season!!!
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#39 Postby P.K. » Sun Oct 09, 2005 9:33 am

Derek Ortt wrote:in 1966 Faith moved north of Britian as a hurricane


I hd noticed that in the archives but wasn't sure if it really was a hurricane at 60.4N. What a year that was; winning the world cup and a hurricane travelling between Iceland and Scotland. :lol:
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#40 Postby cjrciadt » Sun Oct 09, 2005 9:43 am

Image
is the LBAR useful on this side of the Atlantic? :lol:
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