No Development anytime soon
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- cycloneye
- Admin

- Posts: 148497
- Age: 69
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
No Development anytime soon
ABNT20 KNHC 122110
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT WED OCT 12 2005
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A LARGE BAND OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL
AMERICA NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA... HISPANIOLA....AND
PUERTO RICO... AND THEN CONTINUING NORTHWARD ACROSS THE ATLANTIC TO
BERMUDA IS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND AN
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMATION AT THIS TIME... AND DEVELOPMENT ...IF ANY...
SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. HOWEVER... ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS AND
POSSIBLE FLOODING ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED
PRIMARILY OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS... PUERTO RICO... AND HISPANIOLA OVER THE NEXT DAY
OR TWO.
ELSEWHERE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY.
FORECASTER STEWART
$$
Nothing in the horizon for now.
The question is when and where will another tropical or subtropical system will form in the next one month and a half before the season ends?
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT WED OCT 12 2005
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A LARGE BAND OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL
AMERICA NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA... HISPANIOLA....AND
PUERTO RICO... AND THEN CONTINUING NORTHWARD ACROSS THE ATLANTIC TO
BERMUDA IS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND AN
UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH. THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMATION AT THIS TIME... AND DEVELOPMENT ...IF ANY...
SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. HOWEVER... ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS AND
POSSIBLE FLOODING ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED
PRIMARILY OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE
VIRGIN ISLANDS... PUERTO RICO... AND HISPANIOLA OVER THE NEXT DAY
OR TWO.
ELSEWHERE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
THURSDAY.
FORECASTER STEWART
$$
Nothing in the horizon for now.
The question is when and where will another tropical or subtropical system will form in the next one month and a half before the season ends?
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and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- Tampa Bay Hurricane
- Category 5

- Posts: 5598
- Age: 37
- Joined: Fri Jul 22, 2005 7:54 pm
- Location: St. Petersburg, FL
Thunder44 wrote:I'm not discouraged at all. This system now could still develop into a TS or STS in the next couple of days. And I'm sure more systems to watch will pop up in the next few weeks or so.
Send a nice weak TD towards me to give me some rain.
The dry season is setting in. This was the driest summer ever
for Tampa Bay. If we don't get rains now, we won't get
good rains until next June. I have had LESS THAN 2 INCHES OF
RAIN SINCE EARLY JULY 2005. YUP that's less than 2 inches
in 4 months! We did not have a rainy season this year.
Now don't get me wrong- I prefer drought to a hurricane disaster
but a very weak and rainy tropical depression would be
great to prevent a bad wildfire season.
I just wish a front would stall out, cause a hybird TD to
form, and give me some much needed rain.
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- Tampa Bay Hurricane
- Category 5

- Posts: 5598
- Age: 37
- Joined: Fri Jul 22, 2005 7:54 pm
- Location: St. Petersburg, FL
nequad wrote:The left overs in the central Caribbean "could" develop in the coming days. It has a good shot...IMO...of becoming Wilma. We'll see.
If it becomes TS but then weakens to TD Wilma and brings
me some rain and nothing more
I will be screaming YABBA DABBA DOO!!!!
Yes! This is finally some hope for some rain before
the dry season sets in for good...hopefully a trough
can pull this caribbean moisture north over me over the
next week
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-
fasterdisaster
- Category 5

- Posts: 1868
- Joined: Mon Sep 19, 2005 4:41 pm
- Location: Miami, Florida
Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:nequad wrote:The left overs in the central Caribbean "could" develop in the coming days. It has a good shot...IMO...of becoming Wilma. We'll see.
If it becomes TS but then weakens to TD Wilma and brings
me some rain and nothing more
I will be screaming YABBA DABBA DOO!!!!![]()
Yes! This is finally some hope for some rain before
the dry season sets in for good...hopefully a trough
can pull this caribbean moisture north over me over the
next week
thats crazy that you have had such a dry summer
everything must just blow right over you and go inland.......i hope yall get some rain soon! usually the spring is so dry but this past spring was the wettest ive seen it in years!
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- wxman57
- Moderator-Pro Met

- Posts: 23080
- Age: 68
- Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
- Location: Houston, TX (southwest)
Thunder44 wrote:I'm not discouraged at all. This system now could still develop into a TS or STS in the next couple of days. And I'm sure more systems to watch will pop up in the next few weeks or so.
Why would you be discouraged if there are no more storms this season? Haven't we had about enough? I think I've had 10 days off since June. My mother's house was flooded and now I get to spend 2 weeks "vacation" putting up sheetrock starting next week. I'm certainly not discouraged by the statement that there may not be any development in the near future.
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wxman57 wrote:Thunder44 wrote:I'm not discouraged at all. This system now could still develop into a TS or STS in the next couple of days. And I'm sure more systems to watch will pop up in the next few weeks or so.
Why would you be discouraged if there are no more storms this season? Haven't we had about enough? I think I've had 10 days off since June. My mother's house was flooded and now I get to spend 2 weeks "vacation" putting up sheetrock starting next week. I'm certainly not discouraged by the statement that there may not be any development in the near future.
Maybe because Thunder44 lives in NYC? Script versus reality?
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- cycloneye
- Admin

- Posts: 148497
- Age: 69
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
ABNT20 KNHC 130216
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT WED OCT 12 2005
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A LARGE BAND OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL
AMERICA NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA... HISPANIOLA....AND
PUERTO RICO... AND THEN CONTINUING NORTHWARD ACROSS THE ATLANTIC TO
BERMUDA IS PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
INTERACTING WITH AN ELONGATED SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA. THERE ARE
NO SIGNS OF TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION AT THIS TIME
...AND DEVELOPMENT... IF ANY... SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. HOWEVER
...ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS AND POSSIBLE FLOODING ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED PRIMARILY OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS... THE VIRGIN ISLANDS... PUERTO RICO... AND
HISPANIOLA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
ELSEWHERE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
FRIDAY.
FORECASTER STEWART
10:30 PM TWO.
If you read the 5:30 PM (At First Post of thread) and the 10:30 PM TWO'S they are almost identical in the wording so in other words nothing is brewing at the moment.
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 PM EDT WED OCT 12 2005
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A LARGE BAND OF CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL
AMERICA NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE CARIBBEAN SEA... HISPANIOLA....AND
PUERTO RICO... AND THEN CONTINUING NORTHWARD ACROSS THE ATLANTIC TO
BERMUDA IS PRIMARILY ASSOCIATED WITH A LARGE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH
INTERACTING WITH AN ELONGATED SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA. THERE ARE
NO SIGNS OF TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION AT THIS TIME
...AND DEVELOPMENT... IF ANY... SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR. HOWEVER
...ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS AND POSSIBLE FLOODING ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS SYSTEM ARE EXPECTED PRIMARILY OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN
LEEWARD ISLANDS... THE VIRGIN ISLANDS... PUERTO RICO... AND
HISPANIOLA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
ELSEWHERE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
FRIDAY.
FORECASTER STEWART
10:30 PM TWO.
If you read the 5:30 PM (At First Post of thread) and the 10:30 PM TWO'S they are almost identical in the wording so in other words nothing is brewing at the moment.
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- Weatherfreak14
- Category 5

- Posts: 1383
- Joined: Sat Sep 24, 2005 3:40 pm
- Location: Beaufort, SC
- Contact:
Brent wrote:Thunder44 wrote:I'm not discouraged at all. This system now could still develop into a TS or STS in the next couple of days. And I'm sure more systems to watch will pop up in the next few weeks or so.
How much rain have you had?
I have had lots of rain this past week. Probably about 8 inches total.
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-
NastyCat4
Why would you be discouraged if there are no more storms this season? Haven't we had about enough? I think I've had 10 days off since June. My mother's house was flooded and now I get to spend 2 weeks "vacation" putting up sheetrock starting next week. I'm certainly not discouraged by the statement that there may not be any development in the near future.
You are sooo right. Those of us who own property in vulnerable areas, or who have family in those areas have had enough. The guy who wants more storms probably is about 14, lives 300 miles inland, and is getting bored of his Xbox.
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