What intensity was Katrina at LA landfall?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K

What intensity was Katrina at LA landfall?

Less than 115 mph
3
4%
115-120 mph
3
4%
120-125 mph
7
9%
125-130 mph
13
18%
135-140 mph
22
30%
140-145 mph
17
23%
145-150 mph
2
3%
150+
7
9%
 
Total votes: 74

Message
Author
Derek Ortt

#21 Postby Derek Ortt » Thu Oct 13, 2005 10:14 am

actually, they can have that problem, Scorpion
0 likes   

User avatar
TSmith274
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 756
Joined: Thu Sep 09, 2004 1:11 am
Location: New Orleans, La.

#22 Postby TSmith274 » Thu Oct 13, 2005 12:36 pm

Oh God, here we go again....
0 likes   

User avatar
skysummit
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5305
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Ponchatoula, LA
Contact:

#23 Postby skysummit » Thu Oct 13, 2005 2:00 pm

TSmith274 wrote:Oh God, here we go again....


LOL...these Katrina polls will likely still be going in 2007.
0 likes   

jax

#24 Postby jax » Thu Oct 13, 2005 3:38 pm

skysummit wrote:
TSmith274 wrote:Oh God, here we go again....


LOL...these Katrina polls will likely still be going in 2007.


or even 2027
0 likes   

krysof

#25 Postby krysof » Thu Oct 13, 2005 3:40 pm

or 2227
0 likes   

User avatar
vbhoutex
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 29133
Age: 74
Joined: Wed Oct 09, 2002 11:31 pm
Location: Cypress, TX
Contact:

#26 Postby vbhoutex » Thu Oct 13, 2005 3:46 pm

BACK ON SUBJECT PLEASE!!!
0 likes   

jax

#27 Postby jax » Thu Oct 13, 2005 3:48 pm

krysof wrote:or 2227


she was a monster of all monsters...
0 likes   

User avatar
Normandy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2293
Joined: Sun Oct 10, 2004 12:31 am
Location: Houston, TX

#28 Postby Normandy » Fri Oct 14, 2005 1:31 am

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:
fasterdisaster wrote:
Scorpion wrote:
Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2005/al12.2005/0829/1442/col08deg.png

ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l08deg.png

About 100 knots=115 mph. That should end the story...She was hardly a cat3!!!

What caused the damage was the cat5 surge. She was a very big storm...With a large area of cat2 or 3 winds. Katrina is looking like a cat3 with cat5 surge.


:roll: And it was so right in the fact that it peaked Katrina at 135 knots. I go with 125-130 mph.


Seriously, this wasn't 115 mph. That data is inaccurate, since when did Katrina never reach Category 5? :?: :roll:


I heard that the the SFMR data was taken more seriously then the normal recon reduce from 850 or 700 millibars. So yes there is a chance that the nhc could down grade her to a strong cat4=155 mph. Emily also had data supporting her 153 knots but she had(Hrd) 156 mph which is cat5. Derek said when Katrina was first upgraded to a hurricane. That data is suppose to be taken much more seriously then the normal data. So I would not be suprized to see Katrina lost its title as a cat5.

But Rita was with out quastion a cat5.

Also this go's for landfall they will take this data seriously.


Ur seriously going to try and argue that Katrina was never a Cat 5? 166 KT flot level winds and 902 mbs? Come now.
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#29 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Oct 14, 2005 4:51 am

The nhc/reachers put alot of weight into that. So yes theres a chance Katrina will be found to be a cat4. Emily on those charts was slightly stronger...With recon/HRD data very close to each other=they agree.

Can you say Emily,Rita cat5s for 2005.

Unless that data is bad? :eek:
0 likes   

User avatar
Lowpressure
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2032
Age: 58
Joined: Sun Sep 14, 2003 9:17 am
Location: Charlotte, North Carolina

#30 Postby Lowpressure » Fri Oct 14, 2005 4:57 am

135-140mph
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#31 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Oct 14, 2005 5:08 am

Hrd shows
Katrina 133 knots
Rita 136 knots or boarder line cat5.
ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/hwind/2 ... l08deg.png
0 likes   

Stormcenter
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6685
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:27 am
Location: Houston, TX

#32 Postby Stormcenter » Fri Oct 14, 2005 8:25 am

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:The nhc/reachers put alot of weight into that. So yes theres a chance Katrina will be found to be a cat4. Emily on those charts was slightly stronger...With recon/HRD data very close to each other=they agree.

Can you say Emily,Rita cat5s for 2005.

Unless that data is bad? :eek:


Katrina was stronger than Rita or Emily no doubt.
I still don't think some people realize how massive and
powerful of a storm Katrina was.
0 likes   

Derek Ortt

#33 Postby Derek Ortt » Fri Oct 14, 2005 8:51 am

Katrina was NOT more intense than Rita. Rita was the third most intense hurricane ever
0 likes   

User avatar
skysummit
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5305
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Ponchatoula, LA
Contact:

#34 Postby skysummit » Fri Oct 14, 2005 8:54 am

Derek Ortt wrote:Katrina was NOT more intense than Rita. Rita was the third most intense hurricane ever


Maybe they're talking about at landfall?
0 likes   

tornadochaser86
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 197
Joined: Fri Sep 23, 2005 11:19 am
Location: University of South Alabama
Contact:

#35 Postby tornadochaser86 » Sat Oct 15, 2005 4:22 pm

i still say cat4 winds with cat 5 storm surge
0 likes   

User avatar
dhweather
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6199
Joined: Sat Aug 14, 2004 9:29 pm
Location: Heath, TX
Contact:

#36 Postby dhweather » Sat Oct 15, 2005 6:59 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:Katrina was NOT more intense than Rita. Rita was the third most intense hurricane ever


Third, fourth, that's kinda splitting hairs. They were both extremely
intense hurricanes at their peak.
0 likes   

User avatar
Lindaloo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 22658
Joined: Sat Mar 29, 2003 10:06 am
Location: Pascagoula, MS

#37 Postby Lindaloo » Sat Oct 15, 2005 7:23 pm

Derek Ortt wrote:Katrina was NOT more intense than Rita. Rita was the third most intense hurricane ever



Um okay I'll bite, source please.
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#38 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sat Oct 15, 2005 7:28 pm

ZCZC MIATCDAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE RITA DISCUSSION NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT THU SEP 22 2005

IF RITA HAS NOT PEAKED IN INTENSITY...IT LOOKS LIKE IT IS PRETTY
CLOSE TO DOING SO. THE LATEST CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT DATA IS 897 MB...WHICH SHOWS LITTLE CHANGE
DURING THE PAST 8 HR. THE MAXIMUM FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS SO FAR ARE
165 KT IN THE NE EYEWALL...WHICH IS ONLY SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN THE
161 KT OBSERVED YESTERDAY AFTERNOON. THE AIRCRAFT DATA SHOWS A
INCREASINGLY STRONG OUTER WIND MAXIMUM THAT IS LIKELY THE START OF
A CONCENTRIC EYEWALL CYCLE...AND SATELLITE IMAGERY SINCE THE END OF
THE ECLIPSE PERIOD SHOWS WARMING OF THE CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER.
BASED ON ALL OF THIS...THE INITIAL INTENSITY REMAINS 150 KT.


Rita was much stronger then Katrina. Also Rita made landfall almost as strong as Katrina. Also there is real data supporting Rita as a 150 knot hurricane/175 mph.
Last edited by Matt-hurricanewatcher on Sat Oct 15, 2005 7:29 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

truballer#1

#39 Postby truballer#1 » Sat Oct 15, 2005 7:28 pm

I say 135-140
0 likes   

Charles-KD5ZSM
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 62
Joined: Fri Aug 26, 2005 5:09 pm
Location: Ocean Springs, MS

#40 Postby Charles-KD5ZSM » Sat Oct 15, 2005 7:31 pm

Katrina and Rita both had max sustained winds at 175 according to the rocon planes. The only difference is the pressure. Rita's pressure was lower than Katrina's at their peaks. With the bad instrumentation, the recon planes are brand new WC-130's and have up to date equipment on them. I am saying Katrina was minamal 135 at land fall. We really won't know for sure because she took out all weather stations according a map I have from when Katrina hit. The only wind readings I have, but not with me at the moment, are from the Harrison County EOC. I couldn't get any from Hancock County because their EOC went under water.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google [Bot], Team Ghost and 185 guests